Open Source Futures #6: Social and Demographics Open Source Futures

Covering social and demographics - as STEEP bucket and how to use it in scenarios
Demographics:
Foundation of a country
Age structure and economic growth
Application for geopolitics:
China is ageing and needs resources to care, might become difficult to grow quickly
US can depend on immigration, but not always - with the Trump Admin interruption
EU is tricky - immigration is now weaponised
China-boosters claiming rapid growth looks like a really tall order
Needs to change culture and society radically
Demographics is an example of a pre-determined trend
Uncertainty and Impactful
Social ideologies are impact but highly uncertain
Analysts must avoid judge-y language
Avoid 'good' or 'bad' and avoid leaning to one side
Present both sides with tradeoffs
Present information and someone representative of the identity to express opinions
Fanaticism seems connected with modernity
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Music: Cutting Edge by Shane Ivers - https://www.silvermansound.com
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