1,063 episodes
Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast Mr. Action Junkie
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- Sport
This show delivers FREE daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days.
Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:
2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets
2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals
2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners
2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders
2023 College Football - Kota Capper College Football Central Lock, Underdog, and Unit Champ
2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets
2024 NCAA College Basketball - 54%, up 22.18 units (up 58 units total w/blog plays)
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together.
Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor. I flat bet risking 1 unit vs. winning 1 unit.
Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms.
Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it.
Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams.
Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.
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That's a winner! NBA Playoff Bet - Go Wolves! NHL Playoff Bet, 2 UFL Bets, WNBA Bet, 5 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 2, Run Line x 3) for Sunday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Minnesota +2.5 at Dallas
Florida ML vs. New York (-155)
Michigan/Houston 1H Under 20
D.C./Memphis Over 45.5
Atlanta -3.5 vs. Minnesota
NRFI: Giants/Mets (-128)
NRFI: Cubs/Cardinals (-125)
Dodgers -1.5 at Reds (-120)
Braves -1.5 at Pirates (-111)
Phillies -1.5 at Rockies (-126)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 16-16 (50.0%), up 1.5626 units
UFL: 4-2 (66.7%), up 1.6364 units
WNBA: 10-8 (55.5%), up 1.091 units
NBA Playoffs: 37-34 (52.1%), down 0.4542 units
NHL Playoffs: 10-9 (52.6%), up 0.32859 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 124-127 (49.4%), down 12.0298 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 15-11, 57.7%, up 3.7629 units
Other: 2-4, 33.3%, down 2.05 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
Oh so close to 0-8, finished 3-5. NBA Playoff Bet, NHL Playoff Bet, 2 UFL Bets, 2 WNBA Bets, 4 MLB Baseball Bets for Saturday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Indiana +7 vs. Boston
Dallas ML vs. Edmonton (-135)
Arlington +3 vs. St. Louis
Birmingham -8.5 at San Antonio
Las Vegas -14.5 vs. Indiana
Phoenix -2.5 vs. Dallas
NRFI: Blue Jays/Tigers (-130)
NRFI: Mariners/Nationals (-115)
NRFI: Yankees/Padres (-120)
Philadelphia -1.5 at Colorado (-155)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 16-16 (50.0%), up 1.5626 units
UFL: 3-1 (75.0%), up 1.7273 units
WNBA: 9-7 (56.3%), up 1.1819 units
NBA Playoffs: 36-34 (51.4%), down 1.3633 units
NHL Playoffs: 9-9 (50.0%), down 0.41211 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 122-125 (49.4%), down 11.5446 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 15-11, 57.7%, up 3.7629 units
Other: 2-4, 33.3%, down 2.05 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
That's a winner! Oh so close to 8-0, finished 7-1. Flip the script in the NBA, NHL, and PGA. WNBA Fever Time, 5 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 2, Run Line x 3) plus 8 bets from red hot @KotaCapperKyle for Friday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Minnesota -5 vs. Dallas
New York Rangers ML vs. Florida Panthers (-105)
Jordan Spieth over Sungjae Im (-120)
Indiana -2 at Los Angeles
NRFI: Cubs/Cardinals (-115)
NRFI: Yankees/Padres (-122)
Arizona -1.5 vs. Miami (+118)
Philadelphia -1.5 at Colorado (-130)
Baltimore -1.5 at Chicago (-148)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 16-15 (51.6%), up 2.5626 units
UFL: 3-1 (75.0%), up 1.7273 units
WNBA: 8-7 (53.3%), up 0.2728 units
NBA Playoffs: 36-33 (52.2%), down 0.3633 units
NHL Playoffs: 8-9 (47.1%), down 1.36451 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 121-122 (49.8%), down 9.2203 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 15-11, 57.7%, up 3.7629 units
Other: 2-4, 33.3%, down 2.05 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
That's a winner! 5-1 day for @KotaCapperKyle. 3 MLB Bets (NRFI x 2, Run Line), Celtics/Pacers Game 2 Bet, Oilers/Stars Game 1 Bet, 2 WNBA Bets, and 2 PGA Bets for Thursday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Run Line: Baltimore -1.5 at Chicago (-150)
NRFI: Mariners/Yankees (-120)
NRFI: Blue Jays/Tigers (-140)
Boston -9 vs. Indiana
Edmonton ML at Dallas (-115)
Phoenix -6.5 vs. Washington
Minnesota +6.5 at Connecticut
Sungjae Im +100 over Jordan Spieth
Denny McCarthy Top 30 Finish (+110)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
UFL: 3-1 (75.0%), up 1.7273 units
PGA Golf: 15-15 (50.0%), up 1.5626 units
WNBA: 7-6 (53.8%), up 0.3637 units
NBA Playoffs: 35-33 (51.5%), down 1.2724 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
NHL Playoffs: 7-9 (43.8%), down 2.23411 units
MLB Baseball: 118-122 (49.2%), down 11.4346 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 15-11, 57.7%, up 3.7629 units
Other: 2-4, 33.3%, down 2.05 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
@KotaCapperKyle hosts fresh off a 7-2 day with 3 Underdog winners in MLB. He has a NBA bet that I will be cheering against - Go Wolves, NHL Bet, WNBA Bet, 3 MLB Baseball Bets for Wednesday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
@KotaCapperKyle's Card:
New York ML -105 vs. Florida
Dallas +4 at Minnesota
Indiana +5 at Seattle
NRFI: Detroit/Kansas City (-130)
YRFI: Seattle/New York Yankees (-120)
Cleveland ML -130 vs. New York Mets
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
UFL: 3-1 (75.0%), up 1.7273 units
PGA Golf: 15-15 (50.0%), up 1.5626 units
WNBA: 7-6 (53.8%), up 0.3637 units
NBA Playoffs: 35-33 (51.5%), down 1.2724 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
NHL Playoffs: 7-9 (43.8%), down 2.23411 units
MLB Baseball: 118-122 (49.2%), down 11.4346 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 12-11, 52.2%, up 0.7629 units
Other: 0-3, 0%, down 3 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
Pacers/Celtics Game 1 Bet, 2 WNBA Bets, 3 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 2, Run Line), plus 7 Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Tuesday
Warren Buffet Quote: No called strike game. You don't have to swing at everything, you can wait for your pitch. (he was talking stocks, also applied to sports betting)
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Boston -9.5 vs. Indiana
Las Vegas -14.5 vs. Phoenix
Washington/LA Sparks 1H Under 81
Minnesota -1.5 at Washington (-112)
NRFI: Giants/Pirates (-115)
NRFI: Rangers/Phillies (-115)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
UFL: 3-1 (75.0%), up 1.7273 units
PGA Golf: 15-15 (50.0%), up 1.5626 units
WNBA: 6-5 (54.5%), up 0.4546 units
NBA Playoffs: 35-32 (52.2%), down 0.2724 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
NHL Playoffs: 7-9 (43.8%), down 2.23411 units
MLB Baseball: 116-121 (48.9%), down 12.1738 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 12-11, 52.2%, up 0.7629 units
Other: 0-3, 0%, down 3 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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