10 episodes

Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings & Advice

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Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings & Advice

    136 – Late Round 2021 Rookie Flyers

    136 – Late Round 2021 Rookie Flyers

    Late Round 2021 Rookie Flyers







    Hello Heat Seekers, welcome to episode 136 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast.  I am you host; I am Rob Sullivan.  The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat family of podcasts.







    episode 136- Late Round 2021 Rookie Flyers.  I am sure most have completed their top-12 or top-24 rookie rankings at this point as we prepare for the NFL draft on April 29th.  These rankings are sure to change once draft capital and landing spots are determined. By now, I am sure you all know, landing spot doesn’t really matter much to me, its relevant but draft capital means much more than landing spot to me. 







    The players I am going to discuss today, likely won’t have very good draft capital, in fact I am sure there are some rookies that I discuss today that don’t get drafted at all. 







    These are players that I have studied for rookiedraftguide.com and players that I see with upside and I see them as value adds in the later rounds of your rookie drafts.  When you start throwing darts at guys in round 4 and 5, throw them at these guys. I have selected six players for your dart throwing enjoyment.







    QB – Kellen Mond – Texas A&M6’3” 211 Lbs.21-Years-OldCurrent Rank: 56th overall QB7







    Late Round 2021 Rookie Flyers







    There are the Big 5 at the quarterback position in this upcoming draft and outside of NBC’s Chris Sims I don’t know of anyone that has Texas A&M QB Kellen Mond among them.  I do see some upside in Mond’s game in terms of fantasy football.  In 4 years in college Mond threw for 9661 yards and 71 touchdowns with 27 interceptions.  In addition to his passing, Mond ran 468 times for 1609 yards and 22 touchdowns. 







    Coming out of high school, Mond was rated as the No. 2 quarterback recruit in the nation, behind Tua Tagovailoa. While Mond was only a four-star prospect, he was the highest-rated dual-threat quarterback.







    It’s the rushing upside that I like when I watch Mond.  He is a true dual threat QB, and at 6’3” 211 lbs, he can move. In addition to his legs, he has a good arm.  Where there are opportunities in his passing game, are his mechanics, his throwing motion is not exactly what you want in your starting QB.  He is a hot and cold QB, when he is hot, he has done well, and as expected when he’s cold he’s ice cold.







    What is extremely interesting to me is Mond is 21 years old, and he has 46 games of college experience.  There are some teams that I would prefer more than others in terms of a spot for Mond.  Washington, Houston, and Minnesota come to mind.  He’s not a QB that I feel will start anytime soon, but on the three teams I mentioned he doesn’t need to. I want him to land in a spot that he has the potential to start, and I see that potential in those three cities.  







    In Washington, fan favorite Ryan Fitzpatrick is not a long-term answer and as good a story as Taylor Heinicke was a season ago he isn’t the answer either.  Mond would work well in the Scott Turner offense and the offense has plenty of weapons.







    Houston is a mess and with the Deshaun Watson saga continuing and looking worse with each passing day, there is likely some opportunity here.  Houston did add Tyrod Taylor and Ryan Finley this offseason but neither one of those fine gentlemen moves the needle.  Houston also doesn’t have the draft picks to grab a QB.  They won’t be on the clock until pick 67 in the third round and pick 109 in the 4th seems about right for Mond. 







    My Minnesota Vikings need to draft a QB,

    • 22 min
    135 – Rookie Hit Rates 2021 Edition

    135 – Rookie Hit Rates 2021 Edition

    Rookie Hit Rates 2021 Edition







    Hello Heat Seekers, welcome to episode 135 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast.  I am you host; I am Rob Sullivan.  The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat family of podcasts.







    Today is Sunday April 11, 2021 and the 2021 NFL draft is only 18 days away.  There has never been a better time for you to visit rookiedraftguide.com.







    The team has grinded thru hours, and hours of rookie tape. At last count we have watched film on 108 draft eligible rookies on offense alone. The reason for all this hard work you ask? Well, its all to create our player evaluations for rookiedraftguide.com.  I’d really appreciate it if you would head on over and check it out.







    When you get there, you’ll find all our rookie player reviews for both 2021 Offensive and Defensive prospect breakdowns. Become a VIP for only $6/month to view all eight category rankings, view the strengths and weaknesses our team has identified for each player, as well as the draft slots. All of our evaluators on the team have laid out the range that they are comfortable drafting these rookies in every scoring format imaginable.  The bonus of this $6 spend is access to our player rankings on rotoheat.com and all of our ADP information. 







    Don’t think of it as a $6 spend, think of it as a $6 investment in you. Investing $6 in yourself is well worth it and will give you a leg up on the other managers in your leagues. 







    Back in episodes 75-78 of this podcast, I went thru each position and detailed the hit rates of all skilled players drafted between 2010-2018.  Today, in episode 135, I’m revisiting the hit rates and taking a look at all skilled players once again including the 2019 and 2020 seasons.  I, will touch on draft capital and how that impacts the hit rates and have a look at the upcoming 2021 draft class and what to expect from them based on the historical data we have.







    In order to review Hit rates, its important to define what qualifies as a hit.  I define at hit as any quarterback that has delivered a top-12 season at any point in their career. For the running backs, its any back that has recorded a top-12 or top-24 season during their career and the wide receivers it anyone with a WR1, WR2, or WR3 campaign.  Lastly the tight Ends are a hit if they deliver you a top-12 season at any point in their careers. In addition to hit rates, I look at players that have multiple hit seasons as well as players that achieved hit status in their rookie seasons. 







    Dynasty Fantasy Managers tend to have a serious case of rookie fever at this time of the offseason, and it intensifies after the NFL draft.  We tend to like rookies a lot at this stage of the game, but once we know where they are playing, we tend to go a little overboard, myself included. With that in mind let’s jump into it.







    Quarterbacks







    Rookie Hit Rates 2021 Edition







    Since the 2010 NFL Entry draft there have been 862 skill position players selected. Of those 862, 130 have been quarterbacks.







    Of those 130 selected QBs, 23 of them or 18% have recorded a top-12 season, 15 of them have had multiple hit seasons and 8 of them have been a top-12 QB in their rookie season.  Those numbers might seem low, because frankly they are low. The amount of QBs drafted that will never produce a top-12 season are staggering.  The kicker is that most of them were pretty darn good in college and entered the draft as solid NFL prospects. The reality is NFL teams make mistakes when drafting QBs and as a result so do fantasy managers.







    When you dissect the position by round you quickly id...

    • 22 min
    134 – Updated 2021 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings

    134 – Updated 2021 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings

    Updated 2021 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings







    TUSCALOOSA, AL – OCTOBER 17: Najee Harris #22 of the Alabama Crimson Tide celebrates after diving into the endzone for a touchdown in the second half against the Georgia Bulldogs at Bryant-Denny Stadium on October 17, 2020 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. (Photo by UA Athletics/Collegiate Images/Getty Images) Updated 2021 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings







    In episode 134, Sully is back, this time to talk about the impact of a 17-game schedule on the NFL as well as Fantasy Football. In addition, Sully updates his top-12 2021 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings in 1QB formats.







    Thank you for listening to episode 134 – Updated 2021 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings







    For more great Fantasy Football content, subscribe to our website,  YouTube Channel and follow us on Twitter. Be sure to head on over to rookiedraftguide.com for all our rookie player reviews for both 2021 Offensive and Defensive prospect breakdowns. Become a VIP for only $6 to view all eight category rankings, and view the strengths and weaknesses our team has identified for each player.

    • 29 min
    133- AFC Free Agency Recap

    133- AFC Free Agency Recap

    133- AFC Free Agency Recap







    Hello Heat Seekers, welcome to episode 133 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast.  I am you host; I am Rob Sullivan.  The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat family of podcasts.







    Last week we ran through the key player moves in the NFC and this week we are back to take a look at the key moves in the AFC.







    The NFL Salary Cap shrunk to $182,500,000 for the 2021 season. In 2020 the cap was $198.2MM.  as a result of the Coivid-19 pandemic and a massive reduction in league revenue in 2020, Team are forced to make do with 15.7MM less in 2021. 







    So, lets drive right in!







    AFC East







    AFC Free Agency Recap







    Buffalo BillsCap Space: $8,088,625Draft Slot: Pick 30







    QB Mitchell Trubisky: Agreed to a one-year contract worth $2.5 million.RB Taiwan Jones: Agreed to a one-year deal.RB Matt Brieda: Agreed to a one-year deal.WR Emmanuel Sanders: Agreed to a one-year contract.TE Jacob Hollister: Agreed to a one-year deal.







    The Sanders signing isn’t great news for Gabriel Davis, who was expected to function as the Bills’ clear-cut No. 2 outside WR after John Brown was released last week. This is suddenly a wide receiver room considering Cole Beasley has seen 106 and 107 targets over the past two seasons.







    The good news for everyone involved is that this is truly a fantasy-friendly offense. Josh Allen ranked eighth in drop backs last season and second with at least four wide receivers on the field. The 2019 No. 2 scoring offense clearly is capable of enabling more than one high-end fantasy receiver; it’s just not clear who that will be.







    I believe that we will see Sanders and Davis rotate, making Beasley the No. 2 target in this offense. Beasley is worthy of low-end WR3 consideration as his floor, while Diggs should continue to be drafted among fantasy’s top-five players at his position. Davis is the primary loser here; treat both him and Sanders as boom-or-bust WR4 options until we have any sort of confidence that one or the other has the edge in playing time.







    The one thing that doesn’t change here is that Josh Allen remains a top fantasy QB will weapons all over the field to utilize in addition to his legs.







    Miami DolphinsCap Space: $10,444,876Draft Slot: Pick 6, Pick 18







    The Dolphins sent the number three overall draft pick in the 2021 NFL Draft to San Francisco in exchange for San Francisco’s 2021 first round (12th overall) draft choice, along with the 49ers 2022 and 2023 first-round picks and a 2022 compensatory third-round draft pick.







    Miami sends the 12th overall selection to Philadelphia for the sixth overall pick in this year’s draft, and a 2022 first-round pick.  The Eagles will also ship the 156th overall pick to Miami and get the 123rd overall pick in the deal.







    QB Jacoby Brissett: Signed a one-year, $5 million contract with a max value of $7.5 million.RB Malcolm Brown: Signed a one-year deal with $1.75 million fully guaranteed.WR Will Fuller: Signing a one-year deal worth $10.625 million fully guaranteed that includes another $3 million in incentives.OT Adam Pankey: Re-signed on a contract.OT Isaiah Wilson: Acquired in a trade with the Tennessee Titans (along with a 2022 seventh-round pick) in exchange for a 2021 seventh-round selectionC Matt Skura: Signing a one-year deal.







    OK, so I have to say I was writing up the trade with the Niners for our website and the Fish made the move with the Eagles before I could finish it. 

    • 31 min
    132- NFC Free Agency Recap

    132- NFC Free Agency Recap

    NFC Free Agency Recap







    Hello Heat Seekers, welcome to episode 132 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast.  I am you host; I am Rob Sullivan.  The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat family of podcasts.







    I hope everyone is doing well, its officially the 2021 NFL offseason, as the NFL new year officially kicked off on March 17th.  With a new year comes new beginnings.  Players are finding new homes via trade or free agency, others are remaining with their teams on new contracts and 32 NFL have renewed hope for a championship season, realistic or not. 







    The NFL Salary Cap shrunk to $182,500,000 for the 2021 season. In 2020 the cap was $198.2MM.  as a result of the Coivid-19 pandemic and a massive reduction in league revenue in 2020, Team are forced to make do with 15.7MM less in 2021. 







    So, with that reduction in available salary, let drive into the transactions in the NFC, thus far.







    NFC East







    NFC Free Agency Recap







    Dallas CowboysCap Space: $11,675,232Draft Slot: Pick 10







    QB Dak Prescott: Signed a four-year, $160 million contract that has a max value of $164 million and includes $126 million guaranteed.







    Hard not to like the fact that Prescott remains in Dallas.  Last season Dallas was an offense I wanted as many pieces of as I could get, and I wasn’t alone.  2021 should be more of the same. Dak went down in Week 5 last season, he was the top scoring fantasy when that game started and was QB4 when it ended averaging 27.7 points per game.







    Other key members of the offense suffered big-time without Dak.  At the end of Week 5, Ezekiel Elliot was RB3, Amari Cooper was WR8, CeeDee Lamb was WR11, and Dalton Schultz TE12. When the dust settled on the 2020 season, Zeke Was RB9, Cooper WR15, and Lamb WR22.  Schultz held his own and finished as TE11. It remains to be seen how Prescott will look post-ankle injury, but at full health it’s tough to deny that the Cowboys look potent once again in 2021.  Dak will be a top-5 QB in my Dynasty rankings that come out later this spring.







    New York GiantsCap Space: $1,321,867Draft Slot: Pick 11







    Kenny Golladay: Agreed to a 4-year $72 million deal. It has a max value of $76 million and includes $40 million guaranteed.QB Mike Glennon: Signing a deal with undisclosed terms.RB Devontae Booker: Agreed to a two-year, $6 million deal.WR John Ross: Agreed to terms on a one-year deal worth $2.5 million, including $1 million guaranteed.TE Kyle Rudolph: Signed a two-year, $12 million deal with a $4.5 million signing bonus and a max value of $14 million.







    When I started putting my notes together, I wasn’t too be excited about the 2021 version of the New York Giants. I figured that the biggest boost to this offense was going to be the return of Saquon Barkley. Well, before I could record this beauty, they went and signed Kenny Golladay.  I like this spot for Golladay.  I see him as a piece this offense has been missing and with Saquon, Kyle Rudolph, and now Kenny G, its on Daniel Jones to take the next step. 







    Don’t worry about Golladay, this is a WR that finished the back half of 2019 as the WR16 with David Blough and Jeff Driskel as his QB’s.  Daniel Jones isn’t Peyton Manning but he absolutely better than Driskel and Blough.







    A healthy Saquon Barkley will make everyone in that offense better.  The addition of Rudolph is a nice under the radar fantasy singing.  Rudy won’t be a fantasy relevant TE,

    • 34 min
    Episode 131 – Defining a Fantasy Stud

    Episode 131 – Defining a Fantasy Stud

    Episode 131 – Defining a Fantasy Stud







    Episode 131 – Defining a Fantasy Stud.







    Hello Heat Seekers, welcome to episode 131 of Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast.  I am you host, I am Rob Sullivan.  The Sully’s 2 Cents Fantasy Football Podcast is a proud member of the RotoHeat family of podcasts.







    So today, I am going to tackle something that quite honestly has bugged me for a long time now.  Fantasy Studs. What exactly qualifies one to be dubbed a fantasy stud.  People tend to throw that term around rather loosely and rather easily. I don’t know about of all of you, but I get trade offers all the time for a so-called “fantasy stud” and the offers leave me scratching my head and wondering what it is that I am missing here.







    I took the question to Twitter, and well true to form Twitter being the cesspool that it can be wasn’t overly helpful. The two best answers I got from @SportsTalkSmart –  Someone whose production relates more to fantasy points than their team’s overall success.







    The other answer that jumped out to me came from Brent Powers @TD_MFLAddons (slanted towards dynasty) 1. Production relative to his position. 2. Established and still not as his peak. 3. 5-7 more years in his career. I appreciate this answer as well and this is moving more to what I am getting at. I am not sure I agree completely with the definition. 5-7 years is a long time and if I have a RB that finishes as the top-12 RB for 2, 3,or 4 years I think I am going to call him a stud, and I am not banking on 5-7 more years of that production.







    Naturally, I took this question to our great RotoHeat Dynasty Fantasy Football Community on Facebook, and as I have become accustomed to received great responses. 







    Blair Dickey  – When I think “stud” my first thought is “top 4 or so” at their position on a fairly consistent basis (meaning like 70% of their seasons absent injury)







    Josh Crab – to me a fantasy stud is a set it and forget it player. Generally, an accepted top 12 guy (RB1/WR1). When looking at onesie positions like QB and TE, then fantasy stud has to be the top tier guys. Guys that have proven themselves to be reliable at a very high level.







    Mitch Sprague – When I think fantasy stud, I think top 5 at the position that consistently performs and is a guy that in any given Sunday could post 40 but you know will give at least 10.







    Dallas Boyle – A consistent top 10 player at their position. Consistent being the key. 3 or more seasons of top tier play.







    Jeff Robertson – Someone who is set and forget. Doesn’t matter the matchup, questionable tags, etc. If they are active, you start them without having to even think about it. On top of that, I would say top 4 or 5 at their position.







    Adam Gruse – If they are on your roster you start them no questions asked, minus injury. Set and forget.







    Before I go to deep here there is one piece, I feel I need to address. Justin Jefferson had a great rookie season, as did Justin Herbert, James Robinson, and Jonathan Taylor.  They are not Fantasy Studs folks, a rookie is not a fantasy stud IMO, we need to see it for more than one season. 







    Some examples of why;







    Peyton Hillis, Running Back, 2010 season







    Peyton Hillis rose to fame at a rapid pace before fading away just as fast Hillis was drafted in the 7th round by Denver and like most 7th rounders didn’t see much action.  He was later dealt to the Cleveland and became the...

    • 17 min

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