The Dividend Cafe

The Bahnsen Group
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The Dividend Cafe is your portal for market perspective that is virtually conflict-free, rooted in deep philosophical commitments about how capital should be managed, and understandable for all sorts of investors. Host David L. Bahnsen is a frequent guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Fox Business. He is the author of the books, Crisis of Responsibility: Our Cultural Addiction to Blame and How You Can Cure It (Post Hill Press), The Case for Dividend Growth: Investing in a Post-Crisis World (Post Hill Press), and Full-Time: Work and the Meaning of Life (Post Hill Press).

  1. 1D AGO

    Where Do Things Stand With China?

    Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/47ogHOD US-China Trade Deal Updates & Insights from The Bahnsen Group Annual Retreat In this week's episode of Dividend Cafe, host David Bahnsen reports from The Bahnsen Group's annual retreat in Dallas, Texas. He highlights the team's dedication to client experience and shares updates on the significant US-China trade deal. The discussion covers recent agreements between the two nations, including tariff reductions, market commitments, and cooperation plans. Bahnsen reflects on how market discipline has influenced policy decisions and gives insights on the potential economic impacts. Looking ahead, he hints at a forthcoming evaluation of the AI CapEx bubble burst in the next episode. 00:00 Welcome to Dividend Cafe 00:06 The Importance of Our Annual Retreat 01:41 US-China Trade Deal Overview 05:06 Key Elements of the Trade Agreement 10:18 Implications and Future Prospects 18:43 Conclusion and Upcoming Topics Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

    22 min

  2. 4D AGO

    Monday - November 3, 2025

    Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/43Ga1ZR**** Monday Market Recap and Historical Insights - Dividend Cafe with David Bahnsen In this Monday edition of Dividend Cafe, host David Bahnsen covers a variety of market topics. Bahnsen urges viewers to check out the Friday edition of Dividend Cafe for an in-depth analysis of private markets. He then discusses the day's market fluctuations, highlighting significant movements in the Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq. A fascinating chart on market cap and AI CapEx is recommended for further insights. Bahnsen also shares a historical market trend, noting that positive first 10 months often lead to favorable outcomes in the final two months of the year. Key news includes Kimberly Clark's $48.7 billion acquisition of Ken View amid controversy involving Tylenol and autism. Bahnsen briefly touches on public policy matters, upcoming Supreme Court hearings on tariffs, and off-cycle election indicators. He announces no podcasts during the week due to an offsite team meeting in Dallas, but daily blurbs will continue. The episode concludes with a quick overview of market performance, including the 10-year bond yield and sector highlights. 00:00 Introduction and Friday Recap 00:27 Today's Market Overview 01:35 AI CapEx and Market Valuations 03:30 Historical Market Trends 04:53 Sector Performance and Big News 06:53 Public Policy and Upcoming Events 08:53 Upcoming Schedule and Conclusion Kimberly-Clark buys Kenvue - https://apnews.com/article/kimberly-clark-kenvue-tylenol-98d5fd39c12b25524e3188da2e840436 NVIDIA/WSJ Chart Mention - https://www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/global-stocks-markets-dow-news-11-03-2025-83c207f7 Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

    12 min

  3. OCT 31

    Private Markets Trick or Treat?

    Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4qxLxMp Demystifying Private Markets: Risks, Rewards, and Systemic Implications In this episode of Dividend Cafe, host David Bahnsen, Chief Investment Officer at The Bahnsen Group, delves into the complexities of private markets, focusing on private credit and private equity. Bahnsen addresses the widespread discussions around the potential opportunities and risks in these markets, arguing that both extreme optimism and pessimism are misguided. He explains the inherent risks associated with higher returns and emphasizes the importance of understanding these investments' systemic implications, even for those not directly invested. Bahnsen also explores the historical growth of private markets, the exit bottleneck in private equity, and the potential for systemic risk. Emphasizing the necessity of prudence in investment and manager selection, he advocates for awareness of liquidity issues and proper diversification. This episode aims to provide a nuanced perspective on private markets, debunking myths and highlighting the real stakes involved. 00:00 Introduction to This Week's Dividend Cafe 00:40 Understanding Private Markets: Credit and Equity 03:07 The Risks and Realities of Private Credit 07:18 Private Credit vs. Traditional Banking 12:13 The Growth of Private Equity 18:53 Current Challenges in Private Markets 29:18 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

    35 min

  4. OCT 30

    Thursday - October 30, 2025

    Market Recap: Market Decline and In-Depth Analysis of Financial Trends In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel provides a market recap for October 30th, detailing a downturn with the Dow closing down 109 points, the S&P down 1%, and the Nasdaq down 1.5%. Key factors include interest rate increases post-Fed meeting and disappointing earnings from some social media companies. Brian discusses benchmarks for investment performance, advocating for goal-based evaluation over market comparison. He also covers the midstream energy sector, emphasizing a strategic approach using active ETFs to optimize returns and tax efficiency. Additionally, Brian touches on a temporary trade truce between the US and China, projecting long-term benefits for both economies through gradual decoupling. The episode concludes with a brief on market headwinds due to earnings reports and rising interest rates. 00:00 Introduction and Market Recap 00:30 Interest Rates and Fed Policy 01:26 Choosing the Right Benchmark 03:20 Midstream Energy Investments 05:20 US-China Trade Agreement 06:42 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

    9 min

  5. OCT 29

    Wednesday - October 29, 2025

    Market Reactions to Fed Announcement & The Rise of 401(k) Plans In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel discusses the market's reaction to the Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut and the end of the quantitative tightening program. Despite an initial market gain, comments from Fed Chair Powell about a December rate cut not being guaranteed led to a sell-off. Szytel provides insights into the likelihood of future rate cuts and the current state of economic data amid a government shutdown. Additionally, Sitel addresses a viewer question about the relationship between the rise of 401(k) plans and the popularity of index funds, explaining that while they are related, the primary reason for the shift from pension plans to 401(k) plans is corporate governance. The episode closes with an overview of the day's market volatility and encourages listeners to continue submitting questions. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:11 Fed's Interest Rate Cut and Market Reaction 02:04 Economic Data and Fed's Decision Details 02:52 The Rise of 401(k) Plans and Index Funds 05:07 Conclusion and Upcoming Updates Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

    7 min

  6. OCT 28

    Tuesday - October 28, 2025

    Market Recap and Key Economic Catalysts – October 28th In this episode of Dividend Cafe, host Brian Szytel provides a market recap, noting positive performance with the Dow closing up 161 points, S&P up by a quarter percent, and Nasdaq up eight-tenths of a percent. Key drivers include the US-China trade deal, expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut by the FOMC, potential end to quantitative tightening, a government shutdown, and strong earnings reports. Brian also addresses an 'Ask TBG' question about investment decision mistakes, emphasizing continuous learning and client goal achievement. Finally, he highlights economic indicators like improved consumer confidence, Richmond Fed Index, and better-than-expected Case-Shiller home price index. 00:00 Introduction and Market Recap 00:40 Key Market Drivers 01:06 US-China Trade Deal Insights 01:34 Federal Reserve and Economic Indicators 02:33 Government Shutdown Impact 03:12 Earnings Season Highlights 03:51 Stimulus and Tax Package Effects 04:50 Investment Committee Reflections 06:28 Economic Calendar Updates 07:12 Conclusion and Listener Engagement Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

    9 min

  7. OCT 27

    Monday - October 27, 2025

    Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/49mduQP Dividend Cafe: Market Recap and Economic Insights - Monday Edition In the Monday edition of Dividend Cafe, host David Bahnsen provides a thorough market recap from their Newport Beach studio. He highlights key market movements, with the DOW closing up 337 points, the S&P rising by 1.25%, and the NASDAQ up 1.75%. Boson also discusses the potential China trade deal and its impacts on the market, as well as the recent CPI report showing inflation metrics. Additionally, he touches on public policy developments concerning tariffs with Canada and Mexico and explores the implications of growing U.S. stock market capitalization. The episode wraps up with insights into housing market trends, mortgage rates, and Federal Reserve actions expected later in the week. 00:00 Welcome to Dividend Cafe Monday Edition 00:51 Market Recap: A Positive Day on Wall Street 02:20 Economic Insights: CPI Report Analysis 04:20 Public Policy and Trade Updates 04:57 US Stock Market Growth 06:25 Housing and Mortgage Market Trends 08:27 Federal Reserve and Oil Market Update 08:55 Against Doomsday: Positive Economic Indicators 09:54 Upcoming Events and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

    12 min

  8. OCT 24

    These Are Not Your Parents' Index Funds!

    Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/47Ly2Ab Understanding Index Funds and Their Evolution: A Comprehensive Analysis In this episode of the Friday Dividend Cafe, David Bahnsen, Chief Investment Officer of The Bahnsen Group, delves into the topic of index funds and their evolution over the years. He discusses the impact of index funds on the investment landscape, comparing their performance and risk profile to other investment approaches like dividend growth investing. David examines the significant growth in index fund ownership, changes in the composition of the S&P 500, and the implications of market capitalization-weighted indices. He also addresses common concerns, such as market liquidity, valuation risks, and the role of financial advisors in tailoring portfolios to individual needs. The discussion is aimed at providing a deeper understanding of the current dynamics in indexing and its relevance to both investors and financial advisors. 00:00 Introduction to Dividend Cafe 00:17 The Evolution of Indexing 00:59 Indexing vs. Dividend Growth Investing 03:39 Understanding Market Beta 07:27 The Role of Advisors and Fees 13:06 The Growth of S&P 500 Index Funds 22:35 Systemic Risks and Market Dynamics 31:13 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

    36 min
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4.9
out of 5
556 Ratings

About

The Dividend Cafe is your portal for market perspective that is virtually conflict-free, rooted in deep philosophical commitments about how capital should be managed, and understandable for all sorts of investors. Host David L. Bahnsen is a frequent guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Fox Business. He is the author of the books, Crisis of Responsibility: Our Cultural Addiction to Blame and How You Can Cure It (Post Hill Press), The Case for Dividend Growth: Investing in a Post-Crisis World (Post Hill Press), and Full-Time: Work and the Meaning of Life (Post Hill Press).

Information

  • Creator
    The Bahnsen Group
  • Years Active
    2016 - 2025
  • Episodes
    1.2K
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © All rights reserved @2024
  • Show Website
    The Dividend Cafe

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