1,070 episodes
Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast Mr. Action Junkie
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- Sport
This show delivers FREE daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days.
Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:
2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets
2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals
2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners
2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders
2023 College Football - Kota Capper College Football Central Lock, Underdog, and Unit Champ
2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets
2024 NCAA College Basketball - 54%, up 22.18 units (up 58 units total w/blog plays)
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together.
Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor. I flat bet risking 1 unit vs. winning 1 unit.
Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms.
Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it.
Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams.
Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.
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New day. 7 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 2, F5 Total x 2, F5 Run Line, Run Line, ML), NHL Bet, WNBA Bet, 2 UFL Bets plus 8 Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Sunday
Note: @KotaCapperKyle as Edmonton/Dallas Over 5.5
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Edmonton ML vs Dallas (-135)
Arlington +1 at DC
Houston -2.5 at Memphis
Phoenix -4.5 vs. LA
NRFI - Yankees/Giants (-115)
NRFI - Angels/Mariners (-125)
F5 Total - Rangers/Marlins Under 4.5 (-125)
F5 Total - Athletics/Braves Over 4.5 (-121)
Kansas City ML vs. San Diego (-120)
F5 Run Line: Milwaukee -0.5 vs. Chicago (-180)
Run Line: LA Dodgers -1.5 vs. Colorado (-130)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
UFL: 6-3 (66.7%), up 2.4546 units
College Baseball: 6-3 (66.6%), up 2.2176 units
PGA Golf: 17-19 (47.2%), down 0.3374 units
WNBA: 13-13 (50.0%), down 1.9999 units
NBA Playoffs: 38-36 (51.3%), down 1.5451 units
NHL Playoffs: 11-14 (44.0%), down 3.90221 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 138-139 (49.8%), down 12.8532 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 17-11, 60.7%, up 5.7629 units
Other: 3-7, 30%, down 4.25 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
Let's win today. NHL Playoff Bet, 2 UFL Bets, WNBA Bet, 4 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 2, Run Line, First 5 Run Line), plus 7 Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Saturday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
New York ML +142 at Florida
Michigan/Birmingham 1H Under 22
St. Louis -3 vs. San Antonio
Indiana +3 vs. Chicago
NRFI - Cardinals/Phillies (-125)
NRFI - Twins/Astros (-122)
LA Dodgers -1.5 vs. Colorado (-155)
First 5: San Francisco -0.5 vs. New York Yankees (+110)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
UFL: 6-2 (75.0%), up 3.4546 units
College Baseball: 6-3 (66.6%), up 2.2176 units
PGA Golf: 17-19 (47.2%), down 0.3374 units
WNBA: 12-13 (48.0%), down 2.909 units
NBA Playoffs: 38-36 (51.3%), down 1.5451 units
NHL Playoffs: 11-13 (45.8%), down 2.90221 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 137-136 (50.2%), down 10.4984 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 17-11, 60.7%, up 5.7629 units
Other: 3-7, 30%, down 4.25 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
Not fun, negative spike day. NHL Playoff Bet, WNBA Bet, 2 PGA Bets, 4 MLB Baseball NRFI's, 6 College Baseball Bets plus 9 Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Friday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Dallas ML -130 vs. Edmonton
Phoenix +7 at Minnesota
Adam Hadwin -120 over Doug Ghim
Nick Taylor +124 over Adam Scott
Corey Conners TBD
NRFI - Athletics/Braves (-111)
NRFI - Padres/Royals (-122)
NRFI - Twins/Astros (-122)
NRFI - Yankees/Giants (-146)
Coastal Carolina/Vanderbilt Under 11.5
Florida/Nebraska Under 11
Oregon/San Diego Under 10.5
Texas/Louisiana Under 11
Georgia Tech/UNCW Under 13
Kansas State/Louisiana Tech Under 12
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
UFL: 6-2 (75.0%), up 3.4546 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 17-18 (48.6%), up 0.6626 units
WNBA: 12-12 (50.0%), down 1.909 units
NBA Playoffs: 38-36 (51.3%), down 1.5451 units
NHL Playoffs: 11-12 (47.8%), down 1.90221 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 134-135 (49.8%), down 11.8227 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 17-11, 60.7%, up 5.7629 units
Other: 3-7, 30%, down 4.25 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
That's a winner! NBA Playoff Bet - Go Wolves, NHL Playoff Bet, 2 WNBA Bets, 4 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI, ML x 2, First 5 Run Line), 3 O Canada PGA R1 Matchup Bets, and 7 Plays from @KotaCapperKyle for Thursday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Minnesota -4.5 vs. Dallas
New York ML vs. Florida (+102)
Indiana +3.5 vs. Seattle
Chicago -4.5 vs. Los Angeles
NRFI - Nationals/Braves (-115)
Kansas City ML at Minnesota (+110)
First 5 Run Line: Seattle -0.5 vs. Houston (+100)
Arizona ML at New York Mets (-118)
Corey Conners -135 over Erik van Rooyen
Adam Hadwin -122 over Doug Ghim
Nick Taylor +120 over Adam Scott
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
UFL: 6-2 (75.0%), up 3.4546 units
PGA Golf: 17-16 (51.5%), up 2.6626 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
WNBA: 11-11 (50.0%), down 0.9999 units
NBA Playoffs: 38-35 (52.1%), down 0.5451 units
NHL Playoffs: 11-11 (50.0%), down 0.90221 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 133-132 (49.8%), down 9.6923 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 17-11, 60.7%, up 5.7629 units
Other: 3-7, 30%, down 4.25 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
Wolves WIN, Wolves WIN, Wolves WIN. Huge THANK YOU - Record Month! NHL Playoff Bet, 3 WNBA Bets, 6 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 6) for Wednesday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Edmonton ML vs. Dallas (-130)
Phoenix/New York Over 168.5
Washington +4.5 vs. Atlanta
Las Vegas -5.5 at Minnesota
NRFI: Pirates/Tigers GM1 (-165)
NRFI: Red Sox/Orioles (-128)
NRFI: Cubs/Brewers (-120)
NRFI: Royals/Twins (-132)
NRFI: Yankees/Angels (-120)
NRFI: Astros/Mariners (-135)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
UFL: 6-2 (75.0%), up 3.4546 units
PGA Golf: 17-16 (51.5%), up 2.6626 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
WNBA: 10-9 (52.6%), up 0.091 units
NBA Playoffs: 38-35 (52.1%), down 0.5451 units
NHL Playoffs: 10-11 (47.6%), down 1.67141 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 129-130 (49.8%), down 10.8052 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 17-11, 60.7%, up 5.7629 units
Other: 3-7, 30%, down 4.25 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
That's a winner! @KotaCapperKyle hosts the show, NHL Playoff Bet, NBA Playoff Bet - Boo, 2 WNBA Bets, 3 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI, Run Line, YRFI - Boo) for Tuesday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
@KotaCapperKyle's Card:
Rangers/Panthers Under 5.5 (-122)
Mavericks -2 vs. Timberwolves
Fever/Sparks Under 165.5
Chicago Sky +4 vs. Seattle Storm
YRFI: Yankees/Angels (-125)
NRFI: Pirates/Tigers (-150)
Braves -1.5 vs. Nationals (-119)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
UFL: 6-2 (75.0%), up 3.4546 units
PGA Golf: 17-16 (51.5%), up 2.6626 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
WNBA: 10-9 (52.6%), up 0.091 units
NBA Playoffs: 38-35 (52.1%), down 0.5451 units
NHL Playoffs: 10-11 (47.6%), down 1.67141 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 129-130 (49.8%), down 10.8052 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 15-11, 57.7%, up 3.7629 units
Other: 2-4, 33.3%, down 2.05 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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