One Rental At A Time Michael Zuber

In this episode, we explore the latest housing market forecasts from Zillow and Redfin, with Zillow's forecast being 20% worse than Redfin's. We also discuss Neel Kashkari's comments on potential rate cuts and their implications for the housing market. Additionally, I share insights from Russell Brunson’s thought-provoking question about personal and professional success over the next three years. We touch on key economic indicators and highlight upcoming events in the One Rental at a Time community.

[00:00:00] - Introduction and East Coast Experience


Sharing my experience on the East Coast and the early start to the day.

[00:00:20] - Fed’s Potential Rate Cuts and Economic Outlook


Neel Kashkari’s comments on possible rate cuts in December and the importance of upcoming unemployment claims data.

[00:02:00] - Zillow vs. Redfin Housing Forecasts


Analyzing Zillow’s forecast, which predicts a 1.2% decline in home prices, 20% worse than Redfin’s 1% decline prediction.

[00:04:26] - Impact of Mortgage Rates and Fed Policy


Discussing the potential effects of mortgage rate changes and Fed policies on the housing market.

[00:05:14] - Thought-Provoking Quote from Russell Brunson


Reflecting on Russell Brunson’s question about what needs to happen personally and professionally in three years to feel happy with your progress.

[00:07:02] - Historical Home Return Analysis


Reviewing Reggie Club’s analysis on the average five-year return on US homes since 1975 and the amplified returns with leverage.

[00:08:05] - Housing as a Key Election Issue


Considering the impact of housing affordability on the upcoming elections and whether millennials and Gen Z will turn out to vote.

[00:09:32] - Empire State Manufacturing Survey


Examining the latest data from the New York Fed’s Empire State Manufacturing Survey and its implications for the economy.

[00:10:28] - Community Updates: Sessions with Dion and Lumberjack Landlord


Announcing upcoming sessions with Dion and the Lumberjack Landlord in the One Rental at a Time school community.

[00:11:56] - Call for Accountability Group Leaders


Encouraging school members to start accountability groups and network within the community.


One Rental at a Time Community - Join the community for support, networking, and access to expert sessions.
Contact Information for Dion and Lumberjack Landlord - Available within the One Rental at a Time school community.

If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, share, and review the podcast. Your support helps us bring more insightful content to you every week. Reflect on what you need to achieve personally and professionally in the next three years and take action today. Join the One Rental at a Time community to connect with like-minded individuals and stay motivated. Have an amazing day!



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📣 Audible Version Here https://amzn.to/3jtLDTQ
OR
🏆 Buy 15 Conversations with Real Estate Millionaires https://amzn.to/3JwEsVm

Dion from Dion Talk is Narrator!!!
NOW ON AUDIBLE https://www.audible.com/pd/B0BDPSZW3Y/?source_code=AUDFPWS0223189MWT-BK-ACX0-322007&ref=acx_bty_BK_ACX0_322007_rh_us

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📬 (MUST JOIN!) PRIVATE Facebook Group: One Rental at a Time Works
This is a VERY private group that is only available to my students of "How to Get Started One Rental at a Time" In the group, you will be around hundreds of other students all doing the work. Please introduce yourself when you join!
JOIN HERE: https://bit.ly/3tEQhRm

TEACHABLE COURSES: Join the THOUSANDS of students changing their financial future with DAILY execution!
💎 How to Get Started One Rental at a Time:
This course is changing lives! Investors focus and do the daily work required to learn their market and only do GOOD Deals.
JOIN HERE: https://bit.ly/3uDrkHq

💸 Get

In this episode, we dive into the current state of the housing market, emphasizing the importance of writing aggressive offers and understanding market dynamics like days on market and price reductions. We discuss notable examples, such as Derek Jeter's significant price cut on his luxury home, to illustrate the opportunities available in the market. Additionally, I share insights on global economic trends, millionaire migration patterns, and offer personal reflections on what would make the next three years successful both personally and professionally.

[00:00:00] - Importance of Aggressive Offers in the Housing Market


Emphasizing the need to write aggressive offers and understand key market indicators like inventory and days on market.

[00:01:20] - Example of a Disrespectful Offer: Derek Jeter’s Home Sale


Discussing Derek Jeter’s sale of his property at a 50% discount, highlighting the importance of identifying motivated sellers.

[00:02:30] - Benefits of a Slowing Market


Explaining why a slowing housing market can be advantageous for both real estate investors and home buyers.

[00:04:17] - Community Updates: Sessions with Dion and Lumberjack Landlord


Announcing upcoming sessions with Dion and the Lumberjack Landlord in the One Rental at a Time school community.

[00:06:04] - UK Inflation and Potential Rate Cuts


Analyzing recent inflation data from the UK and discussing the possibility of upcoming rate cuts.

[00:07:26] - Millionaire Migration Trends


Highlighting the Henley Private Wealth report on where millionaires are moving and which countries are losing high net worth individuals.

[00:08:54] - Claudia Sahm’s Warning to the Fed


Sharing Claudia Sahm’s caution about the Fed’s risk in not gradually cutting rates.

[00:09:33] - Juneteenth and Market Closures


Recognizing Juneteenth and noting the closures of major markets and institutions in observance of the holiday.

[00:09:54] - Home Price Reductions in Key Cities


Reporting on recent home price reductions in San Antonio, Austin, and Tampa, and the role of increasing inventory.

[00:10:36] - AvalonBay’s Low Move-Out Rates


Discussing AvalonBay’s report of record low move-out rates among renters due to high unaffordability of buying homes.

[00:11:01] - Personal and Professional Success in Three Years


Reflecting on what would make the next three years successful for me both personally and professionally, including growing the school community and continuing to provide valuable content.


One Rental at a Time Community - Join the community for support, networking, and access to expert sessions.
Contact Information for Dion and Lumberjack Landlord - Available within the One Rental at a Time school community.

If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, share, and review the podcast. Your support helps us bring more insightful content to you every week. Join the One Rental at a Time community to connect with like-minded individuals and take consistent action towards your real estate goals. Have an amazing day and keep pushing forward!





📖 BUY One Rental at a Time https://amzn.to/3jt3JFx
📣 Audible Version Here https://amzn.to/3jtLDTQ
OR
🏆 Buy 15 Conversations with Real Estate Millionaires https://amzn.to/3JwEsVm

Dion from Dion Talk is Narrator!!!
NOW ON AUDIBLE https://www.audible.com/pd/B0BDPSZW3Y/?source_code=AUDFPWS0223189MWT-BK-ACX0-322007&ref=acx_bty_BK_ACX0_322007_rh_us

📸 INSTAGRAM: Please follow. Daily original content! https://www.instagram.com/onerentalatatime/

📬 (MUST JOIN!) PRIVATE Facebook Group: One Rental at a Time Works
This is a VERY private group that is only available to my students of "How to Get Started One Rental at a Time" In the group, you will be around hundreds of other students all doing the work. Please introduce yourself when you join!
JOIN HERE: https://bit.ly/3tEQhRm

TEACHABLE COURSES: Join the THOUSANDS of students changing their financial f

In this episode, we delve into the accelerating housing market crash, examining the latest data on transactions, inventory, and price trends. I share insights from Altus Research and discuss the impact of high interest rates on the market. We also cover the myth of Wall Street's dominance in the housing market and highlight the importance of homebuilders stepping up to build affordable homes. Finally, I address some frustrations with certain online channels spreading fear and misinformation, and emphasize the importance of personal responsibility in building wealth.

[00:00:00] - Introduction and Housing Market Update


Introduction to the episode and a quick overview of the accelerating housing market crash.

[00:01:04] - Detailed Analysis of May Housing Data


Breakdown of May’s housing transactions data, highlighting it as the third worst month on record.

[00:02:30] - Week-on-Week Housing Data Insights


Weekly update from Altus Research showing increasing inventory and price reductions.

[00:03:41] - Myth of Wall Street Dominance in Housing


Debunking the myth that Wall Street owns 40% of rental homes, with specific data from Las Vegas.

[00:05:27] - Federal Reserve Insights and Homebuilder Role


Discussion on Fed President Patrick Harker’s views on interest rates and the need for homebuilders to focus on affordable homes.

[00:06:25] - Predictions on Stock Market and Economy


Predictions on the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average, including a potential crash-up scenario.

[00:07:54] - Average vs. Median Net Worth


Analysis of the recent data showing the average US household net worth crossing $1 million and the disparity with the median net worth.

[00:09:55] - Importance of Owning Assets


Emphasizing the importance of owning assets and the superpower of having fixed-rate debt.

[00:11:50] - Community Updates and Events


Announcing upcoming sessions with Dion from Dion Talk and Matt, the Lumberjack Landlord, in the One Rental at a Time school community.

[00:13:27] - Retail Sales Data and Economic Trends


Examination of the latest retail sales data and its implications for the economy and Federal Reserve policy.

[00:14:52] - Rant on Doom and Gloom Channels


Expressing frustration with online channels that spread fear and misinformation, and encouraging listeners to focus on personal responsibility and wealth-building.


Altus Research - Weekly housing market data and insights.
One Rental at a Time Community - Join the community for support, networking, and access to expert sessions.
Dion Talk on Think Media - Interview with Dion from Dion Talk about self-management strategies.

If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, share, and review the podcast. Your support helps us bring more insightful content to you every week. Remember to take personal responsibility for your financial journey and join the One Rental at a Time community to connect with like-minded individuals. Have an amazing day and keep pushing forward!





📖 BUY One Rental at a Time https://amzn.to/3jt3JFx
📣 Audible Version Here https://amzn.to/3jtLDTQ
OR
🏆 Buy 15 Conversations with Real Estate Millionaires https://amzn.to/3JwEsVm

Dion from Dion Talk is Narrator!!!
NOW ON AUDIBLE https://www.audible.com/pd/B0BDPSZW3Y/?source_code=AUDFPWS0223189MWT-BK-ACX0-322007&ref=acx_bty_BK_ACX0_322007_rh_us

📸 INSTAGRAM: Please follow. Daily original content! https://www.instagram.com/onerentalatatime/

📬 (MUST JOIN!) PRIVATE Facebook Group: One Rental at a Time Works
This is a VERY private group that is only available to my students of "How to Get Started One Rental at a Time" In the group, you will be around hundreds of other students all doing the work. Please introduce yourself when you join!
JOIN HERE: https://bit.ly/3tEQhRm

TEACHABLE COURSES: Join the THOUSANDS of students changing their financial future with DAILY execution!
💎 How to Get Started One Rental at a Time:
This

In this episode, I give a special shout-out to all the fathers on Father’s Day and dive into Tom Brady's inspiring Hall of Fame speech. Despite not being a Brady fan, I highlight the valuable life lessons he shared about hard work, consistency, and determination. We also look ahead to important economic data and Fed speeches expected next week, and discuss the current trends in the housing market, including slowing competition and rising inventory. Finally, I emphasize the importance of community and accountability in achieving real estate success.

[00:00:00] - Father’s Day Wishes and Tom Brady’s Speech


Starting with Father's Day greetings and diving into Tom Brady's motivating Hall of Fame speech.

[00:01:07] - Lessons from Tom Brady’s Speech


Highlighting the importance of hard work, consistency, and determination as key takeaways from Brady’s speech.

[00:02:29] - Economic Data and Fed Speeches


Upcoming economic data releases and Fed speeches that could impact the market, including inflation metrics and manufacturing data.

[00:03:41] - Retail Sales and Homebuilder Confidence


Discussing the significance of upcoming retail sales data and homebuilder confidence reports in understanding the market’s health.

[00:05:05] - Weekly Unemployment Claims and Housing Starts


Examining the importance of weekly unemployment claims and housing starts data in gauging economic conditions.

[00:06:18] - Housing Market Trends


Current trends in the housing market, including increased days on market and rising inventory, and what it means for investors.

[00:07:11] - Encouragement for New Investors


Congratulating a follower for making their first offer and encouraging others to take action and write offers.

[00:09:55] - Stock Splits and Rent Trends


Updates on recent stock splits and Ivy Zelman’s predictions on rent trends in multifamily and single-family homes.

[00:10:47] - Predictions on Fed Rate Cuts


My prediction on the Fed’s first rate cut in November and its potential impact on the market.

[00:12:31] - Joining the One Rental at a Time Community


Encouraging listeners to join the One Rental at a Time school community for support, networking, and accountability.


Tom Brady’s Hall of Fame Speech - A must-watch for inspiration and motivation.
One Rental at a Time Community - Join the community for support and networking.
Contact Information:

If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, share, and review the podcast. Your support helps us bring more insightful content to you every week. Join the One Rental at a Time community, stay informed, and take consistent action towards your real estate goals. Happy Father's Day to all the dads out there!





📖 BUY One Rental at a Time https://amzn.to/3jt3JFx
📣 Audible Version Here https://amzn.to/3jtLDTQ
OR
🏆 Buy 15 Conversations with Real Estate Millionaires https://amzn.to/3JwEsVm

Dion from Dion Talk is Narrator!!!
NOW ON AUDIBLE https://www.audible.com/pd/B0BDPSZW3Y/?source_code=AUDFPWS0223189MWT-BK-ACX0-322007&ref=acx_bty_BK_ACX0_322007_rh_us

📸 INSTAGRAM: Please follow. Daily original content! https://www.instagram.com/onerentalatatime/

📬 (MUST JOIN!) PRIVATE Facebook Group: One Rental at a Time Works
This is a VERY private group that is only available to my students of "How to Get Started One Rental at a Time" In the group, you will be around hundreds of other students all doing the work. Please introduce yourself when you join!
JOIN HERE: https://bit.ly/3tEQhRm

TEACHABLE COURSES: Join the THOUSANDS of students changing their financial future with DAILY execution!
💎 How to Get Started One Rental at a Time:
This course is changing lives! Investors focus and do the daily work required to learn their market and only do GOOD Deals.
JOIN HERE: https://bit.ly/3uDrkHq

💸 Get Money Right: This course is about making you the CFO of your money. It shows you how choices can keep you poor or s

In this episode, we explore the recent shifts in the housing market, focusing on increasing inventory, extended days on market, and what these changes mean for investors and home buyers. With insights from experienced real estate professionals, we discuss strategies to take advantage of the current market conditions, including making aggressive offers and leveraging opportunities for price reductions and closing cost credits. We'll also cover why managing your own insurance payments might be beneficial and share some practical tips for navigating these turbulent times.

[00:00:00] - Market Overview


Introduction to the current housing market conditions, including increased inventory and longer days on market.

[00:01:19] - Aggressive Market Strategies


Ty’s plan to return to MLS hunting with daily offers and leveraging days on market keywords for better deals.

[00:02:30] - Insights from Experienced Investors


Discussion on how experienced investors like Jody are adjusting their strategies to capitalize on the current market.

[00:03:41] - Market Specifics and Buyer Positioning


Matt highlights the importance of knowing your local market and how buyers can benefit from current trends.

[00:05:04] - Maximizing Builder Credits


Tips on how to negotiate and make the most out of credits offered by builders in new construction deals.

[00:06:14] - Insurance Payment Management


Elaine advises on why it might be better to manage your own insurance payments instead of relying on escrow.

[00:08:01] - Potential Insurance Issues


The risks of having your insurance payments managed by your mortgage escrow and how it can lead to unexpected costs.

[00:09:32] - Proactive Insurance Management


Real-life example of significant savings by managing insurance payments directly and keeping updated with policy changes.

[00:11:56] - Coordinated Efforts Between Agents and Lenders


The importance of seamless communication between real estate agents and mortgage lenders for strategic planning.

[00:13:46] - Future Market Predictions


Preparing for market slowdowns and setting up your buy box to be ready for when the market truly gets slow.


Great Mortgage Broker - For getting pre-approved and finding a great mortgage broker.
Contact Information:
One Rental at a Time Community - For more resources and community support.

If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, share, and review the podcast. Your support helps us bring more insightful content to you every week. Stay informed and proactive in these changing times, and see you in the next episode!





📖 BUY One Rental at a Time https://amzn.to/3jt3JFx
📣 Audible Version Here https://amzn.to/3jtLDTQ
OR
🏆 Buy 15 Conversations with Real Estate Millionaires https://amzn.to/3JwEsVm

Dion from Dion Talk is Narrator!!!
NOW ON AUDIBLE https://www.audible.com/pd/B0BDPSZW3Y/?source_code=AUDFPWS0223189MWT-BK-ACX0-322007&ref=acx_bty_BK_ACX0_322007_rh_us

📸 INSTAGRAM: Please follow. Daily original content! https://www.instagram.com/onerentalatatime/

📬 (MUST JOIN!) PRIVATE Facebook Group: One Rental at a Time Works
This is a VERY private group that is only available to my students of "How to Get Started One Rental at a Time" In the group, you will be around hundreds of other students all doing the work. Please introduce yourself when you join!
JOIN HERE: https://bit.ly/3tEQhRm

TEACHABLE COURSES: Join the THOUSANDS of students changing their financial future with DAILY execution!
💎 How to Get Started One Rental at a Time:
This course is changing lives! Investors focus and do the daily work required to learn their market and only do GOOD Deals.
JOIN HERE: https://bit.ly/3uDrkHq

💸 Get Money Right: This course is about making you the CFO of your money. It shows you how choices can keep you poor or set you free. It highlights your Financial Health Score and provides a monthly budget to help you track spending.
JOIN HERE: https://

In this episode, we dive into the bold prediction that the Dow Jones Industrial Average could reach 100,000 within the next nine years. I discuss the factors that could drive such a massive increase, including historical trends, current market conditions, and the impact of potential Federal Reserve actions. We'll also explore insights from Jeffrey Hirsch's work and consider the broader economic context that might influence this forecast. Tune in to find out if this prediction holds water and what it could mean for investors.

[00:00:00] - Introduction and Max Payne Video Mention


Welcoming listeners and a brief mention of the Max Payne video related to Friday's options expiration.

[00:01:23] - Breakpoint Trading and Index Trend Model


Introduction to the new index trend model on my website showing trends for the S&P, Nasdaq, and more, including Bitcoin.

[00:02:30] - Dow 100,000 Article Overview


Discussion of the article predicting the Dow reaching 100,000 and the initial skepticism.

[00:03:41] - Interest Rates and Market Growth


Explanation of how interest rates and growth could push the Dow to 100,000, with a focus on historical growth rates.

[00:05:27] - Jeffrey Hirsch's Super Boom Prediction


Insights from Jeffrey Hirsch’s book predicting a 15-year super boom starting from 2011 and its accuracy so far.

[00:07:10] - Dow's Evolution Over Decades


How the Dow continuously evolves by replacing underperforming companies with new leaders, ensuring its growth trajectory.

[00:09:00] - Historical Market Performance Analysis


Detailed analysis of the Dow’s performance since 2011 and the potential for reaching 100,000 based on past trends.

[00:11:04] - Secular Bull and Bear Markets


Explanation of secular bull and bear markets and their potential impact on the Dow's future growth.

[00:14:25] - S&P 6000 Prediction for the Year-End


Prediction of the S&P 500 reaching 6000 by the end of the year, driven by current market momentum.

[00:15:40] - Investment Strategies and Secular Bull Market
- Final thoughts on the secular bull market and investment strategies, with a light-hearted suggestion about investing in the Dow ETF.


Breakpoint Trading - For free newsletters and more information on the index trend model.
Jeffrey Hirsch’s Book - Stock Traders Almanac for historical market perspectives.
Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) - A suggested investment vehicle for tracking the Dow’s performance.

If you enjoyed this episode, please rate, follow, share, and review the podcast. Your support helps us bring more insightful content to you every week. Happy investing, and see you on Sunday!





📖 BUY One Rental at a Time https://amzn.to/3jt3JFx
📣 Audible Version Here https://amzn.to/3jtLDTQ
OR
🏆 Buy 15 Conversations with Real Estate Millionaires https://amzn.to/3JwEsVm

Dion from Dion Talk is Narrator!!!
NOW ON AUDIBLE https://www.audible.com/pd/B0BDPSZW3Y/?source_code=AUDFPWS0223189MWT-BK-ACX0-322007&ref=acx_bty_BK_ACX0_322007_rh_us

📸 INSTAGRAM: Please follow. Daily original content! https://www.instagram.com/onerentalatatime/

📬 (MUST JOIN!) PRIVATE Facebook Group: One Rental at a Time Works
This is a VERY private group that is only available to my students of "How to Get Started One Rental at a Time" In the group, you will be around hundreds of other students all doing the work. Please introduce yourself when you join!
JOIN HERE: https://bit.ly/3tEQhRm

TEACHABLE COURSES: Join the THOUSANDS of students changing their financial future with DAILY execution!
💎 How to Get Started One Rental at a Time:
This course is changing lives! Investors focus and do the daily work required to learn their market and only do GOOD Deals.
JOIN HERE: https://bit.ly/3uDrkHq

💸 Get Money Right: This course is about making you the CFO of your money. It shows you how choices can keep you poor or set you free. It highlights your Financial Health Score and provides a mont