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State of the Vote is back! In our first episode of 2022, Scott Tranter and Kiel Williams from Decision Desk HQ join Ron Steslow to break down the biggest movement in polling and modeling, where it’s happening, in what races, and why.
Decision Desk HQ are among the most trusted experts in measuring and modeling public opinion and election outcomes. They’re the mathletes behind major outlets like The Economist, Buzzfeed News, VOX Media, Insider, and The New York Times, for election night results and final calls on races.
(02:00) The election environment
(03:54) The historical trend in midterms
(05:36) Overview of Senate Elections
(08:00) Why Ron Jonson has a 90 percent chance of winning his Senate race
(11:43) What’s moving the needle in Nevada
(14:00) Why Republicans are gaining ground in the Iowa 3rd congressional district
You should check out Decision Desk HQ: https://decisiondeskhq.com/
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