Breaking 50% Podcas‪t‬ Adam Schaefer

The downside of routine. Breaks happen both ways. A way to get less ripped off by casinos.
TCW: Saints +6.5 over Falcons
LFCW: "They were three plays away from making the playoffs."
RW: Value from futures bets is often elusive
WW: Matt Taff

The joy of victory. Some jobs don't feel like jobs. Ridiculous flaws in counting stats.
TCW: 49ers +3.5 over Rams
LFCW: "The Panthers are out of contention so there’s just no reason for Kuechly to play."
RW: Return TDs count against team defense stats
WW: No clue

Joe Flacco makes a poor throw. Insurance is a poor solution. It would be a poor decision to pass up a head coaching job (so nobody(basically) does).
TCW: Eagles +6.5 over Ravens
LFCW: "Just get an insurance policy."
RW: There are only 32 head coaching jobs in the NFL
WW: TheGrossProphet

Can intelligence evaporate? Can Giants' fans be any more irrational? Can we create some new narratives?
TCW: Jets +2.5 over 49ers
LFCW: "It's better to go in as a wild card."
RW: The favorites haven't changed
WW: KathiKKS

Rules helping defenders. A reason people hate elites. Two years isn't really two years.
TCW: Vikings +3.5 over Cowboys
LFCW: "I don't think there is any way he's contemplating retirement."
RW: NFL contracts are different
WW: BretLC1964

Rare incompetence. There are many ways to lose. Not being hot in December.
TCW: Titans -3.5 over Bears
LFCW: "You didn't lose because of the officials."
RW: You don't need to play your best football in December to succeed in January
WW: rwhitcraft
PW: Z** W*****