1,083 episodes
Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast Mr. Action Junkie
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- Sport
This show delivers FREE daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days.
Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:
2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets
2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals
2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners
2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders
2023 College Football - Kota Capper College Football Central Lock, Underdog, and Unit Champ
2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets
2024 NCAA College Basketball - 54%, up 22.18 units (up 58 units total w/blog plays)
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together.
Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor. I flat bet risking 1 unit vs. winning 1 unit.
Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms.
Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it.
Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams.
Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.
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That's a winner! NHL Game 4 Bet, US Open RD3 Bets, College Baseball Bet, WNBA Bet, MLB Baseball 3 Bets (NRFI, First 5 Run Line, ML), NBA Game 5 Bet, UFL Championship Bet plus 6 Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Saturday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Edmonton ML -118 vs. Florida
Tony Finau +155 over Rory McIlroy
Sergio Garcia +125 over Russell Henley
Texas A&M ML -160 over Florida
Las Vegas -2.5 vs. New York
NRFI: Rangers/Mariners (-128)
F5 Run Line: Baltimore -0.5 vs. Philadelphia (-140)
ML: San Francisco ML -144 vs. LA Angels
Dallas +7 at Boston
Birmingham -3.5 vs. San Antonio
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
UFL: 7-5 (58.3%), up 1.3637 units
College Baseball: 8-6 (57.1%), up 0.9963 units
PGA Golf: 22-27 (44.9%), down 2.2182 units
WNBA: 21-20 (51.2%), down 0.9089 units
NBA Playoffs: 40-36 (52.6%), up 0.2731 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
NHL Playoffs: 12-16 (42.8%), down 5.16151 units
MLB Baseball: 183-166 (52.4%), down 4.2101 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 21-14, 60.0%, up 6.1565 units
Other: 6-9, 40.0%, down 3.40 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
Good: 5-1 day in MLB. Bad: 1-5 on everything else. NBA Game 4 Bet, WNBA Bet, College Baseball Total, 4 US Open RD 2 Bets, 6 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 4, First 5 Team Total, and ML) for Friday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Dallas -1 vs. Boston
Chicago -2 at Washington
Florida State/Tennessee Over 10.5
Viktor Hovland +195 over Scottie Scheffler
Phil Mickelson -115 over Tiger Woods
Justin Thomas -110 over Matt Fitzpatrick
Hideki Matsuyama -130 over Max Homa
NRFI - Phillies/Orioles (-120)
NRFI - Royals/Dodgers (-104)
NRFI - Rangers/Mariners (-138)
NRFI - Padres/Mets (-115)
First 5 Team Total - Houston Under 1.5 (-105)
ML - Arizona -184 vs. Chicago White Sox
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
UFL: 7-5 (58.3%), up 1.3637 units
College Baseball: 7-6 (53.8%), up 0.0872 units
PGA Golf: 20-25 (44.4%), down 2.9374 units
WNBA: 21-19 (52.5%), up 0.0911 units
NBA Playoffs: 39-36 (52.0%), down 0.636 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
NHL Playoffs: 12-16 (42.8%), down 5.16151 units
MLB Baseball: 179-164 (52.2%), down 5.5371 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 21-14, 60.0%, up 6.1565 units
Other: 6-9, 40.0%, down 3.40 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
That's a winner! NHL Game 3 Bet, 2 WNBA Bets, 3 US Open RD1 Matchup Bets, 6 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 4, First 5 ML, ML) plus 8 Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Thursday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Edmonton ML -135 vs. Florida
Indiana +3.5 vs. Atlanta
Dallas +7.5 vs. Seattle
Phil Mickelson -110 over Tiger Woods
Justin Thomas -120 over Matt Fitzpatrick
Hideki Matsuyama -125 over Max Homa
NRFI - Braves/Orioles (-105)
NRFI - White Sox/Mariners (-165)
NRFI - Cubs/Rays (-120)
NRFI - Phillies/Red Sox (-113)
First 5 ML - Twins over Athletics (-170)
ML - Diamondbacks over Angels (-180)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
UFL: 7-5 (58.3%), up 1.3637 units
College Baseball: 7-6 (53.8%), up 0.0872 units
PGA Golf: 20-22 (47.6%), up 0.0626 units
WNBA: 20-18 (52.6%), up 0.182 units
NBA Playoffs: 39-36 (52.0%), down 0.636 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
NHL Playoffs: 12-15 (44.4%), down 4.16151 units
MLB Baseball: 174-163 (51.6%), down 8.0053 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 21-14, 60.0%, up 6.1565 units
Other: 6-9, 40.0%, down 3.40 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
That's a winner! Action will NOT bet another Yankee NRFI until July. @KotaCapperKyle hosts with 6 Bets (NBA Total, WNBA Bet, MLB Baseball NRFI x 3, plus a Run Line) for Wednesday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
@KotaCapperKyle's Card:
Celtics/Mavericks Under 212.5
Sun -7.5 at Sky
NRFI - Blue Jays/Brewers (-115)
NRFI - Athletics/Padres (-135)
NRFI - Guardians/Reds (-115)
Run Line: Twins -1.5 vs. Rockies (-112)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
UFL: 7-5 (58.3%), up 1.3637 units
College Baseball: 7-6 (53.8%), up 0.0872 units
PGA Golf: 20-22 (47.6%), up 0.0626 units
WNBA: 20-18 (52.6%), up 0.182 units
NBA Playoffs: 39-36 (52.0%), down 0.636 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
NHL Playoffs: 12-15 (44.4%), down 4.16151 units
MLB Baseball: 174-163 (51.6%), down 8.0053 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 19-12, 61.2%, up 6.5229 units
Other: 4-9, 30.8%, down 5.40 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
That's a winner! 2 WNBA Bets, 9 MLB Baseball Bets (ML, First 5 Run Line, NRFI x 7) plus 7 Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Tuesday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Seattle -11 vs. LA
Las Vegas -6 vs. Minnesota
NRFI - Braves/Orioles (-128)
NRFI - Marlins/Mets (-130)
NRFI - Pirates/Cardinals (-138)
NRFI - Yankees/Royals (+110)
NRFI - Astros/Giants (-128)
NRFI - White Sox/Mariners (-138)
NRFI - Cubs/Rays (-125)
First 5 Run Line: Oakland +0.5 at San Diego (-120)
Arizona ML -175 vs. LA Angels
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
UFL: 7-5 (58.3%), up 1.3637 units
College Baseball: 7-6 (53.8%), up 0.0872 units
PGA Golf: 20-22 (47.6%), up 0.0626 units
WNBA: 19-17 (52.7%), up 0.2729 units
NBA Playoffs: 39-36 (52.0%), down 0.636 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
NHL Playoffs: 12-15 (44.4%), down 4.16151 units
MLB Baseball: 167-161 (50.9%), down 11.1577 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 19-12, 61.2%, up 6.5229 units
Other: 4-9, 30.8%, down 5.40 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
New day, new week, let's go. NHL Game 2 Bet, WNBA Bet, 5 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 4, Run Line) plus 7 Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Monday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Edmonton ML at Florida (+114)
Connecticut -11.5 vs. Indiana
NRFI - Orioles/Rays (-130)
NRFI - White Sox/Mariners (-158)
NRFI - Blue Jays/Brewers (-122)
NRFI - Yankees/Royals (-125)
San Diego -1.5 vs. Oakland (+105)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
UFL: 7-5 (58.3%), up 1.3637 units
College Baseball: 7-6 (53.8%), up 0.0872 units
PGA Golf: 20-22 (47.6%), up 0.0626 units
WNBA: 18-17 (51.4%), down 1.3111 units
NBA Playoffs: 39-36 (52.0%), down 0.636 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
NHL Playoffs: 12-14 (46.2%), down 3.16151 units
MLB Baseball: 164-159 (50.8%), down 11.6603 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 19-12, 61.2%, up 6.5229 units
Other: 4-9, 30.8%, down 5.40 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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