40 min
VIX Index Goes Nowhere | Cheap Puts to Hedge? |Cheaper to Rent Than Buy? | Markets During Presidential Election Years Broken Pie Chart
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- Investing
Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli join up to discuss an unchanged VIX and VVIX index. Was our trading platform screen broken? Whether the VIX and VVIX Index is a coiled spring as they are both in compression mode of late. Then, they explore new data that shows the cost to buy a home vs rent is really high meaning its very costly to buy vs rent right now. Did the Fed cause this? Jay and Derek also explore how cheap 1 year out puts are on the S&P 500 Index right now. Does no one want protection? Finally, they dip their toes into the all to soon 2024 presidential election looking at data around how markets do during election years. Does it even matter if it’s a Republican or Democrat?
The VIX Index and the VVIX Index both closed unchanged on Wednesday this week
Both VIX and VVIX are showing signs of compression in their standard deviations of late
What smaller ranges over a period mean for the VIX and markets with regard to expected moves
Not since the pre-Great Financial crisis has buying a home been more expensive than renting
How now one ever compares the interest paid in a mortgage payment to rental payments
Did the Federal Reserve cause rent inflation by freezing the housing market creating demand?
The 1-year out at-the-money-puts are a cheap hedge right now, does anyone want hedged?
How everyone wants to be hedged when markets are crashing but not when its cheap
Why buying but hedging makes sense for the long haul.
How do markets do in the 4th year of a presidential cycle election year?
Market returns during presidential elections when democrats vs republicans get elected
Mentioned in this Episode:
Dave Ramsey Wrong? | Huge VIX Options Bets | S&P 500 Seasonality | When Does Government Debt Become a Problem? https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dave-ramsey-wrong-huge-vix-options-bets-s-p-500-seasonality/id1432836154?i=1000636559171
Total compounded annualized growth rate S&P 500 index by decade https://zegafinancial.com/blog/where-did-the-2010s-rank-for-total-return-on-sandp-500-index
Probability of Recession? | Explaining How US Treasury Bond Auctions Work | S&P 500 Index Member Changes | Option Premium Intrinsic vs. Extrinsic https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/probability-of-recession-explaining-how-us-treasury/id1432836154?i=1000635380296
Stock Market Returns after First Rate Cut https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/stock-market-returns-after-first-rate-cut-yield-curve/id1432836154?i=1000634550774
Option Selling ETFs Boom | Probability of Future Fed Moves | Bad News is Good News on Employment https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/option-selling-etfs-boom-probability-of-future-fed/id1432836154?i=1000633983056
0DTE Options Analysis| Inflation Coming Back? | Strong US Dollar Impact https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/0dte-options-analysis-inflation-coming-back-strong/id1432836154?i=1000628157831
Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt
Derek’s new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag
Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=broken+pie+chart&qid=1558722226&s=books&sr=1-1-catcorr
Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com
www.zegafinancial.com
Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli join up to discuss an unchanged VIX and VVIX index. Was our trading platform screen broken? Whether the VIX and VVIX Index is a coiled spring as they are both in compression mode of late. Then, they explore new data that shows the cost to buy a home vs rent is really high meaning its very costly to buy vs rent right now. Did the Fed cause this? Jay and Derek also explore how cheap 1 year out puts are on the S&P 500 Index right now. Does no one want protection? Finally, they dip their toes into the all to soon 2024 presidential election looking at data around how markets do during election years. Does it even matter if it’s a Republican or Democrat?
The VIX Index and the VVIX Index both closed unchanged on Wednesday this week
Both VIX and VVIX are showing signs of compression in their standard deviations of late
What smaller ranges over a period mean for the VIX and markets with regard to expected moves
Not since the pre-Great Financial crisis has buying a home been more expensive than renting
How now one ever compares the interest paid in a mortgage payment to rental payments
Did the Federal Reserve cause rent inflation by freezing the housing market creating demand?
The 1-year out at-the-money-puts are a cheap hedge right now, does anyone want hedged?
How everyone wants to be hedged when markets are crashing but not when its cheap
Why buying but hedging makes sense for the long haul.
How do markets do in the 4th year of a presidential cycle election year?
Market returns during presidential elections when democrats vs republicans get elected
Mentioned in this Episode:
Dave Ramsey Wrong? | Huge VIX Options Bets | S&P 500 Seasonality | When Does Government Debt Become a Problem? https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dave-ramsey-wrong-huge-vix-options-bets-s-p-500-seasonality/id1432836154?i=1000636559171
Total compounded annualized growth rate S&P 500 index by decade https://zegafinancial.com/blog/where-did-the-2010s-rank-for-total-return-on-sandp-500-index
Probability of Recession? | Explaining How US Treasury Bond Auctions Work | S&P 500 Index Member Changes | Option Premium Intrinsic vs. Extrinsic https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/probability-of-recession-explaining-how-us-treasury/id1432836154?i=1000635380296
Stock Market Returns after First Rate Cut https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/stock-market-returns-after-first-rate-cut-yield-curve/id1432836154?i=1000634550774
Option Selling ETFs Boom | Probability of Future Fed Moves | Bad News is Good News on Employment https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/option-selling-etfs-boom-probability-of-future-fed/id1432836154?i=1000633983056
0DTE Options Analysis| Inflation Coming Back? | Strong US Dollar Impact https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/0dte-options-analysis-inflation-coming-back-strong/id1432836154?i=1000628157831
Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt
Derek’s new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag
Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=broken+pie+chart&qid=1558722226&s=books&sr=1-1-catcorr
Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com
www.zegafinancial.com
40 min