1 074 épisodes
Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast Mr. Action Junkie
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- Sports
This show delivers FREE daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days.
Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:
2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets
2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals
2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners
2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders
2023 College Football - Kota Capper College Football Central Lock, Underdog, and Unit Champ
2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets
2024 NCAA College Basketball - 54%, up 22.18 units (up 58 units total w/blog plays)
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together.
Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor. I flat bet risking 1 unit vs. winning 1 unit.
Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms.
Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it.
Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams.
Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.
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That's a winner! NBA Finals Game 1 Bet, WNBA Bet, 3 PGA Memorial RD 1 Bets, 6 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 3, First 5 Run Line x 3) plus 6 Bets from @KotaCapperKyle
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Dallas/Boston 1H Under 110.5
Chicago/Washington Under 156.5
Shane Lowry over Matt Fitzpatrick (-105)
Sahith Theegala over Russell Henley (-105)
Nick Taylor over Taylor Moore (+110)
NRFI - Royals/Guardians (-118)
NRFI - Rockies/Cardinals (-136)
NRFI - Mariners/Athletics (-118)
First 5 - Yankees -0.5 vs. Twins (+100)
First 5 - Red Sox -0.5 at White Sox (-140)
First 5 - Dodgers -0.5 at Pirates (-128)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
UFL: 7-4 (63.6%), up 2.3637 units
College Baseball: 6-3 (66.6%), up 2.2176 units
WNBA: 17-14 (54.8%), up 0.7798 units
PGA Golf: 17-19 (47.2%), down 0.3374 units
NBA Playoffs: 38-36 (51.3%), down 1.5451 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
NHL Playoffs: 12-14 (46.2%), down 3.16151 units
MLB Baseball: 155-150 (50.8%), down 10.3653 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 17-11, 60.7%, up 5.7629 units
Other: 3-7, 30%, down 4.25 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
That's a winner! Positive spike day, 7-2 card. 2 WNBA Bets, 10 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 5, First 5 Run Line x 4, First 5 Total) plus 7 Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Wednesday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Las Vegas -7.5 at Dallas
Minnesota -7.5 at LA
NRFI - Royals/Guardians (-111)
NRFI - Dodgers/Pirates (-113)
NRFI - Rays/Marlins (-106)
NRFI - Orioles/Blue Jays (-125)
NRFI - White Sox/Cubs (-110)
F5 Run Line - Yankees -0.5 vs. Twins (-135)
F5 Run Line - Phillies -0.5 vs. Brewers (-135)
F5 Run Line - Padres -0.5 vs. Angels (-105)
F5 Run Line - Mariners -0.5 at Athletics (+100)
F5 Total - Tigers/Rangers Over 4.5 (-140)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
UFL: 7-4 (63.6%), up 2.3637 units
College Baseball: 6-3 (66.6%), up 2.2176 units
PGA Golf: 17-19 (47.2%), down 0.3374 units
WNBA: 15-14 (51.7%), down 1.0817 units
NBA Playoffs: 38-36 (51.3%), down 1.5451 units
NHL Playoffs: 12-14 (46.2%), down 3.16151 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 151-145 (51.0%), down 8.5317 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 17-11, 60.7%, up 5.7629 units
Other: 3-7, 30%, down 4.25 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
Right handicap, wrong result. 2 WNBA Bets, 7 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 5, First 5 Run Line, First 5 Total) plus 7 Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Tuesday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
New York -6.5 vs. Chicago
Phoenix +7.5 at Seattle
NRFI - Royals/Guardians (-113)
NRFI - Dodgers/Pirates (-132)
NRFI - Rays/Marlins (-130)
NRFI - Padres/Angels (-115)
NRFI - White Sox/Cubs (-115)
First 5 Run Line - Yankees -0.5 vs. Twins (-114)
First 5 Total - Giants/Diamondbacks Over 4.5 (-118)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
UFL: 7-4 (63.6%), up 2.3637 units
College Baseball: 6-3 (66.6%), up 2.2176 units
PGA Golf: 17-19 (47.2%), down 0.3374 units
WNBA: 14-13 (51.9%), down 1.0908 units
NBA Playoffs: 38-36 (51.3%), down 1.5451 units
NHL Playoffs: 12-14 (46.2%), down 3.16151 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 145-144 (50.2%), down 12.6701 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 17-11, 60.7%, up 5.7629 units
Other: 3-7, 30%, down 4.25 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
That's a winner! Marathon not a sprint. Terrible last 7 days: 69 wagers, down 8.25 units. Last 1,500 wagers: up 37.8 units. New York GGR Numbers. 5 MLB Baseball Bets (4 NRFI, 1 First 5 Total) for Monday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
NRFI - Tigers/Rangers (-156)
NRFI - Padres/Angels (-110)
NRFI - Mets/Nationals (-125)
NRFI - Cardinals/Astros (-110)
First 5 Total - Orioles/Blue Jays Over 3.5 (-160)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
UFL: 7-4 (63.6%), up 2.3637 units
College Baseball: 6-3 (66.6%), up 2.2176 units
PGA Golf: 17-19 (47.2%), down 0.3374 units
WNBA: 14-13 (51.9%), down 1.0908 units
NBA Playoffs: 38-36 (51.3%), down 1.5451 units
NHL Playoffs: 12-14 (46.2%), down 3.16151 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 143-141 (50.3%), down 11.0951 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 17-11, 60.7%, up 5.7629 units
Other: 3-7, 30%, down 4.25 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
New day. 7 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 2, F5 Total x 2, F5 Run Line, Run Line, ML), NHL Bet, WNBA Bet, 2 UFL Bets plus 8 Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Sunday
Note: @KotaCapperKyle as Edmonton/Dallas Over 5.5
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Edmonton ML vs Dallas (-135)
Arlington +1 at DC
Houston -2.5 at Memphis
Phoenix -4.5 vs. LA
NRFI - Yankees/Giants (-115)
NRFI - Angels/Mariners (-125)
F5 Total - Rangers/Marlins Under 4.5 (-125)
F5 Total - Athletics/Braves Over 4.5 (-121)
Kansas City ML vs. San Diego (-120)
F5 Run Line: Milwaukee -0.5 vs. Chicago (-180)
Run Line: LA Dodgers -1.5 vs. Colorado (-130)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
UFL: 6-3 (66.7%), up 2.4546 units
College Baseball: 6-3 (66.6%), up 2.2176 units
PGA Golf: 17-19 (47.2%), down 0.3374 units
WNBA: 13-13 (50.0%), down 1.9999 units
NBA Playoffs: 38-36 (51.3%), down 1.5451 units
NHL Playoffs: 11-14 (44.0%), down 3.90221 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 138-139 (49.8%), down 12.8532 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 17-11, 60.7%, up 5.7629 units
Other: 3-7, 30%, down 4.25 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
Let's win today. NHL Playoff Bet, 2 UFL Bets, WNBA Bet, 4 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 2, Run Line, First 5 Run Line), plus 7 Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Saturday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
New York ML +142 at Florida
Michigan/Birmingham 1H Under 22
St. Louis -3 vs. San Antonio
Indiana +3 vs. Chicago
NRFI - Cardinals/Phillies (-125)
NRFI - Twins/Astros (-122)
LA Dodgers -1.5 vs. Colorado (-155)
First 5: San Francisco -0.5 vs. New York Yankees (+110)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
UFL: 6-2 (75.0%), up 3.4546 units
College Baseball: 6-3 (66.6%), up 2.2176 units
PGA Golf: 17-19 (47.2%), down 0.3374 units
WNBA: 12-13 (48.0%), down 2.909 units
NBA Playoffs: 38-36 (51.3%), down 1.5451 units
NHL Playoffs: 11-13 (45.8%), down 2.90221 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 137-136 (50.2%), down 10.4984 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 17-11, 60.7%, up 5.7629 units
Other: 3-7, 30%, down 4.25 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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