96 Folgen

A podcast where we talk to risk takers, adventurers, travelers, entrepreneurs and simply mind bogglers.

The Judgment Call Podcast The Judgment Call Podcast

    • Technologie

A podcast where we talk to risk takers, adventurers, travelers, entrepreneurs and simply mind bogglers.

    #96 Alexander Bard (The philosophy of everything)

    #96 Alexander Bard (The philosophy of everything)

    00:00:30 How Alexander and his co-author Jan have managed to produce such an enormous (and prophetic) body of written work over the last 20 years00:04:43 What Alexander thinks about postmodernism?00:09:01 What are ‘Netocrats‘? How is the world changing due to the Internet? Who is ready for the digital future and who is not?00:14:01 What is the future of (representative) democracy and politics in general? What is a ‘sensocracy‘?00:19:30 How should a ‘world government‘ work? How much subsidiarity will it allow? What role will ‘charter cities‘ play?00:24:15 Will we be able to switch between city state benevolent dictatorships (i.e. will countries/ cities be run like companies) as part of our life?00:27:01 Why was Jesus Christ actually killed & the surprising utility of ’empires’.00:30:42 How our future laws are already emerging throughout Internet.00:34:31 Is competition increasing for companies? Should we react with more collaboration to improve our competitiveness?00:42:31 What role do Internet platforms play? Do they actually have a monopoly?00:45:21 Is marketing as a whole evil? How has it changed over the years and how it is connected to ‘attentionalism‘? We will abolish advertising soon to protect our ‘sacred space’?00:51:01 Why is productivity growth so low? Are we not daring enough? Is the focus on marketing (‘useless products’) to blame?00:58:43 Why wars (as terrible as they are) are good measures of productivity and ideology.00:59:55 After the ‘Death of God’ and the ‘Death of the Individual’ how are we now orient ourselves?01:07:32 Why ‘native tribes’ don’t see a crisis of meaning or depression currently? Why some religions are more static than others.01:11:23 What is our best bet for a future religion? Is it likely to emerge or will we have to live with many parallel truths? Will we see ‘weird activism’ instead?01:18:11 Why the world will look more like India and Singapore soon?01:24:12 What surprised Alexander the most (compared to his predictions) the within the last 20 years?01:26:58 What will happen in 2038? Will AGI actually emerge by itself?01:31:01 Are we (co-)created by an alien intelligence? Is the multiverse theory useful? Should we investigate spacetime more thoroughly?



    You may watch this episode on Youtube – #96 Alexander Bard (The philosophy of everything).



    Alexander Bard is a musician, author, lecturer, artist, songwriter, music producer, political activist and philosopher.



    Alexander is co-author of a number of books incl. Syntheism – Creating God in the Internet Age, The Futurica Trilogy and Digital Libido.







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    • 1 Std. 43 Min.
    Imran Lakha (How to use option strategies to improve your market edge)

    Imran Lakha (How to use option strategies to improve your market edge)

    00:00:38 How Imran found his way from Wall Street to teaching option strategies at Options Insight.00:09:42 What retail traders should learn before trading options. Why meme stocks options are such a ‘rational choice’ right now?00:14:42 Where are the best opportunities for trading options to still have an edge?00:24:45 What is Imran’s view on the delation/inflation scenario? Are commodities a good hedge?00:29:35 Why does a ‘rational investor’ buy negative yielding bonds (or very low yielding bonds) at all considering the inflation risk?00:36:35 Did Softbank successfully manipulate the stock market for mid-tier tech stocks in 2020?00:43:19 Is there a ‘low risk’ strategy to buy/sell volatility?00:48:56 What are excellent, low risk hedging strategies for a portfolio? Can a option based ‘hedge’ actually make money?01:03:15 What is the strong relationship between low interest rates and money losing tech companies?01:08:10 Is there are place for ‘value investors’ left? Why does the investment world basically just ‘bet on more free money’ instead?01:13:14 What is Imran’s strategy to use options trading Bitcoin upside/ downside?



    You may watch this episode on Youtube – #95 Imran Lakha (How to use option strategies to improve your market edge).



    Imran Lakha has been working with Citibank, Bank of America and Credit Suisse trading options. He now teaches options strategies at Options Insight.







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    • 1 Std. 22 Min.
    #94 Erik Lentz (How to build an actual warp drive)

    #94 Erik Lentz (How to build an actual warp drive)

    00:00:14 The short history of Erik’s discovery (and theory) of faster than light speed travel.00:06:20 How Faster Than Light Speed travel would actually work? 00:16:20 How much energy would be required for a warp drive propulsion? Is there enough energy in the universe to make faster than light speed travel feasible?00:25:29 Why the ‘twin paradox’ will be solved with a warp drive?00:32:47 Did Stargate get the ‘warp’ drive idea right after all?00:39:13 Are Black Holes a form of cosmic pollution left over by ‘misconnecting warp drives’?00:44:50 Is time the same for everyone in the universe?00:50:10 What compels us to be pioneers?00:53:05 Do we live in a simulation?01:03:43 What are other ‘faster than light’ phenomena in the universe?01:14:34 How does ‘dark energy/ dark matter’ work? What do we know about it?01:25:10 Are there more dimensions than the four we can easily interact with? Does time exist without a conscious observer?



    You may watch this episode on Youtube – #94 Erik Lentz (How to build an actual warp drive).



    Apologies for the sound quality during the first few minutes – it gets much better after the initial five minutes!



    Erik Lentz is a Ph.D. physicist and focuses on the theoretical, computational, and experimental aspects of searching for dark matter as well as faster than light travel.



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    Thomas Thornton (The past, presence and future of the Hedge Fund industry)

    Thomas Thornton (The past, presence and future of the Hedge Fund industry)

    00:00:30 Thomas’ experience at Wall Street (including running his own hedge fund and an insider trading investigation while working with Steve Cohen) and why he started his latest firm Hedge Fund Telemetry?00:18:40 How Thomas selects themes and timeframes for his daily newsletter?00:24:25 What Thomas thinks of the crypto bubble?00:35:44 Is deflation or inflation the bigger issue right now? Should low income jobs be made redundant?00:46:32 What it means to be a hedge fund manager? Should we aspire to become a Hedge Fund managers? How hedge funds prop up nascent ‘strategy managers’?01:05:02 Why and how should retail investors be exposed to as many financial instruments as possible?01:08:02 What fund managers does Thomas admire?01:14:02 What character types does the financial industry attract?01:29:38 Why are negative (or extremely low) yielding bonds of interest to investors?01:36:22 Thomas’ secret love for the Grand Tour/ Top Gear shows.



    You may watch this episode on Youtube – #93 Thomas Thornton (The past, present and future of Hedge Funds).



    Thomas Thornton is a former portfolio manager, senior trader, and technical analyst with Level Global Investors and Galileo Capital. Thomas is writing a daily investment newsletter at Hedge Fund Telemetry.



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    • 1 Std. 43 Min.
    Peter Voss (How and when will we build really intelligent machines?)

    Peter Voss (How and when will we build really intelligent machines?)

    00:00:30 How did Peter get started studying intelligence and how he envisions computers and AI should become more intelligent?00:06:31 What better approach can we take to build a thinking machine?00:12:18 When will we have machines that can build and improve themselves?00:16:50 How will the third wave of AI look like?00:19:06 Is GPT-3 like magic or is it a failure?00:21:06 Will we need to create a ‘Free Will’ to create an intelligence machine?00:34:10 How self awareness and abstract concepts are a necessary predecessor to real intelligence?00:39:49 Is overly logical thinking a hindrance in modelling ‘social functions’ in computers?00:45:41 Can ‘real intelligence’ be an emergent property of ‘dumber algorithms’?00:49:09 How aigo.ai is creating a chatbot with a brain?00:59:03 How does aigo.ai learn from customer interactions?01:12:15 Will we all live the lifes of kings soon? What abundance can we expect from the Singularity?01:21:15 How much money should be allocated ‘Third Wave AI’?



    You may watch this episode on Youtube – # 92 Peter Voss (How and when will we build really intelligent machines?).



    Peter Voss is a serial entrepreneur and currently runs aigo.ai. The company implements a ‘Third Wave of AI’ with deep understanding of natural language, have short- and long-term memory, learn interactively, use context, and are able to reason and hold meaningful ongoing conversations.



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    • 1 Std. 27 Min.
    Harley Bassman (How to become a Convexity Maven?)

    Harley Bassman (How to become a Convexity Maven?)

    00:01:00 What is Convexity and how does it express itself?00:02:59 Why startup founders usually enjoy positive convexity. Why bonds often come with negative convexity?00:08:33 Why taking a flat fee is a good idea for money management?00:14:03 Did Softbank create a ‘Gamma Melt-up’ buying an extraordinary amount of call options in 2020?00:21:45 How to profit from increased interest rates? How to open up the upside without taking all the downside?00:32:14 How the time horizon of investments has shrunk so much?00:34:10 What is the state of productive carry-trades on right now? Should people look at Turkey, Mexico or Brazil?00:37:43 What is ISDA and why it offers amazing way for financial contracts unavailable to retail investors.00:42:59 How can retail investor get exposure to CDS (Credit Default Swaps) options through Simplify?00:47:45 How big is a structural risk for a ‘risk drawdown event’?00:58:51 Will the Fed be able to inflate out of the current deflationary scenario?01:00:17 Will the rapid rise of technology allow us to grow out of the high debt level (just after WWII)?01:03:12 How much are growth rates influenced by social and political attitudes?



    You may watch this episode on Youtube – #91 Harley Bassman (How to become a Convexity Maven?).



    Harley Bassman looks back at a checkered career of 35+ years at Wall Street and also runs Convexity Maven. Harley currently works with Simplify.



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    • 1 Std. 11 Min.

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