Thinking Long & Short: An Investment Professionals Podcast True North International Partners, LLP
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- Zaken en persoonlijke financiën
Financial Markets - Navigating the Playground
Finance
Economics
Investing
Business
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The Time to Buy Stocks is Now - EP 77
- The DJIA outperforms the NASDAQ by 9% after posting its best October in history
- Corporate earnings for value stocks hold up as earnings for growth stocks tumble
- Interest rates on bonds continue to remain high as the yield curve continues to show deeper inversions/recession warnings
- American Express reports consumer loan balances up 28.9% year-over-year as inflation continues to impact the consumer
- Value stocks will outperform growth stocks for years
- All recent economic data shows a weak economy and stubbornly high inflation
- Republicans will likely sweep the midterms, which will be welcomed by Wall Street as investors typically like gridlock in Washington -
Wall Street Analysts Just Don't Get It - EP 76
- Stocks get clobbered on Friday to finish a very volatile week on Wall Street
- CPI inflation data comes in twice as high as economists expected as Retail Sales data shows consumer continues to weaken with the economy
- Cyclical and growth stocks continue to get hammered with interest rates and bond yields continuing to rise
- US Dollar Index reaches new high on the year as investors blindly bet on more rate hikes / peak inflation
- Tom Lee and CNBC analysts have been completely wrong on anything and everything in markets this year
- Gold continues to outperform everything (S&P 500 / DOW / NASDAQ / Bonds / Bitcoin) as yellow metal flies below the radar
- OPEC production cuts keep oil prices propped up amid recession fears
- Pepsi reports 17% Y-o-Y increase in product pricing as they beat earnings estimates along with JP Morgan, Wells Fargo
- The Federal Reserve is behind the inflation curve more now than they were at the start of 2022 -
This Bear Market Continues to Slide a Slope of Hope - EP 75
- Nonfarm Payroll Report causes ugly sell off for stocks
- Some of CNBC analysts' favorite stocks have been clobbered this year with more downside to come
- Extremely high auto loan growth shows how weak the consumer is and how easy credit conditions are continuing to cause inflation
- S&P 500 is forming very bearish technical patterns as fundamentals for stocks continue to worsen
- If corporate earnings don't take down the stock market, inflation & higher interest rates will
- US bond market continues to show major weakness as yield curve inverts even more with rising rates across the board
- Labor market is much weaker beneath the surface and so is the US economy -
Q3 Wrap Up - The 2nd Worst Year for Investors Ever - EP 74
- Stocks close the week with big losses to finish worst September for stocks since 2008
- Higher interest rates could cause a lost decade for stock and bond investors, 60/40 portfolio having second-worst year ever (1931)
- Bank of England becomes first major central bank to pivot from its inflation fighting policies
- The bond market will continue to drag the stock market down, Fed pivot becomes more imminent
- The Fed has pricked the debt bubble it created in 2008, Financial Crisis close on the horizon
- Inflation is only just getting started, input costs and slowing growth putting downward pressure on stocks
- Stagflation will make stock and bond returns resemble the 1970s decade -
Stocks Get Crushed in A New Era of Tight Money - EP 73
- Stocks make new yearly lows as S&P 500 closes the week down 23% / NASDAQ down 31% in 2022
- Powell delivers hawkish speech with 75 bps interest rate hike, projects pain for labor market and the economy
- Businesses are still experiencing cost pressures that they will pass on to customers in 2023
- Interest rates will derail the housing and stock market, but not inflation
- Mortgage rates have only just started their rapid rise, a substantial housing market correction is imminent
- Stocks are still way too expensive historically and are headed much lower in coming months
- Bulls throw in the towel and reduce S&P 500 price targets, but still remain clueless on market risks -
Stocks Get Clobbered As Investors Start to Accept Recession Reality But Remain Complacent on Future Inflation - EP 72
- US stocks post massive weekly decline on recession fears and higher inflation data
- FedEx posts 33% miss on earnings, CEO warns of global recession as company lays off 34,500 employees
- All economic data is showing stagflation across the global economy as recession gets worse with rising inflation pressures
- Investors still remain complacent to how high interest rates will rise, bonds/stocks/houses still remain completely overpriced (30-40%)
- Prices are 15.4% higher in past 27 months as measured by CPI, despite the government's effort to conceal the real housing market inflation
- Mortgage rates have increased the cost of home ownership by 42%
- Foreign investors are showing less buying demand in US Treasuries and US stocks, leading to higher bond yields despite the Fed's reluctance to sell its bond holdings