1.047 episódios
Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast Mr. Action Junkie
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- Esportes
This show delivers FREE daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days.
Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:
2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets
2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals
2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners
2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders
2023 College Football - Kota Capper College Football Central Lock, Underdog, and Unit Champ
2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets
2024 NCAA College Basketball - 54%, up 22.18 units (up 58 units total w/blog plays)
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together.
Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor. I flat bet risking 1 unit vs. winning 1 unit.
Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms.
Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it.
Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams.
Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.
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Can you hear me now? A day to forget. 2 NBA Playoff Bets, 2 NHL Playoff Bets, 3 PGA Tour Bets, 3 MLB Baseball Bets for Friday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Indiana -7 vs. New York
Denver +4.5 at Minnesota
Edmonton -130 at Vancouver
Carolina/Boston Under 5.5
Jake Knapp +115 vs. Alex Noren
Patrick Cantlay -155 vs. Jason Day
Collin Morikawa -140 vs. Jordan Spieth
NRFI: Cubs/Pirates
First 5 Team Total: Reds Under 1.5 (-115)
First 5 Team Total: Blue Jays Under 1.5 (+114)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
NBA Playoffs: 28-24 (53.8%), up 1.3639 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 96-106 (47.5%), down 14.6124 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 11-9, 55.0%, up 1.7629 units
Other: 0-2, 0%, down 2 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
Day Off = 14 Bets on Thursday. I want ACTION! 2 NBA Playoff Bets, 12 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 2, First 5 Run Line x 3, First 5 Total, Hunter Greene & Sonny Gray) for Thursday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Cleveland +13.5 at Boston
Dallas +5.5 at Oklahoma City
NRFI: Seattle/Minnesota (-145)
NRFI: Houston/New York Yankees (-110)
First 5 Run Line: San Francisco -0.5 at Colorado (-110)
First 5 Total: Kansas City/LA Angels Under 4.5 (-130)
Arizona Under 0.5 Runs - First 3 Innings (+140)
Arizona Under 1.5 Runs - First 5 Innings (+124)
Arizona Under 2.5 Runs - First 7 Innings (+120)
First 5 Run Line: Cincinnati -0.5 vs. Arizona (+100)
Milwaukee Under 0.5 Runs - First 3 Innings (+130)
Milwaukee Under 1.5 Runs - First 5 Innings (+105)
Milwaukee Under 2.5 Runs - First 7 Innings (+100)
First 5 Run Line: St. Louis -0.5 at Milwaukee (+110)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
NBA Playoffs: 26-24 (52.0%), down 0.4543 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 95-95 (50.0%), down 9.1724 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 11-9, 55.0%, up 1.7629 units
Other: 0-2, 0%, down 2 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
@KotaCapperKyle hosts the show. NHL Moneyline Bet, NBA ATS Bet, MLB Baseball Run Line, MLB Baseball Total for Wednesday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
@KotaCapperKyle's Card:
Edmonton -130 at Vancouver
Indiana +4.5 at New York
Run Line: Philadelphia -1.5 vs. Toronto (+135)
Total: New York Mets/St. Louis Cardinals Under 7.5 (-105)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
NBA Playoffs: 26-24 (52.0%), down 0.4543 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 95-95 (50.0%), down 9.1724 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 11-8, 57.9%, up 2.7629 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
That's a winner! 2 NBA Playoff Bets, 5 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 2, Run Line, First 5 Alternate Run Line at +150, Moneyline) plus 6 MLB Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Tuesday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Cleveland +11.5 at Boston
Dallas +3.5 at Oklahoma City
NRFI: Baltimore/Washington (-115)
NRFI: Houston/New York Yankees (-115)
Run Line: Tampa Bay -1.5 vs. Chicago White Sox (-112)
First 5 Run Line: Toronto -0.5 at Philadelphia (+150)
Moneyline: Cleveland vs. Detroit (-125)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
NBA Playoffs: 26-22 (54.2%), up 1.5457 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 93-92 (50.3%), down 7.9349 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 11-8, 57.9%, up 2.7629 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
2 NBA Playoff Bets, 4 MLB Baseball Bets (Run Line, First 5 Run Line, Moneyline, NRFI) for Monday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Denver -5.5 vs. Minnesota
New York -6 vs. Indiana
Run Line: LA Dodgers -1.5 vs. Miami (-126)
Moneyline: Texas at Oakland (-135)
First 5 Run Line: New York Mets -0.5 at St. Louis (+130)
NRFI: Seattle at Minnesota (-120)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
NBA Playoffs: 26-20 (56.5%), up 3.5457 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 89-92 (49.2%), down 11.6026 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 11-8, 57.9%, up 2.7629 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
NBA Game 7 Bet, 6 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI, Moneyline, First 7 Inning Team Total, First 3 Inning Team Total, First 5 Run Line, Total) for Sunday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Cleveland -3.5 vs. Orlando
NRFI: Tigers/Yankees (-140)
Moneyline: Washington vs. Toronto (+100)
First 7 Inning Team Total: LA Angels Over 2.5 (-145)
First 3 Inning Team Total: Arizona Over 1.5 (+114)
First 5 Run Line: Pittsburgh -0.5 vs. Colorado (-110)
Total: Seattle/Houston Under 8.5 (-102)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
NBA Playoffs: 25-20 (55.5%), up 2.6366 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 87-88 (49.7%), down 9.7426 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 11-8, 57.9%, up 2.7629 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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