1,029 episodes
Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast Mr. Action Junkie
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- Sports
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4.5 • 95 Ratings
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This show delivers FREE daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days.
Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:
2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets
2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals
2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners
2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders
2023 College Football - Kota Capper College Football Central Lock, Underdog, and Unit Champ
2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets
2024 NCAA College Basketball - 54%, up 22.18 units (up 58 units total w/blog plays)
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together.
Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor. I flat bet risking 1 unit vs. winning 1 unit.
Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms.
Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it.
Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams.
Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.
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That's a winner! @KotaCapperKyle with 4 MLB Bets (Team Total, Moneyline, Run Line, Total) for Tuesday plus 3 NBA Bets from @MrActionJunkie1 in the notes - Flip the script!
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
@MrActionJunkie1 NBA Card: FLIP EVERYTHING
Phoenix +3 at Minnesota
Indiana +1.5 at Milwaukee
Dallas -2 at LA Clippers
@KotaCapperKyle's Card:
Total: Boston/Cleveland Under 8 (-103)
Run Line: Oakland +1.5 at New York Yankees (-120)
Moneyline: Kansas City vs. Toronto (+102)
Team Total: Baltimore Over 4.5 (-125)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 63-59 (51.6%), down 2.2063 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoffs: 7-8 (46.7%), down 1.6363 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 5-6, 45.4%, down 1.0071 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
That's a winner! 3 NBA Playoff Bets - Barking Dogs, 5 MLB Bets (NRFI x 2, First 5 Run Line, Run Line x 2) for Monday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Orlando +5.5 at Cleveland
Philadelphia +5.5 at New York
LA Lakers +7.5 at Denver
NRFI: Oakland/New York Yankees (-115)
NRFI: Detroit/Tampa Bay (-145)
First 5 Run Line: Cincinnati -0.5 vs. Philadelphia (+130)
Run Line: Minnesota -1.5 vs. Chicago White Sox (+124)
Run Line: San Diego -1.5 at Colorado (-118)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 60-57 (51.3%), down 3.1634 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoffs: 5-7 (41.7%), down 2.4545 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 5-6, 45.4%, down 1.0071 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
That's a winner! 4 NBA Bets, 5 MLB Bets (Run Line x 2, NRFI x 2, First 5 Run Line at +130) for Sunday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Miami +14 at Boston
Dallas -2 at LA Clippers
Milwaukee +1.5 vs. Indiana
Oklahoma City -8 vs. New Orleans
Run Line: LA Dodgers -1.5 vs. New York Mets (-120)
NRFI: Oakland/Cleveland (-125)
NRFI: Milwaukee/St. Louis (-125)
First 5 Run Line: Arizona -0.5 at San Francisco (+130)
Run Line: Philadelphia -1.5 vs. Chicago White Sox (-135)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 56-56 (50.0%), down 5.3374 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoffs: 4-4 (50.0%), down 0.3636 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 5-6, 45.4%, down 1.0071 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
4 NBA Round 1 Playoff Bets, 7 MLB Bets (NRFI x 3, Moneyline, First 5 Moneyline, First 5 Run Line, To Record A Win Prop) for Saturday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Cleveland -4.5 vs. Orlando
Minnesota -1.5 vs. Phoenix
Philadelphia +3.5 at New York
LA Lakers +7.5 at Denver
Moneyline: Texas +136 @ Atlanta
First 5 Moneyline: Colorado +140 vs. Seattle
NRFI: Tampa Bay/New York Yankees (-113)
NRFI: Miami/Chicago Cubs (-105)
NRFI: Baltimore/Kansas City (-138)
First 5 Run Line: Arizona -0.5 at San Francisco (+106)
To Record A Win: Zack Wheeler (Phillies) YES (-155)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 52-53 (49.5%), down 5.5446 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoffs: 2-2 (50.0%), down 0.1818 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 5-6, 45.4%, down 1.0071 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
That's a winner! 2 NBA Play-In Bets, MLB OPS Splits: Nationals, Reds, Pirates, 6 MLB Bets (First 5 Run Line x 4, First 5 Moneyline, NRFI) for Friday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Bulls +1.5 at Heat
Pelicans +1.5 vs. Kings
First 5 Run Line: Houston -0.5 at Washington (-110)
First 5 Run Line: Minnesota -0.5 vs. Detroit (+100)
First 5 Run Line: Milwaukee -0.5 at St. Louis (+105)
First 5 Run Line: Baltimore -0.5 at Kansas City (+105)
First 5 Moneyline: Colorado vs. Seattle (+110)
NRFI: Chicago White Sox/Philadelphia Phillies (-115)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 50-50 (50.0%), down 4.5037 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoffs: 1-1 (50.0%), down 0.0909 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 5-6, 45.4%, down 1.0071 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
6 Major League Baseball Bets (First 5 Run Line, First 5 Total, NRFI, Total, Moneyline x 2) for Thursday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
First 5 Run Line: Tampa Bay -0.5 vs. LA Angels (-110)
Moneyline: Texas ML at Detroit (-102)
Moneyline: Boston ML vs. Cleveland (-126)
Total: Miami/Chicago Cubs Over 8 (-104)
First 5 Total: Arizona/San Francisco Under 4.5 (-125)
NRFI: Arizona/San Francisco (-115)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 46-49 (48.4%), down 7.0628 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoffs: 1-1 (50.0%), down 0.0909 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 5-6, 45.4%, down 1.0071 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Customer Reviews
Great system sport betting
First half under during NCAA conference tournament
Spread under 6, it is tough to beat the same opponent three times
Follow his bets = High winning percentage
Soapbox podcast.
Great lesson sir. Appreciate the honesty.
As a former degenerate gambler I can also attest it is not for revenue. YOU WILL LOSE OVER THE LONG RUN. You must consider a hobby. Limit bankroll. I don’t golf I don’t drink much. I do this.
It’s a hobby.
Great info! Must listen daily
Just found this podcast and I have added to one of my must listens!
Keep up the great work.
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