Bond Market Collapse | Oil Price Problems? | Bond Stock Correlations Broken Pie Chart

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, observe the destruction in long term treasury bonds due to the reflation of the yield curve. How does the market do with higher rates? What does a flattening yield curve mean for the economy? Bond and Stock correlations mean bonds not protecting portfolios? The Hussman 12-year forward return gauge. Strategic petroleum reserve (SPR) now only has 17 days of supply left. And by the way, there is still a lot of good news like improving mortality rates around the world. That and more including some recommendations.
 
How much long-term US Treasury Bonds have dropped from the high
The yield curve is getting flatter meaning long rates are rising
Cam Harvey’s 10/3 yield curve inversion is on the path the un-inverting?
How the yield curve un-inverts before recessions
Examining a 100-year Austrian bond and how it once was up 250% and now down 40%
Stock and bond correlations going closer to 100%
Starting interest rates vs. the stock market since 1926
Starting inflation rates vs. the stock market since 1926
Comparing the yield curve today vs. early September
John Hussman estimated 12-year annual nominal total returns
SPR Strategic Petroleum Reserve and the days left of inventory (it is getting lower)
Infant mortality rates continue falling and are at lowest levels back to 400 BC
 
Mentioned in this Episode:
 
Government Shutdowns & Markets | Short ITM Puts Alternative to Covered Calls | Why Hedging Works
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/government-shutdowns-markets-short-itm-puts-alternative/id1432836154?i=1000629813419
 
John Hussman 12-year forward nominal return estimates chart https://www.hussmanfunds.com/comment/mc230724/
 
 
Cheap vs Expensive Options | Warren Buffett on Options | Fed Powell Presser
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/cheap-vs-expensive-options-warren-buffett-on-options/id1432836154?i=1000629058900
 
0DTE Options Analysis| Inflation Coming Back? | Strong US Dollar Impact https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/0dte-options-analysis-inflation-coming-back-strong/id1432836154?i=1000628157831
 
Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger Berkshire Hathaway meeting discuss using and pricing options https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SMkpou-YBGw
 
Implied Volatility Deep Dive | Real Interest Rate Yields | The Big Short | Tesla vs Nvidia
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/implied-volatility-deep-dive-real-interest-rate-yields/id1432836154?i=1000627400400
 
GameStop Short Squeeze by the Reddit Wall Street Bets Traders Explained
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/broken-pie-chart/id1432836154?i=1000507187446
The Big Short Movie and Credit Default Swaps Explained
https://open.spotify.com/episode/6FG0xHkxfhSXEtbJbFbDF6
Margin Call Movie and Understanding Value at Risk https://open.spotify.com/episode/2XJ58KAoQKw2sdC48KHyPp
Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt
 
Derek’s new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag
 
Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=broken+pie+chart&qid=1558722226&s=books&sr=1-1-catcorr
 
Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com
 
www.zegafinancial.com