1,038 episodes
Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast Mr. Action Junkie
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- Sport
This show delivers FREE daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days.
Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:
2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets
2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals
2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners
2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders
2023 College Football - Kota Capper College Football Central Lock, Underdog, and Unit Champ
2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets
2024 NCAA College Basketball - 54%, up 22.18 units (up 58 units total w/blog plays)
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together.
Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor. I flat bet risking 1 unit vs. winning 1 unit.
Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms.
Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it.
Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams.
Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.
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That's a winner! @KotaCapperKyle goes 3-1, Newsletter goes 6-1. Great day. 2 NBA Playoff Bets, 5 MLB Baseball Bets (Under, Over, Moneyline, Run Line, Underdog) plus 7 MLB/NBA/NHL picks from @KotaCapperKyle for Thursday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Indiana -8 vs. Milwaukee
Philadelphia -3.5 vs. New York
Colorado/Miami Under 8 (-122)
San Francisco/Boston Over 9.5 (+100)
New York Mets ML vs. Chicago Cubs (-115)
Run Line: Texas -1.5 vs. Washington (+105)
Underdog: Cleveland ML at Houston (+110)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
NBA Playoffs: 23-17 (57.5%), up 3.9093 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 78-80 (49.4%), down 9.4042 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 11-8, 57.9%, up 2.7629 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
That's a winner! @KotaCapperKyle hosts the show with 4 MLB Baseball Bets (Moneyline x 2, Total x 2) for Wednesday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
KotaCapperKyle's Card:
Milwaukee ML vs. Tampa Bay (-101)
Minnesota/Chicago White Sox Under 8.5 (+100)
San Diego ML vs. Cincinnati (-140)
Houston/Cleveland Under 8.5 (-115)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
NBA Playoffs: 23-17 (57.5%), up 3.9093 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 78-80 (49.4%), down 9.4042 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 8-7, 53.3%, up 0.7629 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
3 NBA Playoff Bets, 5 MLB Baseball Bets (Over, Under, Underdog, Moneyline, Run Line) plus 4 MLB Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Tuesday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Philadelphia +4.5 at New York
Cleveland -4.5 vs. Orlando
Milwaukee +4.5 vs. Indiana
Total: Cleveland/Houston Over 9.5 (+102)
Total: Chicago Cubs/New York Mets Under 8 (-118)
ML: Toronto vs. Kansas City (-132)
Run Line: Milwaukee -1.5 vs. Tampa Bay (+158)
Underdog: Boston vs. San Francisco (+110)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
NBA Playoffs: 21-16 (56.7%), up 3.0911 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 74-79 (48.3%), down 12.9517 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 8-7, 53.3%, up 0.7629 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
That's a winner! 3 NBA Playoff Bets, 5 MLB Baseball Bets (Totals x 2, First 5 Moneyline, First 5 Run Line, NRFI) for Monday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Miami +10.5 vs. Boston
New Orleans +4.5 vs. Oklahoma City
LA Lakers +7.5 at Denver
Total: New York Yankees/Baltimore Over 9 (-105)
Total: LA Dodgers/Arizona Over 9.5 (-118)
First 5 ML: Tampa Bay at Milwaukee (-105)
NRFI: Minnesota/Chicago White Sox (-130)
First 5 Run Line: Atlanta Braves -0.5 at Seattle (-105)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
NBA Playoffs: 20-14 (58.8%), up 4.182 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 72-76 (48.6%), down 11.7516 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 8-7, 53.3%, up 0.7629 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
Not fun. Some days are bad, that was terrible. New day today. 4 NBA Playoff Bets, 4 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 3, Moneyline) for Sunday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
New York +5 at Philadelphia
LA Clippers +6 at Dallas
Indiana -9.5 vs Milwaukee
Phoenix +1.5 vs. Minnesota
NRFI: Kansas City/Detroit (-125)
NRFI: Minnesota/LA Angels (-120)
NRFI: Arizona/Seattle (-125)
Moneyline: Toronto vs. LA Dodgers (-108)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 70-74 (48.6%), down 11.5698 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoffs: 17-13 (56.7%), up 2.4547 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 8-7, 53.3%, up 0.7629 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
Podcast + Prop Bet Newsletter Combo Show: 4 NBA Playoff Sides, 2 NBA Prop Bets, 3 MLB Baseball NRFI's, 1 MLB Run Line, 1 MLB Moneyline, 1 Outs Recorded Prop, 1 Strikeout Prop, 1 Total Bases Prop, and 5 MLB Plays from @KotaCapperKyle for Saturday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Cleveland +2.5 at Orlando
New Orleans +1.5 at Oklahoma City
Boston -9 at Miami
LA Lakers +3.5 vs. Denver
Rui Hachimara (Lakers) Over 9.5 points (-113)
Darius Garland (Cavs) Over 14.5 points (-118)
Run Line: Tampa Bay -1.5 at Chicago White Sox (-125)
Moneyline: LA Angels vs. Minnesota (-112)
NRFI: Oakland/Baltimore (-135)
NRFI: St. Louis/New York Mets (-135)
NRFI: Philadelphia/San Diego (-130)
Outs Recorded: Sonny Gray (Cards) Over 17.5 (-120)
Strikeouts: Brady Singer Under 5.5 (-125)
Total Bases: Stuart Fairchild (Reds) Under 0.5 (+100)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 68-69 (49.6%), down 8.1438 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoffs: 15-11 (57.7%), up 2.6365 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 8-7, 53.3%, up 0.7629 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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