1 時間

#92 - Chinese Invasion of Taiwan - What would it look like? Col (Ret) Mark Cancian The Afterburn Podcast

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Colonel Mark Cancian is a retired Marine with over 30 years of active and reserve service. He is a Senior Advisor for the Center for Strategic & International Studies. In this episode he discusses the results of a war game that simulated a Chinese invasion of Taiwan. The Ukraine conflict and the conflict between Israel and Hamas.

Col Mark Cancian https://www.csis.org/people/mark-f-cancian

War Game - https://www.csis.org/analysis/first-battle-next-war-wargaming-chinese-invasion-taiwan

Coping with Surprise - Great Power Conflicts https://www.csis.org/analysis/coping-surprise-great-power-conflicts

Tradeoffs Between Israel - Taiwan - Ukraine :https://www.csis.org/analysis/can-united-states-equip-israel-while-simultaneously-equipping-ukraine-and-taiwan

Chapters



00:00 Introduction and Background
03:45 Reasons for Conducting the War Games
06:20 Structure and Execution of the War Game
08:17 Choice of Year for the Invasion Scenario
09:46 Likely Scenario of the Chinese Invasion
13:08 Assumptions about Military Capabilities
15:53 Importance of Dispersing Forces and Hardening Shelters
19:53 Outcome of the War Game
21:23 Recommendations and Insights
23:01 No Ukraine Option for Taiwan
26:48 Civilian Impact and Scenarios
29:10 Challenges of Crossing the Taiwan Strait
29:39 Chinese Amphibious Operations and Logistics Challenges
30:36 Parallels Between Ukraine and China
31:35 The Reality of Unexpected Military Actions
32:35 Lessons from the War in Ukraine
33:34 Adaptation in Warfare
35:00 Impact of Air Defenses and Naval Warfare in Ukraine
36:28 Role of Drones in the Conflict
39:24 Challenges of Introducing New Technologies
40:20 Limitations of F-16s in Ukraine
45:37 Supporting Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan
52:48 Supporting Allies in Times of Conflict
56:16 Managing Global Commitments
59:39 Threats of a Power Vacuum and Chinese Influence

Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/the-afterburn-podcast/exclusive-content

Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Colonel Mark Cancian is a retired Marine with over 30 years of active and reserve service. He is a Senior Advisor for the Center for Strategic & International Studies. In this episode he discusses the results of a war game that simulated a Chinese invasion of Taiwan. The Ukraine conflict and the conflict between Israel and Hamas.

Col Mark Cancian https://www.csis.org/people/mark-f-cancian

War Game - https://www.csis.org/analysis/first-battle-next-war-wargaming-chinese-invasion-taiwan

Coping with Surprise - Great Power Conflicts https://www.csis.org/analysis/coping-surprise-great-power-conflicts

Tradeoffs Between Israel - Taiwan - Ukraine :https://www.csis.org/analysis/can-united-states-equip-israel-while-simultaneously-equipping-ukraine-and-taiwan

Chapters



00:00 Introduction and Background
03:45 Reasons for Conducting the War Games
06:20 Structure and Execution of the War Game
08:17 Choice of Year for the Invasion Scenario
09:46 Likely Scenario of the Chinese Invasion
13:08 Assumptions about Military Capabilities
15:53 Importance of Dispersing Forces and Hardening Shelters
19:53 Outcome of the War Game
21:23 Recommendations and Insights
23:01 No Ukraine Option for Taiwan
26:48 Civilian Impact and Scenarios
29:10 Challenges of Crossing the Taiwan Strait
29:39 Chinese Amphibious Operations and Logistics Challenges
30:36 Parallels Between Ukraine and China
31:35 The Reality of Unexpected Military Actions
32:35 Lessons from the War in Ukraine
33:34 Adaptation in Warfare
35:00 Impact of Air Defenses and Naval Warfare in Ukraine
36:28 Role of Drones in the Conflict
39:24 Challenges of Introducing New Technologies
40:20 Limitations of F-16s in Ukraine
45:37 Supporting Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan
52:48 Supporting Allies in Times of Conflict
56:16 Managing Global Commitments
59:39 Threats of a Power Vacuum and Chinese Influence

Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/the-afterburn-podcast/exclusive-content

Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

1 時間