11 episodes

A new decade is already delivering new challenges and opportunities alongside inevitable complexities. How should commercial real estate investors respond? Are we seeing an acceleration of trends that were forming before the COVID-19 pandemic? What opportunities will emerge from dislocation and distress in the market? How are capital structures evolving? We dissect real estate investment trends developing across Asia Pacific, country-by-country, and sector-by-sector. Join us. Listen in.

For more expert perspectives and research to help you take on whatever comes next, visit us at www.jll.com/conversations.

Investor Perspectives Podcast JLL Asia Pacific

    • Business

A new decade is already delivering new challenges and opportunities alongside inevitable complexities. How should commercial real estate investors respond? Are we seeing an acceleration of trends that were forming before the COVID-19 pandemic? What opportunities will emerge from dislocation and distress in the market? How are capital structures evolving? We dissect real estate investment trends developing across Asia Pacific, country-by-country, and sector-by-sector. Join us. Listen in.

For more expert perspectives and research to help you take on whatever comes next, visit us at www.jll.com/conversations.

    Why COVID-19 is accelerating corporate sale-and-leaseback activity

    Why COVID-19 is accelerating corporate sale-and-leaseback activity

    Corporate finance heads are increasingly turning to their existing real estate as a source of liquidity in the uncertain economic environment.
    Sale-and-leaseback deals – where companies sell their real estate, then lease it back from the new owner – have been on the rise in recent years. But there has been a greater focus on them in recent months as the global pandemic sent companies hunting for strategies that boost equity.
    In this podcast, our host, Art Patnaude, has a dialogue with JLL’s Regina Lim, Head of Capital Markets Research, Asia Pacific, speaking to us from her home office in Singapore.
    The topic at hand - Why is COVID-19 accelerating corporate sale-and-leaseback activity.
    In the last four years, there has been a 50 percent increase in sale and leaseback deals in Asia Pacific, with growth three times faster than the overall investment volumes in the region, according to JLL data. There was US$12 billion of such deals in 2019 alone. 
    Regina explains why this rise is set to continue, “The economic uncertainty is forcing businesses to think about flexibility and agility. The benefits of unlocking liquidity through sale and leasebacks is even more obvious. Owners can use the extra capital to pay down debt, reduce interest expense, or reinvest to drive the next stage of growth.”
    “COVID-19 has been like a reset, forcing a lot of companies to re-examine the way they deploy their capital to get the best return,” confirms Regina.
    Large supermarket and retail chains with industrial property on their books are top among those considering sale and leaseback strategies as they reassess strategies.
    “Traditionally Asian businesses have preferred to own a property over leasing it but this is gradually changing as asset prices continue to increase," says Regina. “We're seeing a lot more activity from niche players like family offices and private equity funds who are under invested in Asia Pacific real estate and value stable income generating assets.“
    That trend will continue through and beyond COVID-19.

    • 8 min
    How is COVID-19 influencing real estate investment strategies in Asia Pacific

    How is COVID-19 influencing real estate investment strategies in Asia Pacific

    Real estate investment markets are showing the first signs of resumption, following a global pause as investors assessed the full impact of the COVID-19. As economic green shoots appear in some markets, capital deployment is top-of-mind with investors eager to release approximately $40 billion of dry powder capital into the region.
    In this podcast, our host, Art Patnaude, has a dialogue with JLL’s Tim Graham, Head of Capital Strategies, Asia Pacific, speaking to us from his home office in Singapore.
    The topic at hand - How is COVID-19 influencing real estate investment strategies in Asia Pacific.
    Tim explains investor sentiment, “Conversations have shifted away from the initial understanding of what the impact has been to their portfolios on COVID-19, to spotting new opportunities and new deals."
    Investors have been quick to see defensive and diversification advantages in both logistics and data centres. Over the past three months, approximately $6 billion in capital has been committed to these strategies – and more deployment is expected.
    “COVID-19 has certainly accelerated existing megatrends, which will drive greater diversification at a sector and country level,” says Tim. “As a result, we expect many investors will increase weightings in logistics and data centres within their portfolios.”
    Despite many divergent views on the future of the office sector globally, Tim notes the Asia Pacific office market will continue to hold widespread appeal for investors. In part due to the strength and resilience of the region’s growing cities. 

    • 11 min
    Why we think the office is here to stay

    Why we think the office is here to stay

    The COVID-19 pandemic has been forcing corporate leadership to re-examine their real estate strategies, with many reconsidering the amount of space dedicated to the traditional office.
    Corporate giants such as Twitter, Morgan Stanley, and Barclays have all publicly questioned their future real estate requirements and the amount of space they dedicate to traditional office space.
    There’s a debate on whether offices will be relevant post-COVID. Some corporates have declared permanent work from home arrangements for employees and plans to downsize their real estate footprint in the next few years.
    In this podcast, our host, Art Patnaude, has a dialogue with Roddy Allan, JLL’s Chief Research Officer, Asia Pacific, who’s back in the Hong Kong office, and Marina Krishnan, Division President, Corporate Solutions speaking to us from her home office in Singapore.
    The topic at hand – the future of the office.
    Change, to some extent, is inevitable, and indeed welcomed, says Roddy Allan, Chief Research Officer, Asia Pacific, JLL. “But is this Asia Pacific real estate’s Uber moment? No. We believe that this impact and change is overestimated in the medium-to-long term,” he says.
    While the office, as we know, will evolve, we have seen clients increasingly focused on sustainability, wellness, and technology. Some have begun making environmental tweaks and upgrades to align with commitments of building trust and ensuring fit-for-purpose spaces. Owners and investors who can take advantage of this opportunity to think about long-term redevelopment plans and designing or re-fitting their facilities will benefit greatly.
    In the long run, this could mean office space and location requirements may change. However, a factor that is also being considering by corporations when making decisions is the professional environment that offices provide, which are leading to more conversations on re-purposing or redesigning work areas to provide infrastructure for collaboration among remote and on-site staff.
    Essentially, while remote working will remain an option and provides employees with a choice depending on the type of work performed, we think here remains a strong case for the office’s long-term future.

    • 16 min
    The appeal of Japan as a destination for international capital looking for safe-haven markets

    The appeal of Japan as a destination for international capital looking for safe-haven markets

    Global investors are preparing to double down on Japanese real estate and deploy sizable chunks of the $40 billion of dry powder capital earmarked for Asia Pacific into the country.
    In this podcast, our host, Art Patnaude, has a dialogue with JLL’s Stuart Crow, CEO Capital Markets, Asia Pacific speaking to us from his home office in Singapore and Kenichi Negishi, Head of Capital Markets, Japan, joining us from Tokyo.
    The topic at hand - Why is Japan set to attract greater volumes of international capital.
    “Japan will be one of the least impacted markets in Asia Pacific and will probably emerge as one of the more attractive investment destinations for cross-border capital in the second half of 2020,” says Stuart Crow. “Global investors have long desired greater exposure to Japan, and with a slight price correction, there will be greater opportunities.”
    “Pricing has usually been the main challenge faced by investors as well as tight supply in Tokyo,” explains Kenichi Negishi. “When international investors look at Japan, they see a safe haven and a core investment market within global and regional strategies. They are also looking for stable income, and typically office is one of the sectors that provide a very stable cash flow, which becomes more attractive if there is a price adjustment.”
    Diversification is a theme that we expect to continue. “We are anticipating global investors to increase allocations to Japan and accelerate plans to look beyond Tokyo into markets like Osaka and Fukuoka,” says Negishi. “Investors view Japan through a more diverse lens when looking into increased exposure, which can also be seen through the growing attraction to emerging asset classes like data centres, logistics, and multifamily”.
    In the short term, the impact of COVID-19 on Japan’s real estate market is expected to be less than the global financial crisis. And despite expectations that transaction volumes for the whole 2020 will register a 25% decrease from the previous year, global investor sentiment towards Japanese real estate is already showing signs of a meaningful shift.

    • 13 min
    COVID-19 weighs heavily on APAC real estate markets

    COVID-19 weighs heavily on APAC real estate markets

    Regional investment volumes in the first six months of 2020 are estimated to have fallen 32 percent from the year-earlier period, with second quarter activity down by 39% year-on-year accelerating from a 26% drop in the first quarter, according to JLL Asia Pacific Research. 
    In this podcast, our host, Art Patnaude, has a dialogue with JLL’s Roddy Allan, Chief Research Officer, Asia Pacific, to discuss the implications for Asia Pacific real estate investors.
    The topic at hand – newly released data on the performance of Asia Pacific real estate markets in first half of this year.
    “The reality is that the decline in volumes was certainly not a surprise, given that the heightened level on uncertainty around COVID-19, and because ultimately people have been unable to get on a plane and to carry out due diligence.” explains Roddy. “It’s not that investor interest has waned at all. There has been a pause.”
    Internationally connected hubs of Singapore and Hong Kong saw the most significant declines, with second quarter figures down 68 percent and 65 percent year-on-year, respectively. But China, further along in the cycle, saw a decline of only 15 percent. And Japan’s volumes fell just 20 percent, bolstered by recent transactions in the multi-family sector and strong domestic liquidity.
    “There's a lot of pent up demand in the system. So I feel pretty positive in that if things do die down with the virus as we go into 2021, we really do expect to see volumes accelerate and pick up.”
    While there were some relative bright spots in select areas, the market does remain unpredictable, and all sides will be watching closely as the second half unfolds.

    • 13 min
    How will recent improvements in market transparency and the tech boom shape China’s real estate markets?

    How will recent improvements in market transparency and the tech boom shape China’s real estate markets?

    Shanghai and Beijing are the biggest commercial real estate markets in China, and among the largest globally.
    Shanghai reached US$7.3 billion in foreign-direct property investment last year, the fourth-largest in the world, according to JLL. Beijing saw US$4 billion of inflows into real estate.
    Their rise is in part tied to a decades-long path to greater transparency.
    In this podcast, our host, Art Patnaude, has a dialogue with JLL’s Stuart Crow, CEO Capital Markets, Asia Pacific speaking to us from his home office in Singapore and Jim Yip, Head of Capital Markets, China, joining us from Shanghai, to discuss the implications for Asia Pacific real estate investors.
    The topic at hand – the performance of China’s real estate markets
    “China will probably be the largest real estate market in the world in the next 6 to 8 years. So transaction volumes are always going to be high and investors are attracted to the many aspects of China’s growth. The transparency of information around deals, around rents and indeed opportunities has improved. And with that investors have become a little bit more educated and very much focused on the broader demographic, urbanization and consumer trends” explains Stuart Crow. “China's homegrown technology giants themselves are becoming very, very large players globally and are very having a very big impact on the their homegrown office markets”
    “The fundamental growth story of China is still very much intact. We have a very strong retail sales, GDP was depressed in first half year but is expected to rebound” says Jim Yip. Logistics, data centers and alternative asset classes such as cold storage and co-living are expected to attract increasing volumes of capital.
    Whilst acknowledging that there are risks ahead and the need for continued improvements in transparency, Jim concludes with a positive outlook “I'm pretty confident about the market in the aftermath of this pandemic. The market will see a significant pick up towards the end of this year.”

    • 21 min

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