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1,088 episodes
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Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast Mr. Action Junkie
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- Sport
This show delivers FREE daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days.
Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:
2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets
2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals
2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners
2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders
2023 College Football - Kota Capper College Football Central Lock, Underdog, and Unit Champ
2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets
2024 NCAA College Basketball - 54%, up 22.18 units (up 58 units total w/blog plays)
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together.
Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor. I flat bet risking 1 unit vs. winning 1 unit.
Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms.
Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it.
Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams.
Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.
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That's a winner! NHL Game 6 Bet, 2 WNBA Bets, 2 PGA RD2 Bets, 6 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 4, ML, First 5 Total) plus 6 Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Friday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Florida/Edmonton Under 5.5
Atlanta +3.5 vs. Indiana
Connecticut +6 at Las Vegas
Viktor Hovland Under 67.5 (-120)
Max Homa Under 68.5 (-145)
Seattle ML -162 at Miami
NRFI: White Sox/Tigers (-128)
NRFI: Red Sox/Reds (-108)
NRFI: Mariners/Marlins (-115)
NRFI: Royals/Rangers (-111)
First 5 Total: Braves/Yankees Under 4.5 (-152)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
College Baseball: 10-6 (62.5%), up 2.362 units
PGA Golf: 25-30 (45.5%), down 2.0275 units
WNBA: 23-21 (52.3%), down 0.0907 units
NHL Playoffs: 13-16 (44.8%), down 4.31401 units
MLB Baseball: 190-171 (52.6%), down 4.154 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 22-17, 56.4%, up 3.6565 units
Other: 8-9, 47.0%, down 1.40 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
NHL Game 6 Bet, WNBA Early Tip Bet, PGA 4 RD1 Matchup Bets, 4 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI, ML x 2, First 5 Total) plus 5 Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Thursday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Panthers/Oilers Under 5.5
Chicago -4.5 vs. Dallas
Tom Hoge +110 over Brian Harman
Nick Taylor +120 over Harris English
Viktor Hovland +110 over Collin Morikawa
Justin Thomas -135 over Shane Lowry
LA Dodgers -225 at Colorado
Kansas City -142 at Oakland
First 5 Total: Brewers/Padres Over 4.5 (-130)
NRFI: Mariners/Guardians (-128)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
College Baseball: 10-6 (62.5%), up 2.362 units
PGA Golf: 23-28 (45.1%), down 1.9682 units
WNBA: 22-21 (51.2%), down 0.9998 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
NHL Playoffs: 13-16 (44.8%), down 4.31401 units
MLB Baseball: 187-170 (52.4%), down 5.0718 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 22-17, 56.4%, up 3.6565 units
Other: 8-9, 47.0%, down 1.40 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
That's a winner! Congrats to Steve F - US Open Contest Winner. @KotaCapperKyle hosts with 6 Bets (WNBA Total, WNBA Side, MLB Baseball (Total, Run Line, ML x 2) for Wednesday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
@KotaCapperKyle's Card:
Mystics/Fever Over 166
Lynx -8.5 vs. Dream
Tigers/Braves Under 7.5 (-115)
Phillies -1.5 vs. Padres (+127)
Mariners ML at Guardians (+105)
Twins ML vs. Rays (-165)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
College Baseball: 10-6 (62.5%), up 2.362 units
PGA Golf: 23-28 (45.1%), down 1.9682 units
WNBA: 22-21 (51.2%), down 0.9998 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
NHL Playoffs: 13-16 (44.8%), down 4.31401 units
MLB Baseball: 187-170 (52.4%), down 5.0718 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 21-14, 60.0%, up 6.1565 units
Other: 6-9, 40.0%, down 3.40 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
NBA Finals Game 5 Bet, WNBA Bet, College Baseball Bet, 5 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 4, First 5 Run Line) for Monday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Dallas +7 at Boston
Dallas/Minnesota 1H Under 83.5
Florida -135 vs. North Carolina State
NRFI: Reds/Pirates (-135)
NRFI: Cardinals/Marlins (-155)
NRFI: Tigers/Braves (-135)
NRFI: Giants/Cubs (-105)
F5 Run Line: Phillies -0.5 vs. Padres (-125)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
UFL: 8-5 (61.5%), up 2.2728 units
College Baseball: 9-6 (60.0%), up 1.6213 units
PGA Golf: 23-28 (45.1%), down 1.9682 units
WNBA: 21-21 (50.0%), down 1.9089 units
NBA Playoffs: 40-36 (52.6%), up 0.2731 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
NHL Playoffs: 13-16 (44.8%), down 4.31401 units
MLB Baseball: 183-169 (51.9%), down 7.2101 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 21-14, 60.0%, up 6.1565 units
Other: 6-9, 40.0%, down 3.40 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
Special Edition: College Football Heisman & Future Bets with @KotaCapperKyle
@KotaCapperKyle's Card:
Jalen Milroe (+1400)
NC State Over 8.5 Wins (-125)
UCLA Under 5.5 Wins (-110)
Washington State Under 7.5 Wins (+100)
Iowa State Over 7.5 Wins (-105)
Missouri Over 9.5 Wins (+125)
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
That's a winner! NHL Game 4 Bet, US Open RD3 Bets, College Baseball Bet, WNBA Bet, MLB Baseball 3 Bets (NRFI, First 5 Run Line, ML), NBA Game 5 Bet, UFL Championship Bet plus 6 Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Saturday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Edmonton ML -118 vs. Florida
Tony Finau +155 over Rory McIlroy
Sergio Garcia +125 over Russell Henley
Texas A&M ML -160 over Florida
Las Vegas -2.5 vs. New York
NRFI: Rangers/Mariners (-128)
F5 Run Line: Baltimore -0.5 vs. Philadelphia (-140)
ML: San Francisco ML -144 vs. LA Angels
Dallas +7 at Boston
Birmingham -3.5 vs. San Antonio
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
UFL: 7-5 (58.3%), up 1.3637 units
College Baseball: 8-6 (57.1%), up 0.9963 units
PGA Golf: 22-27 (44.9%), down 2.2182 units
WNBA: 21-20 (51.2%), down 0.9089 units
NBA Playoffs: 40-36 (52.6%), up 0.2731 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
NHL Playoffs: 12-16 (42.8%), down 5.16151 units
MLB Baseball: 183-166 (52.4%), down 4.2101 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 21-14, 60.0%, up 6.1565 units
Other: 6-9, 40.0%, down 3.40 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices