44エピソード

Pollster er en politisk podcast, der ser på de samfundsmæssige brydninger og tendenser, og hvordan de påvirker det politiske landskab.

Mere fakta. Mindre spin.

Værter:

Sune Steffen Hansen | Partner og Public Affairs Director hos Rud Pedersen A/S

Jesper Claus Larsen | Ejer og CEO hos Electica

Pollster - En faktabaseret Podcast om Politik Pollster

    • 政治

Pollster er en politisk podcast, der ser på de samfundsmæssige brydninger og tendenser, og hvordan de påvirker det politiske landskab.

Mere fakta. Mindre spin.

Værter:

Sune Steffen Hansen | Partner og Public Affairs Director hos Rud Pedersen A/S

Jesper Claus Larsen | Ejer og CEO hos Electica

    [44] Tillid, Mink og MeToo (25.11.2020)

    [44] Tillid, Mink og MeToo (25.11.2020)

    Pollster-redaktionen er samlet igen i Bishop Hill Studio, og der er sket MEGET, mens vi har været væk.

    En partiformand og en overborgmester er gået af pga #MeToo-sager, en minister gået på grund af manglende lovhjemmel i Mink-sagen og Coronaen-raser stadig i Danmark.

    Vi starter med at kigge på Mink-sagen.
    Hvad har sagens forløb betydet for befolkningens tillid til regeringen og statsminister Mette Frederiksen?
    Er tiden med brede Corona-forlig lagt for evigt bag os?
    Og er der gået politik i politikken igen?

    I anden del tager vi en snak om MeToo, sexisme og ligestilling.

    Hvorfor er det så svært at tale om?
    Er vi overhovedet enige om, hvad ligestilling er?
    Og hvad mener danskerne selv, når man spørger dem?

    Værter: Sune Steffen Hansen & Jesper Claus Larsen
    Producer: Thomas Nørskov
    Del 1: Intro (00.51)
    Del 2: Mink og Tillid (03.14 min)
    Del 3: MeToo, Sexisme og Ligestilling (24.16 min)

    • 53分
    [43] Forskersnak #5 - Kommunalvalg - Hvor politik møder hverdagen (13.11.20)

    [43] Forskersnak #5 - Kommunalvalg - Hvor politik møder hverdagen (13.11.20)

    Valget i USA er ovre, og det er igen blevet hverdag i Pollster-universet.

    Men det stopper os dog ikke fra at snakke valg i dette afsnit, dog ikke det amerikanske præsidentvalg, men det kommende kommunalvalg i 2021.

    Jesper byder Ulrik Kjær, indenfor til en forskersnak om kommunalvalg.


    Ulrik Kjær er professor på statskundskab på Syddansk Universitet, og har i en længere årrække beskæftiget sig med netop kommunalvalg.

    Selvom der er lidt over et år til d. 16. november 2021, så er det ikke for tidligt, at kigge på KV21, for der er nemlig en masse at snakke om.

    Bliver det et valg som alle andre eller er der andre ting på spil?
    Hvad kan Corona evt. komme til at betyde for valget?
    Må vi eksempelvist bruge den samme kuglepen i stemmeboksen?

    Kommunalvalget har i mange år haft en sekundær rolle i forhold til landspolitikken, men har ved de senere valg haft en mere prominent rolle, hvor landspolitikere også har blandet sig i debatten.

    Hvad skyldes dette, og hvilken indflydelse har det på de lokale valg ude i kommunerne, når Christiansborg begynder at blande sig?

    Hvad er mediernes rolle ved kommunalvalg?
    Hvordan undgår man at kommunalvalghistorierne bliver præget af skandaler og sensationshistorier frem for reel politik?

    Hvordan træffer vælgerne valg om parti og kandidat ved et kommunalvalg?
    Er der en forskel til landspolitikken, hvor ideologi og partifarver ofte vægtes højt.

    Hvilke emner er vigtigst ved et kommunalvalg?
    Og hvilken rolle kan eksempelvis klima og ideologiske kampe have på valgkampen?

    Alt det og meget mere i dette afsnit af Pollster Forskersnak. 
    Vært: Jesper Claus Larsen
    Gæst: Ulrik Kjær
    Producer: Thomas Nørskov

    • 46分
    [42] Trump v Biden: The Battle of the American Future (28.10.20)

    [42] Trump v Biden: The Battle of the American Future (28.10.20)

    With one week until the voting deadline, things are moving fast in the US.
    Biden and Trump met each other for a final debate, Amy Coney Barret has been confirmed as the new Supreme Court Justice, the coronavirus epidemic is worse than it has ever been with spikes in key states and nationwide, and more than 65 million Americans have already voted.
    Compared to the national voter turnout in 2016, 47% of voters has already cast their ballots. In Texas, over 80% of the 2016 vote total, has already been achieved. But are these primarily Democratic votes?
    Traditionally, Republicans have run strong absentee ballot programs – but has that changed with Trump’s campaign against mail-in ballots? And if the early votes are mostly Democratic, will there be a significant red shift in the coming days and on November 3rd? How does the polls right now compare to the same point in the 2016 campaign? And what can we really tell from that?
    How will this election affect the state of the Republican Party? If Trump loses the election, and if the Republicans lose Senate seats in former red states – how will the GOP recover?
    As we were recording, Joe Biden was in Georgia and Mike Pence in South Carolina – what does that tell us about the campaigns right now? And what does it mean if Biden turns up in Texas in the coming days? Jim and Chip give their insights on what to look out for in the days leading up to November 3rd.
    Finally, Jim and Chip give their predictions on which candidate will win some of the key states, we have discussed in the podcast.
    This is the last episode before November 3rd – there is less than one week to go until election night: “Hu! Hold on to your hat!”
    Hosts: Sune Steffen Hansen, Jim Arkedis and Chip Felkel
    Producer: Thomas Nørskov
     
    Made in cooperation with A4 Media
    Part One: Intro (0:15)
    Part Two: Current State of the US (1:41)
    Part Three: The Senatorial Race and the GOP (20:25)

    • 49分
    [41] Trump v Biden: The Battle of Voter Turnout (21.10.20)

    [41] Trump v Biden: The Battle of Voter Turnout (21.10.20)

    Millions of Americans have already cast their votes, the President is doing rallies like never before - apparently, he’s running out of campaign-funds - and Biden is ahead in the polls among senior voters.
    In this episode, we discuss the importance of voter turnout. Is there a strategic advantage in voter suppression? Why is Biden not concerned about fraud with mail-in ballots? And is Trump really concerned, or does the President have another reason for doubting their legality?
    The electoral college is a major factor in the US presidential election, but what is it really? And why do some argue that the system should be abolished?
    In the second part of the episode, we take a closer look at Pennsylvania and Ohio. The two states are interesting, not only because Ohio is “The swingiest of swing states”, as Jim Arkedis put it, but also because the results of the Senate elections on November 3rd by no means are certain in these states.
    What are the main issues of Ohio and Pennsylvania for the presidential and senatorial campaigns? Who has the upper hand? And why are the results in these states so important?
    There are less than two weeks until November 3rd, the Americans have started voting – what’s next?
    Hosts: Sune Steffen Hansen, Jim Arkedis and Chip Felkel
    Producer: Thomas Nørskov
     
    Made in cooperation with A4 Media
    Part One: Intro (0:16)
    Part Two: Voter Turnout (1:36)
    Part Three: Ohio, Pennsylvania, and the Senate (26:16)

    • 48分
    [40] Trump v Biden: The Battle of Florida (14.10.20)

    [40] Trump v Biden: The Battle of Florida (14.10.20)

    The President survived corona virus, he’s is back on the road – and he’s good at it! But will there be a backlash to him downplaying the corona virus? Does it show in the polls?
    As promised in the first episode, we get the data from Chip: How many Republicans would consider not voting for Trump on November 3rd?
    Supreme Court nominee Amy Coney Barrett had her first hearing this week by the Senate Judiciary Committee – how does the nomination and the hearings affect the senatorial and presidential election?
    In the second part of the episode, we move on to discussing the state of Florida. Why is it so important? And what are the challenges facing the candidates campaigning in Florida? 
    It’s said, that if you win the I-4-corridor, you win Florida. But why is it so challenging? Where is it? And what is it?
    We were lucky to get an interview with Brett Doster. He’s a veteran campaign manager of the Republican US presidential campaigns in Florida and an expert in navigating the very complex state. 
    Brett Doster gives his insights into the Trump reelection campaign in Florida – and why Trump actually might be leading in the Sunshine State, despite the fact that many of the public national polls say otherwise.
    Before ending the interview, he gives us an insider tip on what to be aware of on election night, if you would like to predict who will win the election ahead of everyone else.
    Finally, Jim Arkedis has some new insights on the issue with The Blue Wall, which we discussed in the first episode. Is Biden as challenged in these states, as you might think considering Trump’s victory in 2016?
    There are less than three weeks until the US election on November 3rd – let’s go!
    Hosts: Sune Steffen Hansen, Jim Arkedis and Chip Felkel
    Guest: Brett Doster
    Producer: Thomas Nørskov
     
    Made in cooperation with A4 Media
    Part One: intro (0:15)
    Part Two: The current state in the US (1:59)
    Part Three: Why Florida is so important (17:19)
    Part Four: Brett Doster interview (24:08)
    Part Five: The Blue Wall revisited (43:02)

    • 48分
    [39] Trump v Biden: The Battle of America (07.10.20)

    [39] Trump v Biden: The Battle of America (07.10.20)

    In this very first episode of Pollster US 2020, we take a look at the current state of the US Election campaigns – and there’s a lot to cover. We’ve had the first presidential debate, Trump got corona, and a new Supreme Court Justice has been nominated.
     
    How will all this affect the two presidential candidates’ chances of winning?
     
    How will The Blue Wall come in to play? Why is it so important? And by the way – what is it?
     
    It had a tremendous effect on the 2016 election – how will the candidates handle it this time around?
     
    Join us for a closer look across the Atlantic, as the Danish political advisor Sune Steffen Hansen is joined by democratic strategist from Washington D.C. Jim Arkedis and republican strategist from South Carolina Chip Felkel.
     
    What is really going on over there?!

    Part one: Intro (0:19)
    Part two: Trump and Corona (1:48)
    Part three: The Blue Wall (22:34)

    Hosts: Sune Steffen Hansen, Jim Arkedis and Chip Felkel
    Producer: Thomas Nørskov
     
    Made in cooperation with A4 Media

    • 46分

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