1,055 episodes
Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast Mr. Action Junkie
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- Sport
This show delivers FREE daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days.
Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:
2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets
2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals
2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners
2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders
2023 College Football - Kota Capper College Football Central Lock, Underdog, and Unit Champ
2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets
2024 NCAA College Basketball - 54%, up 22.18 units (up 58 units total w/blog plays)
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together.
Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor. I flat bet risking 1 unit vs. winning 1 unit.
Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms.
Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it.
Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams.
Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.
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That's a winner! 4-0 in MLB. NBA, NHL, UFL, WNBA, Preakness Stakes, PGA Championship, and MLB Bets for Saturday. 10 wagers. Let's have a day.
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Dallas -3.5 vs. Oklahoma City
Edmonton -1.5 vs. Vancouver (+130)
Memphis +9.5 at Michigan
Indiana +14 at New York
Chicago +8 at Dallas
Preakness: #9 Imagination
Brooks Koepka over Bryson DeChambeau (-115)
Cameron Smith over Max Homa (-125)
NRFI: Detroit/Arizona (-140)
Run Line: Chicago Cubs -1.5 vs. Pittsburgh (+122)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
NBA Playoffs: 34-30 (53.1%), up 0.8185 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 13-11 (54.2%), up 3.0126 units
UFL: 1-1 (50%), down 0.0909 units
NHL Playoffs: 5-9 (35.7%), down 4.17931 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
WNBA: 2-2 (50.0%), down 0.1818 units
MLB Baseball: 113-115 (49.6%), down 8.427 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 12-11, 52.2%, up 0.7629 units
Other: 0-3, 0%, down 3 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
That's a winner! NBA Playoff Bet, 2 NHL Playoff Bets, 3 PGA Championship Bets, 4 MLB Baseball Bets, WNBA Bet plus 6 Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Friday
Correction: Missed the Cubs/Pirates NRFI during the recap, record has been updated.
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
New York +5.5 at Indiana
Boston ML +125 vs. Florida
Colorado ML -120 vs. Dallas
Seattle -2.5 at Minnesota
Patrick Cantlay -135 over Cameron Young
Collin Morikawa +170 over Scottie Scheffler
Cameron Smith -110 over Tommy Fleetwood
NRFI: Tigers/Diamondbacks (-130)
NRFI: Mets/Marlins (-130)
New York Yankees -1.5 vs. Chicago White Sox (-122)
San Francisco -1.5 vs. Colorado (+124)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
NBA Playoffs: 34-29 (53.9%), up 1.8185 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 11-10 (52.4%), up 1.5719 units
UFL: 1-1 (50%), down 0.0909 units
NHL Playoffs: 5-7 (41.7%), down 2.17931 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
WNBA: 2-2 (50.0%), down 0.1818 units
MLB Baseball: 109-115 (48.7%), down 12.0251 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 12-11, 52.2%, up 0.7629 units
Other: 0-3, 0%, down 3 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
NBA Playoff Bet - Wolves WILL Win, 2 NHL Playoff Bets, WNBA Bet, 2 PGA Championship Bets, 3 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 2, Run Line) plus 5 Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Thursday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Minnesota -2 vs. Denver
New York ML at Carolina (+140)
Edmonton -1.5 at Vancouver (+170)
Indiana +7 vs. New York
Collin Morikawa over Scottie Scheffler (+165)
Joaquin Niemann Over 3.5 birdies or better (-135)
NRFI: New York Yankees/Minnesota Twins (-115)
NRFI: Pittsburgh/Chicago Cubs (-125)
Houston -1.5 vs. Oakland (-102)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
NBA Playoffs: 33-29 (53.2%), up 0.9094 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 10-9 (52.6%), up 0.9219 units
UFL: 1-1 (50%), down 0.0909 units
NHL Playoffs: 4-6 (40.0%), down 2.57931 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
WNBA: 2-2 (50.0%), down 0.1818 units
MLB Baseball: 108-113 (48.9%), down 11.0055 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 12-11, 52.2%, up 0.7629 units
Other: 0-3, 0%, down 3 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
What happened to the Wolves? @KotaCapperKyle hosts the podcast. NHL Moneyline, 3 MLB Baseball Bets (Alternate Run Line, NRFI x 2) for Wednesday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Dallas ML -142 vs. Colorado
NRFI: Washington/Chicago White Sox (-125)
NRFI: Boston/Tampa Bay (-130)
San Diego -2 RL vs. Colorado (+107)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
NBA Playoffs: 33-29 (53.2%), up 0.9094 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 10-9 (52.6%), up 0.9219 units
UFL: 1-1 (50%), down 0.0909 units
NHL Playoffs: 4-6 (40.0%), down 2.57931 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
WNBA: 2-2 (50.0%), down 0.1818 units
MLB Baseball: 108-113 (48.9%), down 11.0055 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 11-9, 55.0%, up 1.7629 units
Other: 0-2, 0%, down 2 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
2 NBA Playoff Bets, 2 NHL Playoff Bets, 4 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 2, Moneyline, Run Line), 4 WNBA Opening Night Bets, plus 8 MLB Baseball Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Tuesday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
New York -2.5 vs. Indiana
Minnesota +4.5 at Denver
Boston/Florida Under 5.5 (-115)
Edmonton -1.5 vs. Vancouver (+120)
NRFI: Oakland/Houston (-105)
NRFI: St. Louis/LA Angels (-125)
Texas ML vs. Cleveland (-112)
San Diego -1.5 vs. Colorado (-125)
Connecticut -6 vs. Indiana
New York -11 at Washington
Minnesota/Seattle Under 164.5
Las Vegas -15 vs. Phoenix
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
NBA Playoffs: 32-28 (53.3%), up 1.0003 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 10-9 (52.6%), up 0.9219 units
UFL: 1-1 (50%), down 0.0909 units
NHL Playoffs: 3-5 (37.5%), down 2.4884 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 106-111 (48.8%), down 10.7579 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 11-9, 55.0%, up 1.7629 units
Other: 0-2, 0%, down 2 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
That's a winner! 2 NBA Playoff Bets, 2 NHL Playoff Bets, 4 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 2, Moneyline, Run Line) for Monday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Cleveland +8.5 vs. Boston
Dallas -1.5 vs. Oklahoma City
New York Rangers ML vs. Carolina (-102)
Colorado ML vs. Dallas (-134)
NRFI: Toronto/Baltimore (-125)
NRFI: Chicago Cubs/Atlanta (-130)
Texas ML vs. Cleveland (-116)
Run Line: San Diego -1.5 vs. Colorado (+105)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
NBA Playoffs: 31-27 (53.4%), up 1.0912 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 10-9 (52.6%), up 0.9219 units
UFL: 1-1 (50%), down 0.0909 units
NHL Playoffs: 3-3 (50%), down 0.4884 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 104-109 (48.8%), down 10.3271 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 11-9, 55.0%, up 1.7629 units
Other: 0-2, 0%, down 2 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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