An overview on thoughts and lessons we have gleaned from 30+ years of helping clients from all over the globe meet their wealth-building goals.
The great lesson of markets. Those who can react the least and stay focused on the long-term, tend to see the best results. Sure some years stink...but that has always been the case. Too much data has everyone thinking there is an easy way to sidestep problems. In fact, problems are part of the trip - a required part - to get long-term results. Ask yourself this: Think of the wealthiest market-timer you know? Think long - there is not one. There are also no market-timers on Forbes 400....and there never has been. Stay focused and be patient with your planning processes.
Data are improving, jobs are solid, personal income rising, mountains of cash in the bank and we are in the midst of the early stages of the latest earnings season. By the end of Q3 data, we will have round-tripped most of the energy collapse and bad comps. Hinting that earnings projections are increasing. Soon, 2016 will be forgotten and 2017-2018 will be the focus - and they are rising. So is the GDPNow data.
Here we are - new highs. And almost no celebration. I think I saw two headlines. This is good news for long-term investors as fear remains deep-seeded. The longer that lasts, the healthier the markets can remain. No man's land - new highs - just like 1982 all over again.
One would think that all-time highs would have rung in an enormous number of bulls. Indeed, that could not be farther from the case. Data show we now have 37 weeks in a row - and 70 out of last 71 weeks - showing lower bullish readings than normal. This registering at all-time new highs. Stunning.
Even as the masses crawl from one headline problem to the next, the real surprise is the markets are setting up to reach all-time highs far sooner than most recognize. Even in this near two year "waiting period" or lunch stop as we like to call it - the earnings from companies have fallen just 2.7% from their peak. This is after the complete collapse of the earnings from the entire energy sector. Upside remains the surprise.
All the angst over Brexit and it has served as nothing more than another opportunity to take advantage of panic - or in this case "Branic." The dust will settle and the odds are high that years from now we will witness this as something different - another opportunity to improve when most thought it would be bad.