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Macro ESG analyzes the global power dynamics of markets, politics, and technology interacting within the tightening constraint of a sustainable future.

I believe this process will have, by far, the single greatest impact on asset prices for decades.

Macro ESG: markets, politics, and technology for a sustainable future with Greg Beie‪r‬ Macro ESG

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Macro ESG analyzes the global power dynamics of markets, politics, and technology interacting within the tightening constraint of a sustainable future.

I believe this process will have, by far, the single greatest impact on asset prices for decades.

    SOCIAL MEDIA SHORT UPDATE

    SOCIAL MEDIA SHORT UPDATE

    NB: This is an update to the January 12, 2021 piece “Social Media is a Solid Short” on MacroESG.com.

    When Tim Cook, CEO of Apple, called out Facebook’s business model as being a social liability for humanity, he put a cap on the stock price.
    Trade location: Facebook shorts should be made against the high of this day. While the market power is so substantial now, FB is gently listing along.
    As the US congress and President Biden are tied up with vaccinating America and getting the stimulus program into law, this has kept the hammer of the government from coming down yet on social media while Australia led the challenge of the social media revenue model. If this were to happen across the world, Facebook’s near 40% profit margin on about $80 billion in revenue would shrink.
    Jeff Bezos confirmed the negative outlook for mega-tech when he announced that he is stepping down as CEO to become Executive Chairman of Amazon, in a move almost certainly tied to the fact that the top job will become about managing regulatory risks like anti-trust, labor unions, and consumer privacy. www.macroesg.com #macroesg @gregbeier

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    • 13분
    SOCIAL MEDIA IS A SOLID SHORT

    SOCIAL MEDIA IS A SOLID SHORT

    The time has come to short social media which means Facebook and Twitter as they’ve been the engines of the political controversy.
    After last week’s attack on Capitol Hill, the Congress has impeached the President for a record second time and will certainly reign in his tool of power - social media.
    The Russell 2000 Small Cap index is up ~20% since the election of Joe Biden on November 10th, indicating a change in stock market leadership.
    As Facebook has been riding a wave of good will for a long time that has allowed the company to remain exceptionally profitable – that good will is totally over, and the pendulum will swing the other way. Facebook may be broken up on anti-trust grounds and long investigations and hearings will be burdensome to the company. www.macroesg.com #macroesg @gregbeier

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    • 11분
    The Greatest Global Risk

    The Greatest Global Risk

    America’s Two Greatest Threats…

    The two greatest threats to America’s national security are:

    Money influencing policy; and
    Polarized politics.
    …Creates Global Risk

    When money in politics creates a split America – then this is the worst possible path for the United States to follow.
    And this endangers free and open societies around the world, as the US still is the cornerstone of the global system. If the US falters, every other country is at increased risk.
    Money influencing policy that creates polarized politics in the United States is, therefore, the greatest threat to global security – at least in terms of implementing solutions to all of the obvious global problems and maintaining a strong, vibrant alliance of open societies.
    Moreover, it will not be possible to tackle to climate change and the biodiversity crisis – much less deal with nuclear weapons and pandemics - so long as the US is divided. www.macroesg.com #macroesg @gregbeier

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    • 6분
    Worse than Watergate: The US is a Long-Term Buy

    Worse than Watergate: The US is a Long-Term Buy

    We are at a historic moment in the history of the United States.

    As MacroESG has been writing for some time, the Trump administration is fitting the historical analog of the two previous presidencies, Hoover and Carter, that preceded their respective transformational presidencies, FDR and Reagan.

    This means that Joe Biden is going to be a transformational president, just like FDR and Reagan, which makes the US a long-term buy. www.macroesg.com #macroesg @gregbeier

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    • 13분
    Blue Wave is Complete With Historic Diversity

    Blue Wave is Complete With Historic Diversity

    Blue Wave is Complete

    The election of Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff in the Georgia Senate run-off elections has completed the Blue Wave.

    Macro ESG Called It Months Ago

    Macro ESG called on July 23 in “Macro ESG Daily: We Are At an Inflection Point” that "...the Senate is going to fall to the Democrats too. It’s going to be a political Armageddon."

    And this is exactly what happened today.

    Historic Diversity From Georgia

    Raphael Warnock is the first African American Senator to win an election in the Deep South without being an incumbent since Reconstruction (the period following the Civil War).

    Similarly, Jon Ossoff is the first Jewish Senator from the Deep South to be elected to the Senate since Benjamin Jonas, a Democrat, who was elected in 1879 from Louisiana. www.macroesg.com #macroesg @gregbeier

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    • 17분
    Vaccinated US Equity Market Will Hold

    Vaccinated US Equity Market Will Hold

    In spite of these dire facts and likely projections, because the Fed has pushed so much money into the system, giving Airbnb a sky-high valuation on day one, and because of the vaccine - nothing is going to come down.

    Equites are looking through the winter at the rebound that will come in the summer from economic activity snapping back.

    The stock market is quite literally vaccinated from the covid crisis. www.macroesg.com #macroesg @gregbeier

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    • 5분

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