Political psychologist Rose McDermott discusses her article on how systematic judgment biases can undermine nuclear deterrence and strategic stability, especially under emerging technologies like AI. McDermott explains Kahneman's Type 1 (fast, intuitive) versus Type 2 (slow, analytical) thinking and how four biases—overconfidence, the planning fallacy, the illusion of validity, and the prominence effect—can distort leaders' crisis decisions, probability judgments, and security trade-offs.
Hosts: Sheena Chestnut Greitens and Ryan Vest
Producer: Jordan Morning
Information
- Show
- FrequencyUpdated Biweekly
- PublishedApril 15, 2026 at 10:06 PM UTC
- Length44 min
- RatingClean
