Walker Crips' Market Commentary Walker Crips Investment Management Limited

Last week, the Bank of England ("BOE") decided to maintain interest rates at 5.25%. However, two out of nine officials from the Monetary Policy Committee ("MPC") voted in favour of an interest rate cut, demonstrating a more dovish view and increasing market expectations for a rate cut in June. This shift was predominantly driven by macroeconomic forecasts indicating inflation heading back towards its 2% target shortly. The market response was relatively subdued as investors awaited incoming economic data, with two sets of inflation and labour market updates scheduled before the BOE's June interest rate decision. Notably the BOE Governor, Andrew Bailey, also hinted at the possibility of deeper interest rate cuts, highlighting the institution’s commitment to addressing economic concerns...
Stocks featured:
Boohoo Group, IWG and John Wood Group

To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:
https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/
This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 226344) and is a member of the London Stock Exchange.

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In anticipation of the Federal Reserve’s (“Fed”) upcoming policy decision, the FTSE 100 and gilt yields saw modest increases. This decision is expected to influence the Bank of England's (“BOE”) interest rate strategy. Currently, UK markets have dialled back interest rate expectations, predicting only 0.38% in cuts this year, with the first adjustment anticipated in the fourth quarter. This cautious stance comes despite the slowest rise in UK shop prices since December 2021, as reported by the British Retail Consortium. This reflects a notable deceleration in non-food price inflation and easing food costs.
Stocks featured:
Standard Chartered, Smurfit Kappa Group and Melrose Industries

To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:
https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/
This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 226344) and is a member of the London Stock Exchange.

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Last week saw economists divided over the timing of the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Bank of England (“BOE”). A Reuters poll revealed a division between forecasts for a June cut and a delay until the third quarter. Despite inflation easing to 3.2% year-on-year in March, slightly above the expected 3.1%, persistent service prices and wage growth may delay the BOE’s monetary easing. The International Monetary Fund’s recent downward revision of the UK's growth outlook further complicates the BOE's decision-making, emphasising the need for a cautious approach amid prolonged weak growth...
Stocks featured:
Anglo American, Barclays and NatWest Group

To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:
https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/
This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 226344) and is a member of the London Stock Exchange.

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As inflation dynamics diverge between the UK and the US, the Bank of England (“BOE”) is poised for potential interest rate cuts ahead of the Federal Reserve. Bloomberg reports that the momentum of lowering inflation in the UK, with further easing expected, bolsters the case for a summer rate cut. Despite warnings from BOE Monetary Policy Committee members Jonathan Haskel, Catherine Mann and Megan Greene about the likelihood of rate cuts, market dynamics suggest a shift in monetary policy could occur sooner due to the UK's distinct economic conditions.
Stocks featured:
Mondi, Dr Martens and Dunlem

To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:
https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/
This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The former Chair of the US Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke, has offered a candid assessment of the Bank of England's ("BOE") forecasting processes, highlighting shortcomings such as outdated modelling software and staff carrying out manual functions which could be automated. While providing recommendations for improvement, Bernanke stopped short of advocating major departures from the BOE's traditional approach to monetary policy, leaving such reforms for future consideration. As discussions within the central bank continue, the review marks a pivotal moment for reassessing the UK's monetary policy framework...
Stocks featured:
Centrica, Fresnillo and Rio Tinto

To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:
https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/
This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and is a member of the London Stock Exchange.

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Amidst evolving economic indicators and shifting market sentiments, the Bank of England's (“BOE”) latest Decision Maker Panel survey indicates a moderation in both inflation and wage forecasts. The survey highlights a decline in year-ahead own price inflation to 4.1% in the three months to March, down from 4.3% in February, suggesting a slight easing in price pressures. Similarly, one-year ahead Consumer Price Index (“CPI”) declined to 3.2% from 3.3%, while three-year ahead CPI stood at 2.7% versus the previous 2.8%, indicating a tempered inflation outlook. Moreover, the survey reports a year-ahead wage growth of 4.9% on a three-month moving average basis, coupled with an annual wage growth of 6.4% in March, reflecting a gradual slowdown in wage growth momentum.
While the UK economy continues its recovery trajectory, the pace appears to have eased slightly, particularly within the services sector. The final services sector Purchasing Managers' Index (“PMI”) for March came in at 53.1, slightly below the estimate of 53.4, indicating a modest upturn in activity. However, this moderation leaves the composite reading at 52.8, below February's nine-month high...
Stocks featured:
Fresnillo, Ocado and Future

To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website:
https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/
This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 226344) and is a member of the London Stock Exchange.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.