Moving Markets: Daily News Julius Baer

Financial markets are in wait-and-see mode ahead of US inflation data today and tomorrow, as well as Alibaba and Tencent earnings later today. French President Emanuel Macron said he is open to a major French bank being taken over by a European rival, in a bid to spur deeper financial integration in the euro bloc. Yields on 20-year Japanese government bonds rose to their highest level since 2013. Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, says that like any risk-on asset, Bitcoin is awaiting US inflation reports.
00:00 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)
00:23 Markets wrap-up by Mike Rauber (Investment Writing)
07:38 Digital assets update by Manuel Villegas (Next Generation Research)
11:03 Closing remarks by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)
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Equity markets closed last week stronger than they started it and futures broadly project the upward trend to continue today. Nevertheless, China’s latest inflation data over the weekend was disappointingly strong and the news today that China will begin an ultra-long bond selling programme was not enough to support onshore equities today. Hong Kong’s equity benchmark however climbed to its highest level since August 2023. With oil prices moving sideways and precious metals moving higher, our Head of Technical Analysis, Mensur Pocinci, explains what this traditionally means for equity markets, whilst also covering his outlook for other asset classes.
00:00 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)
00:23 Markets wrap-up by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)
07:01 Technical Analysis update by Mensur Pocinci (Head of Technical Analysis Research)
10:58 Closing remarks by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)
Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

A higher-than-expected reading on US jobless claims rekindled expectations of earlier interest rate cuts this year, helping US equities to close at their highest levels ever. After the Swedish Riksbank cut interest rates on Wednesday, the Bank of England gave clear indications at its policy meeting yesterday that rate cuts are on the horizon. Meanwhile, demand for corporate bonds remains very strong, although risk premiums on debt remain very tight. And Hong Kong stocks are rising on a report that the dividend tax for mainland investors will be abolished. Fixed Income strategist Dario Messi says that there is no need to rush into longer-dated bonds at any price.
00:00 Introduction by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)
00:23 Markets wrap-up by Mike Rauber (Investment Writing)
07:11 Fixed Income update by Dario Messi (Fixed Income Strategy)
12:17 Closing remarks by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)
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While European markets ended the day firmly in the green yesterday, US equities struggled as investors remained fixated on when the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates. Asian markets followed the US lower, with Japanese equities underperforming and the recent rally in Hong Kong and mainland China came to a halt. Oil fell close to its lowest level since mid-March, while gold held steady this morning. Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, and Tim Gagie, Head of FX & PM Solutions in Geneva, join today’s show to provide further insights into our equity calls and what has been driving the FX markets.
00:00 Introduction by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)
00:36 Markets wrap-up by Lucija Caculovic (Investment Writing)
06:35 Changes to our equity calls by Mathieu Racheter (Head of Equity Strategy)
10:42 FX and metals update by Tim Gagie (Head of FX & PM Solutions Geneva)
15:42 Closing remarks by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)
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Global equity markets are rallying further as investors continue to revise their Fed policy bets after last week’s softer US jobs data. Asian stocks are hitting 15-month highs on renewed confidence in US interest rate cuts, while encouraging PMI data shows further evidence that the eurozone economy is healing. And as Bitcoin shows renewed strength, Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, provides us with an update on digital assets.
00:00 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)
00:23 Markets wrap-up by Jonti Warris (Investment Writing)
06:25 Digital assets update by Manuel Villegas (Next Generation Research)
09:37 Closing remarks by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)
Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Fed Chair Powell’s ‘No hike’ message and weaker-than-expected labour market data was the perfect combination for a strong end to the week for financial markets. Off the back of this, equity markets continued their uptrend after a difficult start to the month. And Chinese equities joined other regions in entering bull market territory. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, talks about the improved sentiment for equity markets after April’s weakness, why he expects US Treasury yields to continue to fall, and why he thinks both have set the stage for new all-time highs.
00:00 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)
00:23 Markets wrap-up by Jan Bopp (Investment Writing)
06:00 Technical Analysis update by Mensur Pocinci (Head of Technical Analysis Research)
10:47 Closing remarks by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)
Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.