180 episodes

The Capitalist Investor ties together relevant items that influence the stock market and your investments – from economics to politics to earnings to planning strategies. We cover all the bases. Ask us questions at info@swpconnect.com. You can also reach out to Mark Tepper on Twitter - @MarkTepperSWP

The Capitalist Investor with Mark Tepper Mark Tepper

    • Business
    • 4.9 • 87 Ratings

The Capitalist Investor ties together relevant items that influence the stock market and your investments – from economics to politics to earnings to planning strategies. We cover all the bases. Ask us questions at info@swpconnect.com. You can also reach out to Mark Tepper on Twitter - @MarkTepperSWP

    NVDA & AI Stock Explosion, Potential Deflation, & Chick-Fil-A, Ep. #180

    NVDA & AI Stock Explosion, Potential Deflation, & Chick-Fil-A, Ep. #180

    The dream team of Diamond Hands D, Tony the Tiger, & Cool Hand Luke discuss their Memorial Day weekend and topics of the day. AI and NVDA has been going nuts in the stock market.. at-least the hype has. What's next for NVDA and AI? We always talk about inflation, but we never really talk about deflation? Is that a possibility? What's going on over at Chick-Fil-A and the potential boycott? Find out all of the teams thoughts and more on this week's "The Capitalist Investor" podcast!

    We’ve been talking a lot about Artificial Intelligence, but the real explosion didn’t really start in the stock market until NVDA reported earnings. But once you go past the curtains of the report, there could be something deeper going on. AI right now is an R&D expense to a lot of companies which means it’s an up-front investment. AI isn’t really adding dollars to the bottom line yet. The question is whether or not these stocks will grow into the current valuations or if these current valuations on AI stocks are over-done. The team discusses NVDA and their thoughts on what’s next for AI stocks and the technology in general.

    All we have heard for two years straight is inflation, inflation, inflation. But what’s not really talked about is deflation. Prices have risen very quickly, and people seem to keep on spending their money, whether that’s on credit cards or not. But when recessions hit, typically consumers eventually cut back their spending. When people cut back their spending, it’s possible that you can enter a deflationary environment where prices actually go lower. This can impact many aspects of the economy & stock market. Is it possible that if the labor market takes a turn and unemployment rises we could have a deflationary environment? In that case, won’t the federal reserve just lower interest rates and pump liquidity into the economy? With how quickly rates have risen, a lot of people who locked in their 2.5%-3.5% mortgage rates are unlikely to leave their location for a job in another state and give up that mortgage. That could also have an impact on the labor market.
    It looks like a lot of boycotts are getting attention and traction. Beer sales seem to be down for Bud Light & Anheuser-Busch and Target boycotts seem to be underway. This is also impacting both of their stock prices. But another one that is getting attention is Chick-Fil-A with the attention around the DEI (Diversity, Equity & Inclusion) VP. Is a Chick-Fil-A boycott underway?

    • 28 min
    Fake Picture Moving Markets, Marriage & Divorce Finance, Ep. #179

    Fake Picture Moving Markets, Marriage & Divorce Finance, Ep. #179

    This week on The Capitalist Investor, the team discussed everything from a fake picture impacting the financial markets all the way to the latest and greatest marriage & divorce tips on the news of Jeff Bezos getting engaged to Lauren Sanchez. What tricks, tips, and thoughts does The Capitalist Investor team have around these topics and more? Tune in!
    A news article or picture rather has gone viral on social media that showed a fake picture of an explosion at the Pentagon. The picture spread quickly and impacted the markets as a result of algorithmic trading. There are long-term implications of the algorithms responding to the news without verifying the information, as well as the potential for deep fakes and other false information to cause a similar reaction. We have to be mindful of how information spreads on social media and the potential for algorithms to misinterpret it. There is a concept of efficiently inefficient markets, where everyone owns the same things and reacts to the same information, leading to a lack of value. We also have to pay attention to artificial intelligence and how it can distort reality, creating a lack of information in which it is difficult to distinguish truth from lies. All of this is happening as Elon Musk changed the algorithm on Twitter, leading to an echo chamber of information, which means the algorithms are too good at focusing on only what you care about. The markets are changing. Information is changing. People seem to be changing.
    There’s news around Jeff Bezos & Lauren Sanchez getting engaged. Both marriage & divorce can have a huge financial impact. The team shares their thoughts around emerging trends and thoughts around getting a prenuptial agreement and more.
    President Biden’s agenda came out today and it looks rather light. Is a light schedule something typical for the United States president? Most of our schedules look much busier and filled than our current President’s. Why is it important for the government to be ran like a business and how is the government different than a business in the ways of efficiency? The capitalist investor team discusses the latest and greatest around the oval office.

    • 27 min
    13 Year Old Cars & Parents Charging Adult Children Rent, Ep. #178

    13 Year Old Cars & Parents Charging Adult Children Rent, Ep. #178

    This week on The Capitalist Investor, the team discussed how the average car payment is up to $750/month and the average car on the road is over 13 years old. What does this say about the economy and America? Lately, one topic getting traction is the topic around parents charging their adult children rent after they turn 18 years old. What would you? Home Depot earnings came in light as did most retail economic data. Is this the crack in the system? Tune into this week’s "The Capitalist Investor Podcast" for the latest cancelled segment.

    Throughout history, new trends start to emerge. One of those trends has been the trend of keeping your car for longer & longer until it completely breaks down. The average car on the road right now is 13 years old. Not only have cars gotten older, but also, the average monthly payments that people are spending on cars has risen significantly over time. The average car payment is $750/month, almost 20% of the average individual income. This can tell you a lot about what’s going on economically. As Capitalist Investors, there are always opportunities to take advantage of trends. The Capitalist Investor team discusses somewhere you can keep an eye on if this trend continues.

    Maybe you have children, maybe you don’t. Maybe your children are grown, maybe they aren’t. If they are grown, are they still living with you? If they are still living with you, are you charging them rent? There has been a lot of discussion recently around charging your children rent. For the most part, the Capitalist Investor team seems to be in favor of instilling values & hardship into your child’s life to make them come out better in the end. That also means making them pay rent if they are an adult at “Could” be out on their own. Also, you don’t want an adult child living with you to hurt your future goals and retirement plans. Find out what the team has to say around that.

    We’ve been talking for a while about how middle-class America seems to be hurting, but their spending kept on chugging along. Much of that spending was done on credit cards and revolving credit. The past couple of days, between Home Depot earnings & the retail economic data, we could finally be seeing cracks form that suggests middle-class America’s spending spree could be over. What should you be eyeing going forward?

    • 44 min
    Debt Crisis Grows Worse: 36% Of US Adults Have More Credit Card Debt Than Savings, Ep. #177

    Debt Crisis Grows Worse: 36% Of US Adults Have More Credit Card Debt Than Savings, Ep. #177

    This week on The Capitalist Investor, the team discussed credit card debt, electric cars, and inflation numbers. They discussed the topic of credit card debt and the momentum it has gained and then moved on to talk about electric cars and police forces, as well as a good cancellation they had. Finally, they wrapped up the conversation by discussing the inflation numbers that had come out that day.

    The inflation rate was 4.9%, in line with expectations. They noted that the market had reacted positively, but was now flat. They then discussed how the middle class is getting screwed due to high credit card interests, mortgages, and inflation rates. They discussed how the billion dollars in credit card revolving debt will become a much bigger problem in the future, with $10,000 turning into $50,000 in five years due to high interest rates.

    The conversation discussed the alarming levels of credit card debt in the US, currently reaching an all-time balance of $1 trillion with an average interest rate of 25%. The speakers discussed the double-edged sword of credit card debt, in that credit card companies make an exorbitant amount of profit off of it with a profit margin of almost 100%. This is because they charge 25% interest, and the average household credit card debt is around $7,000. They also discussed the ancillary impacts of COVID, such as people raising their standard of living and having difficulty lowering it again due to the free money being passed out. In conclusion, the speakers agreed that an issue with spending is the root cause of the high levels of credit card debt.

    The guys discussed the staggering debt that a 29-year-old had managed to accumulate in the form of student loans, a mortgage, and credit card debt. They discussed how this system is designed to keep people in debt and how it needs to be revamped. They also discussed how young people are encouraged to take out student loans as a way to create success. They concluded that as long as the job market remains strong, credit card issues will continue to be a problem.

    • 25 min
    U.S. Government Default? AI & Socialism? Ep. #176

    U.S. Government Default? AI & Socialism? Ep. #176

    The guys discuss the current state of the US economy in this week's episode.  Janet Yellen has said may cause the US to default by June 1st. It is noted that the House has passed a measure to keep the government open and included $1 trillion in cuts, including rescinding 87,000 IRS agents, clawing back unspent COVID money, and ending the student loan forgiveness plan. It is suggested that the government is out of money and that the debt ceiling limit is at 31.4 trillion, with the amount of debt per person in Cleveland being displayed on a sign. 

    The U.S. debt limit, which is the amount of money the government can borrow. Most Americans do not understand the debt limit and the implications of defaulting on it. The debt ceiling has been exceeded 45 times in the last 40 years, but the only time it had a cascading effect on the stock market was in 2011. The credit default swaps, which are bets on something bad happening, are currently at their highest since 2000. There is a high likelihood that the government will default on the debt limit.

    What will happen to the  money stored in U.S. Treasuries if a default occurred?  In the worst-case scenario, Democrats would have to compromise and that there would be a cascade of problems.

    • 35 min
    Tech Earnings And New Mortgage Rules: Analyzing The Impact, Ep. #175

    Tech Earnings And New Mortgage Rules: Analyzing The Impact, Ep. #175

    Microsoft, Google, Facebook, and Amazon are all reporting earnings. Microsoft has reported good earnings and its cloud services are still in demand. Amazon is yet to report, but they offer cloud services and other products. Google is doing a $70 billion stock buyback. Most of these companies are beating earnings because they lowered the bar.

    First Republic Bank, which is near collapse, and offering a package to some of the bigger banks to either bail them out or let them fail. They also discuss defensive stocks, such as Campbell's, Procter Gamble, Coca-Cola, and Pepsi, which are all doing well but have had year-over-year increases in their products. They conclude that while the banks seem to have done well, the outcome of First Republic Bank is still uncertain.

    The guys are discussing the current market climate and how it has been affected by inflation, shrinking packages, and tech prices. Speaker 2 expresses their disbelief in the official inflation numbers and brings up the concept of shrinkflation to describe what is happening. They then discuss the risk and potential for a burst tech bubble, and how managing risk tolerances and using vehicles with downside protection can balance out the portfolio. The FAANG stocks make up a large portion of the market cap, but should not make up the same portion of a portfolio in order to avoid the tremendous losses that would occur if the tech bubble burst.

    • 25 min

Customer Reviews

4.9 out of 5
87 Ratings

87 Ratings

Mr. Movie ,

Great, informative and simple.

This is really fun listen. It’s very accessible and such an easy listen.

PF216 ,

Episode. 117 - Dumpster Diving discuss Moats and Inflation Insulation

Look forward to this podcast weekly! On episode 117, these stocks are beaten down for a reason. Next time discuss how companies have a most and pricing power to combat inflation eating away EBIT.

Belnda2256 ,


Love the informal nature of current events tied loosely to finance. I tell my math students constantly - money matters - look for it in every aspect of your lives. You are slowly shaping conservative views in a modest way. Future topics: economic effect of primarily producing, manufacturing or selling made in America products. Can it be done? I wonder what patriotism would look like if we really tried. How can we use our alliance relations to boost our own economy? How can religion fit into finance - or doesn’t it matter. I think it does. Is there any merit to stock clubs informally? Are penny stocks still a thing? Are they fair game? Stop me. Lol

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