The Real Investment Show Podcast Lance Roberts

(6/2/23) The Senate has passed the Debt Ceiling Bill, passing the buck for another two years. Employment numbers due today will impact the Fed's next decision on rates. Why your steak/BBQ beef is so expensive; Yield Curve dynamics; On-line banks vs brick & mortar facilities; Why the Yield Curve matters, and CD strategies to take advantage of. Financial Tips for college grads: Roth IRA's & savings strategies; Rent, Cars, & Salary + Benefits. SEG-1: Debt Ceiling, Employment, & Fed Plans SEG-2: Why is Your Steak so Expensive? SEG-3: Why the Yield Curve Matters SEG-4: Good Financial Advice for College Grads Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senrio Fianncial Advisor, Jon Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel:   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ng1FWTqOp_Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "The May Employment Report May Move Markets" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZyByuuLtlI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 --------  Our previous show is here: "Why the Debt Ceiling Bill Won't Matter" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KaDnzCk_Hw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Breaking Your Money Malaise this Summer:" https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747842950/WN_ht5MHKFTSX2kRo0__-DtLw ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Technical Review Of The Market: Bulls In Control" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technical-review-of-the-market-bulls-in-control/ "CBDC- Navigating Pros and Cons to Ease Apprehensions" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cbdc-navigating-pros-and-cons-to-ease-apprehensions ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #DebtCeiling #Inflation #Steak #BeefPrices #YieldCurve #CDs #CollegeGrads #FinancialLiteracy #Markets #Money #Investing

(6/1/23) Setting up for June; the key point of the Debt Ceiling Bill: Unlimited Government Spending until 2025 (after the elections). What the Treasury must do next: Issue more debt. Watch for reverse in liquidity, rates to rise, and a drag on markets. We're moving into the "weaker" months of Summer, with a relaxation of the rally. "Taking profits" doesn't mean selling everything. Market anticipation ahead of Debt Ceiling Bill and sloppy T-bill auctions as liquidity leaves the markets. FOME Meeting preview: Hike or Pause? The Fed's conundrum: Sticky inflation & strong employment. Investors must be prepared to "call an audible." Tightening bank lending standards are defacto rate increases. The true impact of the lag effect is unknown. The Family Feud Murder conviction; market behavior: low bullish sentiment in rally, climbing a "wall of worry," but not worried about the Debt Ceiling. Market sector divergence; watch for rotations. SEG-1: The Key to Debt Ceiling Bill: Unlimited Gov't. Spending SEG-2: The Next Step for Debt Ceiling Bill SEG-3: FOMC Preview: Hike or Pause? SEG-4: How Bullish Markets Climb a "Wall of Worry" Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel:   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=at5qCh1fkp0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "The May Employment Report May Move Markets" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZyByuuLtlI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 --------  Our previous show is here: "Why the Debt Ceiling Bill Won't Matter" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KaDnzCk_Hw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Breaking Your Money Malaise this Summer:" https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747842950/WN_ht5MHKFTSX2kRo0__-DtLw ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Technical Review Of The Market: Bulls In Control" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technical-review-of-the-market-bulls-in-control/ "CBDC- Navigating Pros and Cons to Ease Apprehensions" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cbdc-navigating-pros-and-cons-to-ease-apprehensions ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #DebtCeiling #Inflation #BullMarket #BondTraders #StudentLoanDebt #Markets #Money #Investing

(6/1/23) The Employment Report has had an amazing string of "beats" by a large margin, and for a protracted period of time, so tomorrow's employment numbers for May could have significant impact on the Fed's forward plans and the markets' mood. The anomaly has been how employment has remained strong despite Fed efforts to tame the economy. There IS slowing on the Manufacturing side of the economy, but not so in the Services sector, which comprises 80% of the economy, and represents the lower-end of wage earners. Yesterday's JOLTS report was strong, suggesting tomorrow's Labor Dept. report will also exceed expectations, confounding the Fed's efforts to bring down inflation by slowing the economy. "Sticky" Inflation remains higher than the Fed would prefer, and is not on a trajectory to weaken anytime soon. Fed futures are betting on more rate hikes in coming months. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton --------  Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DZyByuuLtlI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #EmploymentReport #JOLTS #LaborDepartment #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Money #Investing 

(5/31/23) The Debt Ceiling bill advances to the House, which the CBO deems will cut spending $1.3-B over 10-years (the CBO is never correct). Markets need to take a break; pullback to 50-DMA likely. Sector rotations coming; time to take profits. Corporate earnings are showing improvement, but where do earnings come from? Sales. Why is the economy doing better than expected; what happens when student loan payments return? Fed futures expecting rates up to 5.3%; bond traders disagree. The Debt Ceiling Bill isn't a debt deal: will NOT cut spending. Current debt service requires more revenue than is being received. The impolitic reality of spending cuts: McCarthy only dealing with 15% of budget. Higher debt means slower economic growth. 2% growth required for "escape velocity." SEG-1: Markets Need to Take a Break; Sector Rotation Coming SEG-2: Why is the Economy More Buoyant than Expected? SEG-3: Why Wall St. Analysts are More Bullish (and bond traders are not) SEG-4: Why the Debt Ceiling Bill Won't Really Matter Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel:   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KaDnzCk_Hw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "The NASDAQ Gap is Unsustainable" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TPcVQAwvP8A&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 --------  Our previous show is here: "Markets Continue to Defy the Bears" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=io9y3reKWDM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Breaking Your Money Malaise this Summer:" https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747842950/WN_ht5MHKFTSX2kRo0__-DtLw ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Technical Review Of The Market: Bulls In Control" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technical-review-of-the-market-bulls-in-control/ "CBDC- Navigating Pros and Cons to Ease Apprehensions" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cbdc-navigating-pros-and-cons-to-ease-apprehensions ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #DebtCeiling #Inflation #BullMarket #BondTraders #StudentLoanDebt #Markets #Money #Investing

(5/31/23) NVDIA and the AI Revolution have boosted NASDAQ stocks more than three standard deviations over the 50-DMA. Markets are now overbought in this bull market, corrections will occur back to the 50- and 100-DMA, which means, if you're heavily invested in Technology stocks, it might be a good time to take some profits off the table; when the pullback occurs will be the time to add positions back in. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton --------  Article mentioned in this video: "Technical Review Of The Market: Bulls In Control" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technical-review-of-the-market-bulls-in-control/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our new "Before the Bell" YouTube channel:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TPcVQAwvP8A&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #NASDAQ #ArtificialIntelligence #AI #NVIDIA #BullMarket #Money #Investing 

(5/30/23) Markets begin the holiday-shortened week on an upbeat note, thanks to an impending Debt Ceiling deal; markets are challenging the Jan '22 Lows. Friday's PCE Report revealed Inflation remaining sticky, which the Fed will have to address. The Debt Ceiling deal is not a "done-deal" yet; if passed as-is, spending will actually increase in 2024. Next Debt Ceiling discussion will be pushed out to 2025, beyond the next election. The risk of market price increases exists as debt ceiling talks continues; Congress uses fuzzy math. What the Fed may do about more inflation; prices are not getting cheaper; increased consumer sending expected to continue, foiling the Fed's plans. Rate hikes aren't working, and markets are beginning to price-in another rate increase at the June 16 Fed meeting. Consumer sentiment indicates also an expectation for higher prices to continue. There's a "new" flu. How markets are defying the bears. SEG-1: PCE Report: Inflation Remains Sticky - more rate hikes in store? SEG-2: The Debt Ceiling Deal - Not Done Yet SEG-3: What the Fed May Do About More Inflation SEG-4: Markets Continue to Defy the Bears Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel:   https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=io9y3reKWDM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell | "Is It Too Late to Get Into AI Trades?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9uN009ZF1WM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 --------  Our previous show is here: "The Big Bust for Small Investors" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ahLlS_JOsHg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: "Breaking Your Money Malaise this Summer:" https://us06web.zoom.us/webinar/register/1116747842950/WN_ht5MHKFTSX2kRo0__-DtLw ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Technical Review Of The Market: Bulls In Control" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/technical-review-of-the-market-bulls-in-control/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #DebtCeiling #Default #Inflation #PCE #Markets #Money #Investing