Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

Jack Farley
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Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.

  1. The Case For S&P 10,000 by 2027 | Erik YWR on Global Economic Boom, Why Soaring Earnings Support High Equity Valuations, and Oil + China

    2 HR AGO

    The Case For S&P 10,000 by 2027 | Erik YWR on Global Economic Boom, Why Soaring Earnings Support High Equity Valuations, and Oil + China

    Erik YWR, global investor and author of the Your Weekend Reading Substack, joins Monetary Matters to make the case that the stock market is headed higher, and that investors are far too bearish. Erik argues that with corporate earnings growing at double digit levels, valuations can get a lot higher from here. Several tailwinds that support this ongoing bull market include strong fiscal spending, high and durable earnings growth worldwide, a strong banking sector that is about to be unleashed, and technological transformations in AI, semiconductors, electric grids, and grid transformation. Recorded on November 6, 2025. Follow Erik YWR on Twitter https://x.com/erik_ywr Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96  Pieces discussed: “YWR Killer Wave Charts,” October 24, 2025: https://www.ywr.world/p/ywr-killer-wave-charts “YWR: $200 oil pops the bubble,” October:  https://www.ywr.world/p/ywr-200-oil-pops-the-bubble “YWR: China Trip Highlights,” November 3, 2025: https://www.ywr.world/p/ywr-china-trip-highlights Follow Monetary Matters on:  Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh  Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

    1 hr
  2. Why Beating the Market Isn’t Enough for Investment Managers | Corey Hoffstein

    1 DAY AGO

    Why Beating the Market Isn’t Enough for Investment Managers | Corey Hoffstein

    This Other People’s Money episode is brought you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Corey Hoffstein, CEO and CIO of Newfound Research and co-founder and PM of Return Stacked ETFs, joins OPM to discuss his journey in the investment management business. He argues that beating the market is a commoditized value proposition and that investment managers need to solve other problems for their clients to attract assets. He also discusses his experience licensing research to other asset managers, his belief that distribution is the key question of success in the asset management business, and how quantitative research and other forms of content like podcasts and social media can help build brand awareness. Follow Corey on X: https://x.com/choffstein Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 00:27 Fiscal AI 01:16 The Difference Between Quant and Systematic Investing 03:18 Can Market Bubbles Be Measured? 05:05 Is Market Timing a Good Bet? 09:31 Evolving Risk Premia and Market Inefficiencies 16:41 Fiscal AI 18:20 Beginnings in Investment Management 23:04 Licensing Indexes to Other Managers 27:35 Providing Education Materials 31:26 Moving Into Asset Management 36:47 Evolving into Current Strategies 40:06 Thinking About the Investment Product Wrapper 43:11 Asset Management vs Investment Management 47:27 Solving Behavioral Finance Problems and Market Problems 51:28 Different Ways of Using Leverage 52:41 Knowing Your Client Base Isn’t Institutional 55:45 Content Creation and Brand Building 59:27 Growing an Audience: What Financial Content Goes Viral? 01:04:27 Dealing with Compliance and Education 01:07:22 How To Read and Interpret Quantitative Research as a Normie 01:12:22 How Is AI Being Used by Quants? 01:15:48 Conclusion

    1h 16m
  3. Is It Enough? Michael Howell on Money Market Turbulence, Standing Repo Facility, and Why Fed Balance Sheet Expansion Is Inevitable

    4 DAYS AGO

    Is It Enough? Michael Howell on Money Market Turbulence, Standing Repo Facility, and Why Fed Balance Sheet Expansion Is Inevitable

    Monetary Matters listeners can get 20% discounted access to an annual subscription of Michael Howell’s Capital Wars here: https://capitalwars.substack.com/MonetaryMatters With the Federal Reserve announcing the end of Quantitative Tightening (QT) on December 1st, Jack welcomes Michael Howell of GL Indexes and the Capital Wars Substack back to share an update on his measure of Fed liquidity and his outlook for 2026. Howell explains why Fed balance sheet expansion is inevitable. Recorded on November 6, 2025.  Pieces discussed: “The Return Of ‘Not-QE, QE’ (Part 1),” October 31, 2025: https://capitalwars.substack.com/p/the-return-of-not-qe-qe-part-1 “The Return Of ‘Not-QE, QE’ (Part 2),” November 1, 2025: https://capitalwars.substack.com/p/the-return-of-not-qe-qe-part-2 “Global Liquidity Watch: Weekly Update,” November 4, 2025: https://capitalwars.substack.com/p/global-liquidity-watch-weekly-update-c8e Also: “Scrambled Eggs, The Fed’s Latest Policy Directive: ‘FSSF-Off,’” November 9, 2025: https://capitalwars.substack.com/p/scrambled-eggs Follow Michael Howell on Twitter https://x.com/crossbordercap Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on:  Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh  Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

    1h 1m
  4. Fed Governor Miran: The Case For Big Rate Cuts | Miran on Deterioration in Labor Market, the Neutral Rate of Interest, and Fed Balance Sheet Policy

    6 NOV

    Fed Governor Miran: The Case For Big Rate Cuts | Miran on Deterioration in Labor Market, the Neutral Rate of Interest, and Fed Balance Sheet Policy

    Learn more about the VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF: https://vaneck.com/REMXJack Stephen Miran, member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, has dissented in two consecutive Fed FOMC meetings since his joining the Board in September 2025, preferring to cut by 50 basis points (0.50%) instead of 25 basis points (0.25%). Governor Miran joins Monetary Matters today to explain in detail his reasoning for why he thinks considerably lower interest rates are appropriate. Tariffs, fiscal policy, immigration, weakening labor market. Recorded on November 4, 2025.  Governor Miran’s speech on September 22, 2025, “Nonmonetary Forces and Appropriate Monetary Policy”: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/miran20250922a.htm Follow Governor Stephen Miran on Twitter https://x.com/SteveMiran Full unedited (other than for form) transcript of this interview: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1vaZ8-ArOIdDKnnkeoxp92nMBq52aXxNA/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=113485899782770300642&rtpof=true&sd=true Note: in Jack’s introduction, he makes an incomplete remark where he says Miran was “appointed by President Trump.” In actuality, Miran was nominated by Trump, and approved by the Senate.  Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

    50 min
  5. This Hedge Fund Trying to Become the Top Pod Shop in Crypto is Rethinking the Multi-Manager Hedge Fund Model | Anatoly Crachilov of Nickel Digital

    4 NOV

    This Hedge Fund Trying to Become the Top Pod Shop in Crypto is Rethinking the Multi-Manager Hedge Fund Model | Anatoly Crachilov of Nickel Digital

    This Other People’s Money episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners Anatoly Crachilov, CEO and Co-Founder of Nickel Digital Asset Management, joins Other People’s Money to discuss why crypto is the perfect asset class for the multi-manager pod shop model. He also explains how Nickel is taking a “West Berlin” approach to partnering with external traders compared to the “East Berlin” approach of many traditional pod shops where non-competes and strict control of IP is the norm. He also discusses why 2025 has been a difficult year for crypto traders, how their team is managing the choppy markets, and how scaled up pods and incubation stage pods managed the extreme volatility in October. Follow Anatoly Crachilov on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/anatoly-crachilov/ Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps 00:00 Intro 00:38 CAIA.nxt 01:24 Multi-Manager Origin Story 03:12 No Central Book or Alpha Capture 04:32 Expanding Number of Pods 06:15 Technology Enabled Growth 10:09 Onboarding a New Pod 14:38 Benefits of Crypto's Infinite Divisibility 15:58 CAIA.nxt 16:54 Determining the Scalability of Strategies 18:03 Minimum & Maximum Pod Sizes at Scale 18:33 Measuring Risk Adjusted Returns 20:34 Pod Compensation and Fund Level Fees 24:43 Winning the War for Talent 29:29 Pods Can Be Independent Prop Shops and Single Managers 35:03 Demand for Crypto Multi-Manager Funds 39:02 Reducing Risk in Crypto with 3rd Party Settlement & Custodians 46:08 Crypto Still Has Low Liquidity 49:41 The Cost of Poor Trade Execution in Crypto 53:16 Current Environment for Crypto 58:22 Risk Management Adjustments in a Choppy Year 01:02:04 Different Testing Environments for New Pods 01:06:30 What Happens When a Scaled Pod Has a Drawdown? 01:09:35 Conclusion

    1h 10m
  6. More Credit Problems, Mag 7 AI CapEX Continues, and Money Market Stress | Jack & Max

    2 NOV

    More Credit Problems, Mag 7 AI CapEX Continues, and Money Market Stress | Jack & Max

    This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: http://fiscal.ai/mm Jack Farley & Max Wiethe breakdown yet another credit “cockroach” that appears to be more related to fraud than overall market weakness. They also discuss the Mag 7 earnings report and the continued onslaught of AI CapEx spending that many believe has entered bubble territory. Finally, they breakdown this week’s fed decision and why big changes to both the Fed balance sheet and the rate cutting cycle could be coming up soon. Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max on Twitter: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Fiscal AI Intro 00:12 More Credit Problems 11:08 Mag 7 Earnings 16:43 Fiscal AI Mid Roll 19:29 Are CapEx Estimates Still Too Low? 28:07 AI CapEx “Bubble” Winners and Losers 34:11 Mag 7 Becoming Capital Intensive? 43:33 Fed Meeting Breakdown 52:11 Market Impact of December Fed Meeting 57:11 Fiscal AI

    57 min
  7. Joseph Wang: Fed Likely To Have To Expand Balance Sheet To Avoid Losing Control Over Repo Market

    30 OCT

    Joseph Wang: Fed Likely To Have To Expand Balance Sheet To Avoid Losing Control Over Repo Market

    Joseph Wang, former senior trader for the New York Fed and author at FedGuy.com returns to Monetary Matters at a critical juncture to break down the October Fed meeting and the Fed's decision to stop reducing its balance sheet on December 1st and thereby end QT (Quantitative Tightening). Wang, a veteran of money markets, explains the stress he sees in repo markets and why he thinks the Fed has to go further and actually start expanding its balance sheet in order to inject enough liquidity to calm the repo market down. Recorded October 29, 2025. Joseph's piece on FedGuy, "Balance Sheet Dominance": https://fedguy.com/balance-sheet-dominance/ Follow Joseph Wang on Twitter https://x.com/FedGuy12 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

    1h 14m
  8. The Liquidity Divergence Between East and West | Michael Howell on Deteriorating Federal Liquidity While People’s Bank of China (PBOC) Injects Stimulus and Pumps Gold

    29 OCT

    The Liquidity Divergence Between East and West | Michael Howell on Deteriorating Federal Liquidity While People’s Bank of China (PBOC) Injects Stimulus and Pumps Gold

    Monetary Matters listeners can get 20% discounted access to an annual subscription of Michael Howell’s Capital Wars here: https://capitalwars.substack.com/MonetaryMatters Michael Howell of GL Indexes and the Capital Wars Substack returns to Monetary Matters with alarming news. His readings of liquidity from over 90 central banks indicate that global central bank liquidity is deteriorating, led primarily by the Federal Reserve. Howell’s measure of Fed liquidity is weakening because the Fed’s Reverse Repo (RRP) facility is effectively fully drained. This is partially offset by U.S. Treasury issuing lots of short-duration bills, as well as People’s Bank of China injecting 7+ Trillion Yuan into its money markets and pumping the price of gold in yuan terms. Howell sees a growing divergence between East and West and warns that 2026 “won’t be a great year for financial assets.” Recorded on October 21, 2025. Follow Michael Howell on Twitter https://x.com/crossbordercap Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96  Follow Monetary Matters on:  Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh  Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5  YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

    1h 58m
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About

Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.

Information

  • Creator
    Jack Farley
  • Years Active
    2024 - 2025
  • Episodes
    180

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