221 episodes

We talk economics and markets with leading policymakers and investors.

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez Bilal Hafeez

    • Business

We talk economics and markets with leading policymakers and investors.

    Ep. 221: Vasileios Gkionakis on European Election Fallout, Fed and Fiscal Risks

    Ep. 221: Vasileios Gkionakis on European Election Fallout, Fed and Fiscal Risks

    Vasileios is Head of Europe Economics and Strategy at Aviva Investors – a £226bn global asset management firm. Based in London, he is responsible for monitoring and analysing macroeconomic developments and markets as well as formulating major asset class views, leading research and strategy in the UK and Europe. Previously, he held senior research roles at Citigroup, Lombard Odier, UniCredit Bank, BofA, Merrill Lynch, and Fulcrum Asset Management. In this podcast, we discuss the UK election impact, UK inflation and BoE cuts, comparing UK and European mortgage rates, and much more. 

     
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    • 39 min
    Ep. 220: George Selgin on Fed Independence, Poor Operations and Inflation

    Ep. 220: George Selgin on Fed Independence, Poor Operations and Inflation

    George Selgin is a senior fellow and director emeritus of the Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives at the Cato Institute and professor emeritus of economics at the University of Georgia. He is the author of numerous books, including ‘The Theory of Free Banking’, ‘Floored! How a Misguided Fed Experiment Deepened and Prolonged the Great Recession’ and ‘The Menace of Fiscal QE’. George is one of the founders, with Kevin Dowd and Lawrence H. White, of the Modern Free Banking School, which draws its inspiration from the writings of F. A. Hayek on denationalization of money and choice in currency. In this podcast, we discuss how marine biology helps you understand economics, how the Fed fundamentally changed after the Global Financial Crisis, understanding the Fed’s abundant reserves policy, and much more. 

     
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    • 1 hr 3 min
    Ep. 219: Jason Furman on Inflation Persistence, Fed Policy and Debt Levels

    Ep. 219: Jason Furman on Inflation Persistence, Fed Policy and Debt Levels

    Jason Furman is the Aetna Professor of the Practice of Economic Policy jointly at Harvard Kennedy School (HKS) and the Department of Economics at Harvard University. He is also non-resident senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. Previously, Furman served eight years as a top economic adviser to President Barack Obama, including serving as the 28th Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers from August 2013 to January 2017, acting as both Obama’s chief economist and a member of the cabinet. In this podcast we discuss the difference between policymaking and academia, what caused post-COVID inflation, inflation persistence, and much more. 

     
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    • 40 min
    Ep. 218: Gordon Hanson on US-China Trade War, Immigration and US Elections

    Ep. 218: Gordon Hanson on US-China Trade War, Immigration and US Elections

    Gordon Hanson is the Peter Wertheim Professor in Urban Policy at Harvard Kennedy School (HKS). He is also chair of the Social and Urban Policy Area at HKS, a research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research, and a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. Gordon’s current research addresses the causes and consequences of regional job loss, effectiveness of place-based policies in alleviating regional economic distress, and the labour market consequences of the energy transition. This work is part of the Reimagining the Economy project at HKS, which Gordon co-directs with Dani Rodrik. In this podcast we discuss the rise of China and its impact on the US, whether WTO entry mattered and which sectors played by the rules, comparing the rise of Japan and Asia Tigers, and much more. 

     
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    • 48 min
    Ep. 217: Mustafa Chowdhury on Surging Wealth, Hidden Bond Buyers and Fed Mistakes

    Ep. 217: Mustafa Chowdhury on Surging Wealth, Hidden Bond Buyers and Fed Mistakes

    Mustafa is a rates guru and member of the research team at Macro Hive. Before this, Mustafa was the Head of Rates, FX, and Derivatives at Voya Investments, where he helped manage $40 billion of assets. Prior to that, he was a Managing Director and Head of US Rates and MBS Strategy at Deutsche Bank. And in the 1990s, he was Co-Head of Asset-Liability Management at Freddie Mac, where he was responsible for managing one of the world’s largest fixed income derivatives portfolios and trading desks. In this podcast we discuss misunderstandings around current rates regime, the rise in household wealth, why levels matter more than changes, and much more. 

     
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    • 44 min
    Ep. 216: Dominique Dwor-Frecaut on Inflation Persistence, Immigration Surge and Trump Effect

    Ep. 216: Dominique Dwor-Frecaut on Inflation Persistence, Immigration Surge and Trump Effect

    Dominique Dwor-Frecaut is the Chief US economist and macro strategist for Macro Hive and is based in Los Angeles. Before that, she worked at various hedge funds including Bridgewater. Prior to the buy side, she worked at the New York Fed, the IMF, and the World Bank. She holds a PhD in economics from the London School of Economics. This episode covers the two regime model of inflation, that financial tightening transmission is much weaker, why there is no recession, and much more. 

     
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    • 38 min

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