Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.
What Comes Next For Democrats’ Election Legislation
The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures.
Why Progressives Have Struggled In The NYC Mayoral Race
Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on what’s happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly.
The Democratic Establishment Keeps Winning Elections
The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling.
How Same-Sex Marriage Broke Through Partisan Politics
During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. The data behind that evolution is striking. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. Today those numbers have flipped. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. His new book is called "The Engagement: America’s Quarter-Century Struggle Over Same-Sex Marriage."
One Special Election Can’t Forecast The Midterms
Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator.
They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020.
How The Politics Of Cities Shape The Democratic Party
In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party.
Bring Back Clare
I still miss Clare. An independent, wry, confident, yet self-questioning voice. Get her back.
Could you bring back Clare as a guest? Please.
All things being equal, Nate, Clare, Micah, Galen, and Perry are worth a star each. Sure there were great episodes without all 5, but the classic crew was the best crew. Clare was fired, Perry moved on, Nate and Micah are rarely on, so the recent episodes haven’t been super engaging. There’s also not much horse racing going on right now, so I suspect things will go on like this for a while. Of the recent episodes, I’m 0/5 on getting past minute 10.
Sad to watch the pod’s slow decline
I started listening along with the crew just before the 2016 election. I’ve kept up with them up until recent months, but it was a long time coming.
Maybe it’s because Harry’s gone, maybe it’s because Clare’s gone, maybe it’s because Nate’s not around as much, but the commentary has become predictable and uninteresting. Perhaps the old chemistry forced out interesting takes or conversations. Regardless, one could get the same content reading the replies on a random neolib Twitter account.