218 episodes

Clearer Thinking is a podcast about ideas that truly matter. If you enjoy learning about powerful, practical concepts and frameworks, wish you had more deep, intellectual conversations in your life, or are looking for non-BS self-improvement, then we think you'll love this podcast! Each week we invite a brilliant guest to bring four important ideas to discuss for an in-depth conversation. Topics include psychology, society, behavior change, philosophy, science, artificial intelligence, math, economics, self-help, mental health, and technology. We focus on ideas that can be applied right now to make your life better or to help you better understand yourself and the world, aiming to teach you the best mental tools to enhance your learning, self-improvement efforts, and decision-making. • We take on important, thorny questions like: • What's the best way to help a friend or loved one going through a difficult time? How can we make our worldviews more accurate? How can we hone the accuracy of our thinking? What are the advantages of using our "gut" to make decisions? And when should we expect careful, analytical reflection to be more effective? Why do societies sometimes collapse? And what can we do to reduce the chance that ours collapses? Why is the world today so much worse than it could be? And what can we do to make it better? What are the good and bad parts of tradition? And are there more meaningful and ethical ways of carrying out important rituals, such as honoring the dead? How can we move beyond zero-sum, adversarial negotiations and create more positive-sum interactions?

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg Spencer Greenberg

    • Science

Clearer Thinking is a podcast about ideas that truly matter. If you enjoy learning about powerful, practical concepts and frameworks, wish you had more deep, intellectual conversations in your life, or are looking for non-BS self-improvement, then we think you'll love this podcast! Each week we invite a brilliant guest to bring four important ideas to discuss for an in-depth conversation. Topics include psychology, society, behavior change, philosophy, science, artificial intelligence, math, economics, self-help, mental health, and technology. We focus on ideas that can be applied right now to make your life better or to help you better understand yourself and the world, aiming to teach you the best mental tools to enhance your learning, self-improvement efforts, and decision-making. • We take on important, thorny questions like: • What's the best way to help a friend or loved one going through a difficult time? How can we make our worldviews more accurate? How can we hone the accuracy of our thinking? What are the advantages of using our "gut" to make decisions? And when should we expect careful, analytical reflection to be more effective? Why do societies sometimes collapse? And what can we do to reduce the chance that ours collapses? Why is the world today so much worse than it could be? And what can we do to make it better? What are the good and bad parts of tradition? And are there more meaningful and ethical ways of carrying out important rituals, such as honoring the dead? How can we move beyond zero-sum, adversarial negotiations and create more positive-sum interactions?

    Spencer on The 80,000 Hours Podcast discussing money & happiness and hype vs. value (with Rob Wiblin)

    Spencer on The 80,000 Hours Podcast discussing money & happiness and hype vs. value (with Rob Wiblin)

    Read the full transcript here. (https://podcast.clearerthinking.org/episode/218/#transcript) • NOTE: Spencer appeared as a guest on The 80,000 Hours Podcast (https://80000hours.org/podcast/) back in March, and this episode is our release of that recording. Thanks to the folks at The 80,000 Hours Podcast for sharing both their audio and transcript with us! • Does money make people happy? What's the difference between life satisfaction and wellbeing? In other contexts, critics are quick to point out that correlation does not equal causation; so why do they so often seem to ignore such equations when they appear in research about the relationships between money and happiness? When is hype a good thing? What are some ethical ways to generate hype? What are some signs that someone is an untrustworthy or hurtful person? Are pre-registrations and/or registered reports helping with reproducibility in the social sciences? Should we all maintain a list of principles to help guide our decisions? What are the most common pitfalls in group decision-making? What is "lightgassing"? What kinds of life outcomes can be predicted from a person's astrological sign? How does machine learning differ from statistics? When does retaliatory behavior become pro -social? In what ways do people change when they become parents? • Rob Wiblin hosts The 80,000 Hours Podcast , which investigates the world's most pressing problems and what listeners can do to solve them. You can learn more about Rob at robwiblin.com (http://robwiblin.com/), learn more about his research work at 80000hours.org (http://80000hours.org/), and follow him on social media at @robertwiblin (https://twitter.com/robertwiblin). • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host / Director • Josh Castle (mailto:joshrcastle@gmail.com) — Producer • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Audio Engineer • Uri Bram (https://uribram.com/) — Factotum • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/) [Read more: https://podcast.clearerthinking.org/episode/218/rob-wiblin-spencer-on-the-80-000-hours-podcast-discussing-money-happiness-and-hype-vs-value]

    • 2 hrs 34 min
    Concrete actions anyone can take to help improve AI safety (with Kat Woods)

    Concrete actions anyone can take to help improve AI safety (with Kat Woods)

    Why should we consider slowing AI development? Could we slow down AI development even if we wanted to? What is a "minimum viable x-risk"? What are some of the more plausible, less Hollywood-esque risks from AI? Even if an AI could destroy us all, why would it want to do so? What are some analogous cases where we slowed the development of a specific technology? And how did they turn out? What are some reasonable, feasible regulations that could be implemented to slow AI development? If an AI becomes smarter than humans, wouldn't it also be wiser than humans and therefore more likely to know what we need and want and less likely to destroy us? Is it easier to control a more intelligent AI or a less intelligent one? Why do we struggle so much to define utopia? What can the average person do to encourage safe and ethical development of AI? • Kat Woods is a serial charity entrepreneur who's founded four effective altruist charities. She runs Nonlinear (https://www.nonlinear.org/), an AI safety charity. Prior to starting Nonlinear, she co-founded Charity Entrepreneurship (https://www.charityentrepreneurship.com), a charity incubator that has launched dozens of charities in global poverty and animal rights. Prior to that, she co-founded Charity Science Health (https://www.givewell.org/charities/charity-science-health/all-content), which helped vaccinate 200,000+ children in India, and, according to GiveWell's estimates at the time, was similarly cost-effective to AMF. You can follow her on Twitter at @kat__woods (https://twitter.com/kat__woods); you can read her EA writing here (https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/users/katherinesavoie?sortedBy=topAdjusted) and here (https://www.lesswrong.com/users/ea247?sortedBy=topAdjusted); and you can read her personal blog here (https://www.katwoods.org/). • Further reading: • Robert Miles AI Safety @ YouTube (https://www.youtube.com/c/robertmilesai) • "The AI Revolution: The Road to Superintelligence", by Tim Urban (https://waitbutwhy.com/2015/01/artificial-intelligence-revolution-1.html) • Uncontrollable: The Threat of Artificial Superintelligence and the Race to Save the World, by Darren McKee (https://www.amazon.com/Uncontrollable-Threat-Artificial-Superintelligence-World/dp/B0CNNYKVH1) • The Nonlinear Network (https://www.nonlinear.org/network.html) • PauseAI (https://pauseai.info/) • Dan Hendrycks @ Manifund (https://manifund.org/hendrycks) (AI regrantor) • Adam Gleave @ Manifund (https://manifund.org/AdamGleave) (AI regrantor) • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host / Director • Josh Castle (mailto:joshrcastle@gmail.com) — Producer • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Audio Engineer • Uri Bram (https://uribram.com/) — Factotum • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/) [Read more: https://podcast.clearerthinking.org/episode/217/kat-woods-concrete-actions-anyone-can-take-to-help-improve-ai-safety]

    • 1 hr
    What do socialism and effective altruism have in common? (with Garrison Lovely)

    What do socialism and effective altruism have in common? (with Garrison Lovely)

    Read the full transcript here. (https://podcast.clearerthinking.org/episode/216/#transcript) • What does effective altruism look like from a leftist / socialist perspective? Are the far left and EA the only groups that take radical egalitarianism seriously? What are some of the points of agreement and disagreement between EA ; socialism? Socialists frequently critique the excesses, harms, and failures of capitalism; but what do they have to say about the effectiveness of capitalism to produce wealth, goods, and services? Is socialism just a top-down mirror of capitalism? How difficult is it to mix and match economic tools or systems? Why is the left not more tuned into AI development? What are the three main sides in AI debates right now? Why are there so many disagreements between AI safety and AI ethics groups? What do the incentive structures look like for governments regarding AGI? Should the world create a CERN-like entity to manage and regulate AI research? How should we think about AI research in light of the trend of AI non-profits joining forces with or being subsumed by for-profit corporations? How might for-profit corporations handle existential risks from AI if those risks seem overwhelmingly likely to become reality? • Garrison Lovely is a Brooklyn-based freelance journalist with cover stories in The Nation (https://www.thenation.com/article/society/mckinsey-whistleblower-confessions/) and Jacobin (https://www.jacobinmag.com/author/garrison-lovely) and long-form work in BBC Future (https://bbc.in/3OhWUE3), Vox (https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/23639475/pescetarian-eating-fish-ethics-vegetarian-animal-welfare-seafood-fishing-chicken-beef-climate), Current Affairs (https://www.currentaffairs.org/author/garrison-lovely), and elsewhere. He has appeared on CBS News Sunday Morning (https://www.cbsnews.com/video/pulling-back-the-veil-of-secrecy-surrounding-mckinsey/#x), The Weather Channel (https://youtu.be/G7NEtUJC29Q), The Majority Report (https://www.youtube.com/live/EnsitCyMXX0?si=FQSpcbnl6OIj7udn;t=3143), and SiriusXM (https://player.fm/series/the-john-fugelsang-podcast/pioneers-uncovering-the-truth). He hosts the podcast The Most Interesting People I Know (https://mostinterestingpeople.podbean.com/). His writing has been referenced in publications like The New Yorker (https://www.newyorker.com/science/annals-of-artificial-intelligence/will-ai-become-the-new-mckinsey#:~:text=A%20former%20McKinsey%20employee%20has%20described%20the%20company%20as%20%E2%80%9Ccapital%E2%80%99s%20willing%20executioners%E2%80%9D%3A%20if%20you%20want%20something%20done%20but%20don%E2%80%99t%20want%20to%20get%20your%20hands%20dirty%2C%20McKinsey%20will%20do%20it%20for%20you.) (by Ted Chiang), ProPublica (https://www.propublica.org/article/the-country-that-exiled-mckinsey), New York Magazine (http://nymag.com/intelligencer/2019/04/mckinsey-in-puerto-rico.html), The New Republic (https://newrepublic.com/article/155863/houston-astros-cheaters-2017-world-series-mckinsey-problem), and GQ (https://www.gq.com/story/buttigieg-mckinsey-clients-list). Read his writings on his Substack (http://garrisonlovely.substack.com/); learn more about his work at his website, garrisonlovely.com (http://garrisonlovely.com/); or email him at tgarrisonlovely@gmail.com (mailto:tgarrisonlovely@gmail.com). • Further reading: • "13 Ways Some Companies Make Money While Causing Harm", by Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/2017/10/13-ways-some-companies-make-money-while-causing-harm/) • "Can Humanity Survive AI?", by Garrison Lovely (https://jacobin.com/2024/01/can-humanity-survive-ai) in Jacobin • "The Data Show That Socialism Works", by Nick Warino (https://www.currentaffairs.org/2019/12/the-data-show-that-socialism-works) in Current Affairs • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Ho... [Read more: https://podcast.clearerthinking.org/episode/216/garrison-lovely-what-do-socialism-and-effective-altruism-ha

    • 1 hr 10 min
    Raising our happiness baseline (with Sasha Chapin)

    Raising our happiness baseline (with Sasha Chapin)

    Read the full transcript here. (https://podcast.clearerthinking.org/episode/215/#transcript) • How easy is it to shift our baseline level of happiness? What sorts of things can most effectively shift that baseline? And are they highly specific to each individual or generalizable to most people? What are the differences between conceptual and phenomenal self-love? Why might it be useful to view shame as a kink? How does self-love or self-acceptance differ from indulging or even just tolerating the worst parts of yourself? What's the best way to think about "woo"? How genuine is the stereotypical guru demeanor of serenity, graciousness, and attentiveness? Is it possible for people with aphantasia to learn visualization? What's so interesting about perfume? What can people do to become better writers? • Sasha Chapin is a writer currently living in California. Most of his recent writing is on his Substack (https://sashachapin.substack.com/). His most popular posts there are "What the humans like is responsiveness" (https://sashachapin.substack.com/p/what-the-humans-like-is-responsiveness) and "50 Things I Know" (https://sashachapin.substack.com/p/50-things-i-know). He also wrote a book called All the Wrong Moves: A Memoir About Chess, Love, and Ruining Everything (https://www.amazon.com/All-Wrong-Moves-Ruining-Everything/dp/0385545177). Learn more about him at his website, sashachapin.com (https://www.sashachapin.com/), or follow him on Twitter / X at @sashachapin (https://twitter.com/sashachapin). • Further reading: • Cate Hall's Clearer Thinking episode (https://podcast.clearerthinking.org/episode/113/cate-hall-are-we-all-the-heroes-of-our-own-stories/) • Loch Kelly's Clearer Thinking episode (https://podcast.clearerthinking.org/episode/093/loch-kelly-accessing-pure-consciousness-at-any-moment/) • Mind's Eye Development eCourse (https://rcdc-courses.teachable.com/p/aphantasia-to-mental-imagery) — the course that helped Sasha overcome aphantasia • Loving What Is: Four Questions That Can Change Your Life, by Byron Katie (https://www.amazon.com/Loving-What-Four-Questions-Change/dp/1400045371) • Expanding Awareness, by Michael Ashcroft (https://expandingawareness.org/) • Difficult Conversations: How to Discuss What Matters Most, by Douglas Stone, Bruce Patton, and Sheila Heen (https://www.amazon.com/Difficult-Conversations-Discuss-What-Matters/dp/0143118447) • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host / Director • Josh Castle (mailto:joshrcastle@gmail.com) — Producer • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Audio Engineer • Uri Bram (https://uribram.com/) — Factotum • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/) [Read more: https://podcast.clearerthinking.org/episode/215/sasha-chapin-raising-our-happiness-baseline]

    • 1 hr 21 min
    Worldviews, altruism, and embracing variance (with Emmett Shear)

    Worldviews, altruism, and embracing variance (with Emmett Shear)

    Read the full transcript here. (https://podcast.clearerthinking.org/episode/214/#transcript) • How does Emmett's worldview differ from the standard Silicon Valley worldview? What's the difference between an ideology and a worldview? What's middle management useful for? How might democracy be improved? How important is optimism? Why do people seem to get less done each day than they expect to get done? When is high variance beneficial? Does every startup have a point where it seems like they're going to fail? What's the best and worst startup advice out there? What's the right way to learn from users / customers? When should companies follow trends? How should we think about the different types of AI risks? • Emmett Shear is an entrepreneur and investor. He was part of the first class at Y Combinator in 2005. He co-founded Justin.tv in 2006 and its spin-off company Twitch in 2011. In the same year, he also became a part-time partner at Y Combinator, a role in which he continues to advise new startups. He very briefly (for 2.5 days) acted as interim CEO at OpenAI in November 2023. Follow him on Twitter / X at @eshear (https://twitter.com/eshear). • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host / Director • Josh Castle (mailto:joshrcastle@gmail.com) — Producer • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Audio Engineer • Uri Bram (https://uribram.com/) — Factotum • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Alexandria D. — Research and Special Projects Assistant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zapsplat.com (https://www.zapsplat.com/music/summer-haze-slow-chill-out-house-track-with-a-modern-pop-feel-warm-piano-chords-underpin-the-track-with-warm-pads-and-a-repetitive-synth-arpeggio/) • Affiliates • Clearer Thinking (https://www.clearerthinking.org/) • GuidedTrack (https://guidedtrack.com/) • Mind Ease (https://mindease.io/) • Positly (https://positly.com/) • UpLift (https://www.uplift.app/) [Read more: https://podcast.clearerthinking.org/episode/214/emmett-shear-worldviews-altruism-and-embracing-variance]

    • 1 hr 20 min
    Two things shape the course of your life: luck and your decisions (with Annie Duke)

    Two things shape the course of your life: luck and your decisions (with Annie Duke)

    Read the full transcript here. (https://podcast.clearerthinking.org/episode/213/#transcript) • Should people spend more time becoming better decision-makers? What are the main things that determine how our lives turn out? What's wrong with pro / con lists? When should we deviate from making decisions based on expected value calculations? What kinds of uncertainty might we encounter in the decision-making process? Are explicit decision calculations self-defeating? How similar is intuitive decision-making to decision-making that's based on calculations? How useful are heuristics? How can we know which decisions are significant enough to warrant calculations? What makes a decision hard? What's the omission / commission bias? What lessons can we learn from monkeys and pedestals? Should decision-making strategies be taught in primary and secondary schools? • Annie Duke is an author, speaker, and consultant in the decision-making space, as well as Special Partner focused on Decision Science at First Round Capital Partners, a seed stage venture fund. Her latest book, Quit: The Power of Knowing When to Walk Away , was released in 2022 from Portfolio, a Penguin Random House imprint. Her previous book, Thinking in Bets , is a national bestseller. As a former professional poker player, she has won more than $4 million in tournament poker, has won a World Series of Poker bracelet, and is the only woman to have won the World Series of Poker Tournament of Champions and the NBC National Poker Heads-Up Championship. She is the co-founder of The Alliance for Decision Education, a non-profit whose mission is to improve lives by empowering students through decision skills education. Connect with her on Facebook (https://www.facebook.com/AnnieDukeAuthor), Twitter (https://twitter.com/AnnieDuke), YouTube (http://www.youtube.com/channel/UClDhEz5b55RH1ZfEZd7Y3hA), LinkedIn (http://www.linkedin.com/pub/annie-duke/5/b2b/30a) or via her website, AnnieDuke.com (https://annieduke.com); or subscribe to her newsletter on Substack (https://annieduke.substack.com/). • Further reading: • Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts, by Annie Duke (https://www.amazon.com/Thinking-in-Bets-Annie-Duke-audiobook/dp/B078SBSBW3/ref=sr_1_1?crid=ANL7NGV8W0OU;keywords=annie+duke;qid=1702853892;sprefix=annie+du%2Caps%2C551;sr=8-1) • Quit: The Power of Knowing When to Walk Away, by Annie Duke (https://www.amazon.com/Quit-Power-Knowing-When-Walk/dp/B09PVR6YK5/ref=sr_1_2?crid=ANL7NGV8W0OU;keywords=annie+duke;qid=1702853903;sprefix=annie+du%2Caps%2C551;sr=8-2) • How to Decide: Simple Tools for Making Better Choices, by Annie Duke (https://www.amazon.com/How-Decide-Simple-Making-Choices/dp/B088P4XLVB/ref=sr_1_3?crid=ANL7NGV8W0OU;keywords=annie+duke;qid=1702853903;sprefix=annie+du%2Caps%2C551;sr=8-3) • The Alliance for Decision Education (https://alliancefordecisioneducation.org/) • Staff • Spencer Greenberg (https://www.spencergreenberg.com/) — Host / Director • Josh Castle (mailto:joshrcastle@gmail.com) — Producer • Ryan Kessler (https://tone.support/) — Audio Engineer • Uri Bram (https://uribram.com/) — Factotum • WeAmplify (https://www.weamplify.info/) — Transcriptionists • Alexandria D. — Research and Special Projects Assistant • Music • Broke for Free (https://freemusicarchive.org/music/Broke_For_Free/Something_EP/Broke_For_Free_-_Something_EP_-_05_Something_Elated) • Josh Woodward (https://www.joshwoodward.com/song/AlreadyThere) • Lee Rosevere (https://archive.org/details/MusicForPodcasts04/Lee+Rosevere+-+Music+for+Podcasts+4+-+11+Keeping+Stuff+Together.flac) • Quiet Music for Tiny Robots (https://www.freemusicarchive.org/music/Quiet_Music_for_Tiny_Robots/The_February_Album/05_Tiny_Robot_Armies) • wowamusic (https://gamesounds.xyz/?dir=wowamusic) • zaps... [Read more: https://podcast.clearerthinking.org/episode/213/annie-duke-two-things-shape-the-course-of-your-life-luck-and-your-d

    • 1 hr 25 min

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