Mark Rzepczynski returns this week to discuss the recent decline in commodity prices, perceived hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve, trading narratives versus trading price action, the feasibility of Trend Following on options, the increased time and labour of short-term trading, the benefits of huge sample sizes, the differences between trading single stocks versus index futures, how investing rules offset our natural human tendencies, whether Technical Analysis contributes to typical Trend Following strategies, and Mark explains the ‘3 D’s’ of inflation.
In this episode, we discuss:
Commodity prices falling, even after recent inflation fears
How price action incorporates all narratives
Trend Following on options
The extra costs of short-term trading
Single stocks versus index futures
If Technical Analysis forms part of a typical Trend Following system
Mark's '3 D's' of inflation
You can find Mark’s latest writings https://mrzepczynski.blogspot.com/ (here).
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Follow Mark on https://twitter.com/mrzepczynski (Twitter).
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00:00 – Intro
01:37 – A big thank you to listeners of the show for leaving your 5-star reviews on iTunes
02:32 – Macro recap from Niels
06:19 – Weekly review of performance
16:53 – Q1; Omar: Why is Trend Following associated mostly to futures?
31:32 – Q2; Mohammed: How do I overcome a lack of patience and discipline?
35:33 – Q3; Abishek: How does Technical Analysis relate to Trend Following?
39:43 – Predicting market reactions to Federal Reserve announcements
56:26 – How price moves change narratives and not the other way around
01:00:16 – The ‘Three D’s’ of inflation
01:05:33 – When is the best time to invest in Trend Following?
01:11:29 – Benchmark performance update
01:12:52 - Recommended listening or reading this week: https://www.amazon.com/Half-Life-Facts-Everything-Know-Expiration/dp/159184651X (The Half Life of Facts by Samuel Arbesman) and https://www.indiebound.org/book/9780393881554 (The Premonition by Michael Lewis)