32 episodes

The Contrarian Investor podcast gives voice to those who challenge a prevailing narrative in financial markets. Each episode features an interview with a hedge fund manager, investor, economist or other market participant. The goal is to educate all listeners with an interest in asset allocation and ultimately to provide actionable ideas to the institutional investor community.

The Contrarian Investor Podcast Nathaniel E. Baker

    • Investing

The Contrarian Investor podcast gives voice to those who challenge a prevailing narrative in financial markets. Each episode features an interview with a hedge fund manager, investor, economist or other market participant. The goal is to educate all listeners with an interest in asset allocation and ultimately to provide actionable ideas to the institutional investor community.

    Global Crisis Investing Through 'Psychological Arbitrage'

    Global Crisis Investing Through 'Psychological Arbitrage'

    Philip Reade, founder and managing partner at Helm Investment Partners, joins the podcast to discuss his approach to crisis investing on a global basis.

    Reade does not follow the "buy when everybody else panics" maxim. Instead, he searches first for a country that is emerging from a crisis and then buys that market's largest, most liquid public equities. Helm Investment Partners seeks to capture shifts in the "psychological cycle" where the perception of a market changes.

    • 44 min
    Private Credit is Fentanyl, With Gregory Obenshain, Verdad Capital

    Private Credit is Fentanyl, With Gregory Obenshain, Verdad Capital

    Gregory Obenshain, director of credit at Verdad Capital, discusses his concerns about private credit investing.

    Content: Private equity has become the dominant player in this market (4:02), the lending is a lot more dangerous and indeed riskier than the high-yield bond market (7:39). The ramifications of new lenders entering the market (22:22).

    • 29 min
    News Headlines: The 'Subtle Fallacy' Confounding Investors

    News Headlines: The 'Subtle Fallacy' Confounding Investors

    Nicholas Reece of Merk Research shares his thesis that there is a "subtle fallacy" that events in the news are important to the global economy and financial markets. This is due to evolutionary biography, behavioral biases, and the nature of the news business in the digital age.

    • 37 min
    Energy Markets at a Turning Point, With Economist Peter Sainsbury

    Energy Markets at a Turning Point, With Economist Peter Sainsbury

    Economist and energy specialist Peter Sainsbury joins the podcast to discuss his thesis, that the fossil fuel industry faces a dilemma similar to what confounded big tobacco a generation ago.

    Content: Peter Sainsbury introduces his thesis (1:59). The impact on energy companies' share prices (8:16). Background on the guest (15:58). Gold and gold miners (18:15). Palladium may be frothy (23:16).

    • 32 min
    The Next Market Meltdown is Coming

    The Next Market Meltdown is Coming

    Chris Stanton, chief investment officer at Sunrise Capital, rejoins the podcast to discuss his bearish views on the market at the start of 2020.

    There are reasons to believe a market correction is overdue, Stanton says. Risk is everywhere: geopolitical, volatility, repo markets. A drop of 18% to 20% can be expected before March 31.

    Not intended as investment advice.

    For more information on Sunrise Capital: www.sunrisecapital.com

    • 1 hr 10 min
    Healthcare, Russian Natural Gas and Other Ideas for Investing in 2020, With Lukasz Tomicki of LRT Capital

    Healthcare, Russian Natural Gas and Other Ideas for Investing in 2020, With Lukasz Tomicki of LRT Capital

    Lukasz Tomicki of LRT Capital Management joins the podcast to discuss his investing strategy and ideas for 2020.

    Contents: The case for Russian natural gas companies (3:05) and healthcare stocks (5:28). What's to like about UnitedHealth (9:24). Background on Tomicki (13:48). Handicapping the 2020 US presidential election (20:50). The outlook for growth in the US (23:01).

    • 35 min

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