
37 episodes

Bold Conjectures with Paras Chopra Paras Chopra
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- Science
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5.0 • 9 Ratings
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My name is Paras Chopra and in the Bold Conjectures podcast, I interview experts from a variety of fields, asking them about unsolved questions in their field and what’s their conjecture for such open questions. Conjectures are ideas that are thought to be true but we neither have proof or disproof for them. Karl Popper, the famous philosopher of science, famously wrote the following in his debut book: “Bold ideas, unjustified anticipations, and speculative thought, are our only means for interpreting nature: our only organon, our only instrument, for grasping her.” All new groundbreaking ideas when initially proposed are in the form of a bold hypothesis. I love speculative thought which points to the direction of potential new knowledge. So, this is why I chose to focus on exploring what we don’t yet know for sure (rather what’s already settled consensus).
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#37 Patri Friedman - How To Start a New City
I’m with Patri Friedman who is a General Partner @ Pronomos Capital, the world's first charter city VC fund. Before this, he founded The Seasteading Institute, a non-profit that explores the creation of sovereign ocean colonies.
What is a charter city? What does a sovereign ocean colony mean? We will explore all these ideas in detail with Patri pretty soon. For now, you should know that Patri is a champion for innovation in governance.
Our economy thrives because there’s continuous innovation happening when new products and services are brought in the market. That innovation is mostly driven by startup companies who challenge the status quo of established companies. But this dynamic doesn’t exist in governance – we’re stuck with the legal systems and constitutions we’re born into.
What if we could kick-start a new city with an entirely fresh take on society? That’s the topic of today’s discussion.
== What we talk about ==
00:00 - Introduction to the podcast
01:13 - What led Patri to start the Seasteading Institute (a non-profit that explores the creation of sovereign ocean colonies)
05:44 - The current status of the project
07:29 - What is the legal status of putting a house, in the middle of nowhere?
16:30 - Definition of a Charter City
19:13 - What type of governments would allow Charter Cities?
21:30 - Are some governments fearful of giving up control?
24:50 - Have you made any investments in Charter Cities? What are the exciting things that are happening in this space?
29:20 - How do you motivate these incredibly smart, talented, and motivated people to move to a new city?
32:45 - What does a seed investment/early stage investment mean for a charter city or a community?
35:30 - Are there any focus areas or geographical regions you're interested in that entrepreneurs can reach out to you with their pitches?
39:30 - How did your father David D. Friedman's and grandfather Milton Friedman's thinking shape your thinking?
45:10 - What is the basic principle of Anarcho-capitalism?
51:20 - Are ideas like DAO in crypto inspired by Anarcho-capitalism?
52:44 - Have you thought about what governance systems will make sense when we become interplanetary species?
55:45 - Any laws on who claims a part of Moon or Mars?
56:20 - What is Jhana Meditation, and how does it differ from other styles of meditation?
1:04:00 - Is there anything else that you want to add, that you wanted me to ask, but I didn't ask?
1:05:12 - Concluding Thoughts -
#36 Stephan Guyenet - Why We Get Fat
I interview Dr Stephan Guyenet, who is a researcher and science communicator in the field of neuroscience of obesity. He has written an excellent book on the same topic - The Hungry Brain. In his book, he explains how the brain is the central organ responsible for gaining weight and body fat.
Stephan finished his PhD in neuroscience from the University of Washington, and then spent 12 years as a full time researcher exploring the science of obesity and its link to the brain.
Stephan is also the founder and director of a non-profit called Red Pen Reviews, an online publication where he and his fellow researchers review popular nutrition books for scientific accuracy. Nutrition is an area where unfounded claims are often made, so I’m grateful for Stephan and the team for putting in effort to help sift scientifically grounded nutrition books from pseudoscience.
In this podcast, I explore with Stephan the neuroscience of why we get fat, and what we can do to stay fit.
== What we talk about ==
00:00 - Introduction to the podcast
01:20 - What is obesity and why should anyone care about it?
05:12 - The Ideal Body Mass Index & the Relationship between BMI and Ethnicity
10:24 - What exactly fat does in our body which make us unhealthy?
16:48 - What actually causes insulin resistance?
23:14 - How do excess calories that we eat ultimately end up into the fat cells?
29:15 - Why is ketogenic diet so popular? How does it really work?
31:07 - Why do we over-eat even when we don't want to?
58:14 - Non-homeostatic systems that make us overeat
1:07:38 - Is food addiction real?
1:17:15 - What people can really do to not get fat?
1:20:52 - Concluding Thoughts -
#35 Jerry Neumann - Startups Succeed When There's Uncertainty
In a world dominated by big companies with billions of dollars in investible capital, why should tiny startups be successful with anything?
After all, startups are less capitalized, have a non-existent brand, and often the products they release are basic.
Our today’s guest, Jerry Neumann, spends his time thinking about why startups are able to grow despite being surrounded by big companies. Without giving out too much, his ideas revolve around the concept of “uncertainty” and how, counterintuitively, it is the key to a startup's success.
He’s a venture capitalist with investments in popular companies such as DataDog and BankSimple. He also teaches entrepreneurship at Columbia University’s engineering school. He writes a blog called reactionwheel.net, which I will highly recommend everyone to read after they’re done listening to this podcast.
== What we talk about ==
0:00 - Introduction
1:23 - How did you become a venture capitalist and after that how did you end up teaching entrepreneurship at Columbia University?
7:59 - Can entrepreneurship be taught? What exactly are you teaching your students?
13:22 - Why should entrepreneurs embrace uncertainty & how does it fuel startups?
23:44 - Why big companies are obsessed with certainty?
30:22 - How should an entrepreneur handle uncertainty?
32:40 - Do you think if an opportunity or an Idea is too obvious, should an entrepreneur not pursue it?
39:32 - Can you talk about how market uncertainty is different than technical uncertainty?
44:15 - What is your thought when people say that the culture of innovation & the pace of innovation is itself a moat?
48:17 - Do have a framework to think about what are strong moats?
50:44 - How should an entrepreneur proceed to resolve uncertainty in an optimal way?
57:55 - Can you share your thoughts on what entrepreneurs should know about how VCs work?
1:04:16 - Closing of Podcast -
#34 Gregory Zuckerman - How Covid-19 Vaccine was Made in One Year
I interview Gregory Zuckerman, who is a journalist with The Wall Street Journal and author of several award-winning non-fiction books.
His book on The Man Who Solved the Market profiled Jim Simmons of Renaissance Technologies which is perhaps the most profitable quant fund ever. The book was the #1 best-seller on the NY Times list and won the 2019 FT/McKinsey book of the year award.
His most recent book - A Shot to Save the World is a behind-the-scenes account of how covid-19 vaccine was developed and launched within a year of the pandemic’s start. This achievement is unprecedented in history as vaccines generally take many years and sometimes even decades to get developed.
What did we do differently this time? Well, that’s the topic we’re going to explore today.
== What we talk about ==
0:00 - Introduction
1:15 - How do you select the topic to write a book on?
4:15 - Do you seek a challenge in finding out what does not exist in the public view and getting it out in the public?
6:10 - Can you give a high-level history & timeline of the covid-19 vaccines?
10:56 - What is that startups (and not big corps) ended up creating the vaccine?
16:41 - What did you observe about human nature during vaccine development?
21:06 - Is it ethical to make a profit during the times like pandemics?
24:30 - Academics do all the fundamental R&D but they don't get to share the profit. Is it fair?
27:27 - What are the three types of vaccines basis on how they are different?
34:20 - Is the adenovirus approach different from previous approaches?
35:24 - In terms of vaccines do you prefer putting investment in one project or this diversity is helpful?
40:02 - Do you think there was anything we could have done to accelerate the clinical trials?
42:00 - What are your views on what led to the anti-vax movement, particularly in the US?
47:31 - Are we better prepared to handle the next pandemic?
48:52 - The journey of writing this book
53:08 - Did you have several endings in mind about how the vaccine approval would have turned out?
56:39 - Closing of Podcast -
#33 Brian Naughton - Mining Fungi DNA for New Drugs
In this episode, I talk to Brain Naughton who’s the founder and head of data at Hexagon Bio. He is a Ph.D. in biomedical informatics from Stanford University and before starting Hexagon Bio, he was the founding scientist of 23andMe - the company that brought genetic testing into mass awareness.
At Hexagon Bio, Brain and the team are taking a refreshing new approach to discover new medicines. They’re sequencing the DNA of thousands of microbes and then using machine learning to predict which molecules could those microbes be making that will turn out to be effective medicines.
This approach of studying genomes of a wide variety of organisms at once is called metagenomics. What it is and how it helps in discovering new medicines is the topic of today’s podcast.
== What we talk about ==
0:00 - Introduction
1:11 - How did you get interested in genomics?
2:57 - How does traditional drug discovery work & what do you do differently at Hexagon Bio?
8:54 - Why would a plant have a small molecule that could treat cancer in humans when there is no evolutionary pressure on plants to do that?
12:55 - How are you discovering the right natural molecules from fungi out of the almost infinite number of natural products they produce?
15:37 - Are you sequencing genomes by yourself or are using public databases? How are you targeting which species of fungi to start with?
16:48 - From the time you have DNA sequence until mapping what drugs they are producing, what is the hardest problem you're tackling?
18:57 - Many genes are involved in making a molecule. How can you predict which molecule will be produced from a set of genes?
24:52 - There may be some gene clusters that we have no idea about what they do. How do you tackle them?
30:35 - At what stage are you in terms of discovering drugs that might proceed to clinical trials?
34:27 - Are you also trying to explore a much simpler way for producing some molecule that’s very hard to make synthetically?
38:29 - Since you are a big fan of automation are you experimenting with any lab equipment or protocol at Hexagon Bio?
42:45 - At Hexagon Bio, do you prefer doing all the work in-house or do you outsource it to other organizations?
50:04 - Thoughts on biotech startups
51:58 - How important are the grants for you?
54:45 - Can you give some tips for biotech entrepreneurs? -
#32 Richard Watson - Evolution Requires More Than Natural Selection
The dominant view of evolution is that of natural selection. But is it enough to generate all the complexity we see around us?
Natural selection suggests that those organisms who outcompete others survive and end up passing their genes to the next generation. According to our today's guest, Richard, there is another mechanism at play which is something he calls Natural Induction. This view explains how adaptions can arise in biological systems without natural selection. Evolution is the reason why we see all the complexity around us, so understanding it from a new lens is going to be very enriching.
== About the guest ==
Richard Watson is an Associate Professor at the Institute for Life Sciences at the University of Southampton. His research interests span artificial life and mechanisms of evolution.
== What we talk about ==
0:00 - Introduction
1:10 - How did you get interested in the mechanisms of evolution?
4:43 - What is natural selection?
8:57 - Your take on the debate on the unit of natural section
17:10 - What made you question natural selection?
26:05 - Can you talk more about your thesis on random accidents in cooperation evolution?
40:27 - Do you mean if individual species do not compete and go their own way, it is beneficial for the group as a whole?
45:23 - What is generalization or induction?
48:08 - Is the ecosystem robust or catastrophic to changes?
49:40 - When an ecosystem, at any moment of the time, is in a particular configuration, what is it really anticipating?
56:08 - In what way natural selection explains the emergence of higher levels of units from cells to organisms or from genes to chromosomes?
58:47 - Is ‘collectively increasing the biomass’ the implicit goal of natural induction?
1:01:37 - Natural selection in the world of businesses
1:09:20 - More about the page you have on your website - ‘What’s love got to do with it?’