200 épisodes

Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.

FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News

    • Actualités
    • 4,5 • 28 notes

Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.

    How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did

    How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did

    In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time?
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    • 1h
    The Politics Of Loneliness

    The Politics Of Loneliness

    Americans are spending more and more time alone, and more than a third reported experiencing “serious loneliness" in 2021. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America.
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    • 51 min
    There Are Some Big Elections Happening In 2023

    There Are Some Big Elections Happening In 2023

    Although much of our elections-related attention is already trained on 2024, there are consequential elections happening this very calendar year. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling.
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    • 1h 3 min
    Baby Boomers' Strength Was In Their Numbers. That's Changing.

    Baby Boomers' Strength Was In Their Numbers. That's Changing.

    In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today — politically, economically, culturally — have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. Galen speaks with him.
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    • 40 min
    What The Debt Ceiling And George Santos's Career Have In Common

    What The Debt Ceiling And George Santos's Career Have In Common

    The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santos’s career might unfold. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics.
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    • 1h 10 min
    California's Senate Primary Is Going To Be A Doozy

    California's Senate Primary Is Going To Be A Doozy

    Over the weekend, the White House announced that five more classified documents from the Obama administration were found at President Biden's Delaware home. The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like.
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    • 54 min

Avis

4,5 sur 5
28 notes

28 notes

westhamfam38484 ,

Five thirty eight

This is very good, from the perspective of a middle-aged college-educated white English male living in Rome, Italy. I like the sense of intelligent informed people trying to think. One small grumble - it would be great if Mr Silver could resist using ‘like’ and ‘you now’ quite so often. Just pause -
silence is fine.

Many thanks, MS

Twiggy 27 ,

Where’s Clare

This podcast was a particular favourite of mine but I’ve only listened to it a couple of times since Clare Malone stopped contributing and it’s gone downhill. Why is Clare no longer in the team? She gave the best analyses and her comments were spot on. Bring her back please because I’m not going to listen anymore until you do!

Lalou, ex New Yorker ,

Missing Clare

This used to be one of my go to political podcast, and last week they fired the best part of it, Clare Malone, she was incredible and the voice of reason. This killed the podcast. Not listening anymore.

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