Jesse Felder worked for the largest firm on Wall Street, co-founded a multi-billion-dollar hedge fund firm and has been active in the markets for over 20 years. This podcast is his journey to talk with a number of superinvestors who have been an inspiration to him in an effort to understand what makes them so successful in the financial markets and in life.
#43: Diego Parrilla On Appreciating The Opportunity Set In ‘Antibubbles’
It was just over two years ago Diego Parrilla first joined me on the podcast to discuss his framework for analyzing financial bubbles and what he calls, "antibubbles." You may have noticed that the topic of bubbles and antibubbles has come up in both of my recent interviews with James Davolos, on the topic of inflation, and Adam Rozencwaig, on the mania in green energy stocks. Considering how relevant Diego's framework is to the current market environment and how dramatically the macro backdrop has changed since we last spoke, I thought it would be an opportune time to have him back for a follow up conversation. In this episode, Diego shares his views on the misconceptions underpinning all sorts of asset bubbles at present and how a paradigm shift in inflation threatens to play the role of pin to each of them. He also discusses why he believes cryptocurrencies are, in fact, a bubble and how they have created another opportunity in what he sees as one of the oldest and most enduring of antibubbles: gold. For links and notes related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com
#42: Adam Rozencwajg On The Speculative Mania In Green Energy Stocks
Back in October of last year, I had the pleasure of discussing the "generational opportunity in energy stocks" with Leigh Goehring. At the time, he made a very compelling investment case for the energy sector and, in just the five months since then, it has nearly doubled in value. Leigh and his firm still believe energy offers compelling value but to truly appreciate it, it helps to also understand the related bubbles in both renewables and electric vehicles. In this conversation, Leigh's partner, Adam Rozencwajg, shares his views on the mania in these so-called green energy stocks, outlining why renewables and EVs are not the panacea for climate change investors believe them to be and why, ironically, the best way to profit from the transition to green energy may be in the very stocks ESG investors are shunning today. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com
#41: James Davolos On Protecting Yourself Against A Paradigm Shift In Inflation
Perhaps the biggest debate in the markets today is regarding the prospect of inflation. Will the massive fiscal stimulus and money printing of the past year or so, paired with shifting trends in global trade and demographics, result in a secular shift in the disinflationary paradigm we have seen for the past 40 years? To try to answer this question and to better understand how to protect one's finances should inflation rear its ugly head again, I reached out to James Davolos, co-portfolio manager of the Horizon Kinetics Inflation Beneficiaries ETF (INFL). In this conversation, James shares his framework for approaching the issue of inflation. He also discusses the merits of not only bringing a value-based equity focus to the problem but also of taking an asset-light approach to the process. We also tackle the risks to the broader equity market posed by all of this. For links and notes related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.
#40: Grant Williams On Focusing On What's Important
Since starting his newsletter roughly a decade ago and then founding RealVision a few years later, Grant Williams has established himself as one of the preeminent creators and curators of financial wisdom in the world. His keen yet conversational interviews with some of the most interesting thinkers in the financial field have inspired investors of every ilk all around the globe and his monthly writings are widely considered invaluable. In this conversation, Grant discusses why and how he recently decided to shift the focus of his business in a more meaningful direction. He also shares what he has learned from his experiences in picking the brains of the greatest investors alive and how it shapes his own thinking today. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.
#39: John Hussman On Navigating One Of The Most Overextended Stock Markets Of All Time
At just seventeen years old, John Hussman's introduction to the world of finance was a job hand drawing charts for an investment adviser who liked his handwriting. From that point on, he was hooked on markets. After receiving his PhD in Economics from Stanford in 1992, he went on to found Hussman Strategic Advisers and has been managing equity portfolios ever since. In this episode, John discusses how he developed his "value-conscious, historically-informed, full-cycle" investment discipline over the past 40 years and how he is implementing it today to navigate one of the most "overvalued, overbought and overbullish" stock markets of all time. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.
#38: Danielle DiMartino Booth On The Future Of The Federal Reserve
After a successful career on Wall Street, Danielle DiMartino Booth spent years as special adviser to Richard Fisher while he was head of the Dallas Fed. In her role, she provided an invaluable, markets-based perspective to one of the most independent-thinkers to have served in a leadership position at the Federal Reserve. What's more, she did so during one of the most tumultuous periods in the central bank's history: The Great Financial Crisis. In this interview, Danielle discusses the evolution of the Fed through that period and how the policies developed and implemented then have played a role in everything from inequality and social unrest to asset bubbles and inflation. She also lays out several of the potential outcomes facing investors and citizens alike as the result of the fiscal dominance and monetization of the debt we are seeing today. For notes and links related to this episode visit TheFelderReport.com.