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This Week in Pre-IPO Stocks reports on pre-IPO stock research, trends, trading, and venture capital funds. Visit www.agdillon.com for more.

This Week in Pre-IPO Stocks AG Dillon & Co

    • Wirtschaft

This Week in Pre-IPO Stocks reports on pre-IPO stock research, trends, trading, and venture capital funds. Visit www.agdillon.com for more.

    E116: Tiktok US to have a $152b valuation, xAI raising $6b at $18b valuation, X/Twitter to launch TV app, Flexport wins Shein business, Stripe tech to accept stablecoin payments, Anduril wins another govt contract (unmanned jets)

    E116: Tiktok US to have a $152b valuation, xAI raising $6b at $18b valuation, X/Twitter to launch TV app, Flexport wins Shein business, Stripe tech to accept stablecoin payments, Anduril wins another govt contract (unmanned jets)

    00:08 | Flexport wins Shein business
    - Flexport wins Shein US shipping business with deep tech integration
    - Shein to expand products outside of fashion and manufacturing from India/Latin America
    - Flexport has $1.5b secondary market valuation, -81% from last primary round in Mar 2022
    - Shein has $45b-$55b secondary market valuation, May 2023 primary round at $66b

    01:29 | X/Twitter to launch TV app
    - X TV App on all smart TV platforms
    - X seeks to directly compete against YouTube
    - Half of YouTube views are on its TV app and YouTube’s TV app has more viewership vs Netflix
    - Fidelity, a X shareholder, has a $12.5b valuation for the company, -72% vs Musk’s Apr 2022 purchase price

    02:55 | Tiktok US to have a $152b valuation
    - US govt has passed a law requiring ByteDance to divest Tiktok US business in 1 year or less
    - TikTok US has 170 million users
    - AG Dillon believes TikTok US could have a valuation up to $152b if sold “as is”
    - A $152b valuation places TikTok US as the 3rd largest pre-IPO stock globally

    05:24 | xAI raising $6b at $18b valuation
    - xAI is Elon Musk’s AI large language model business sourcing data from X/Twitter
    - Sequoia leading $6b round
    - Musk has already invested nearly $1b into xAI

    06:19 | Stripe tech to accept stablecoin payments
    - Online merchants using Stripe payment solutions will be able to accept payment in stablecoin cryptocurrencies
    - Solana, Ethereum, and Polygon platforms will be initially accepted
    - Stripe has a $74.1b secondary market valuation, +14% vs its Feb 2024 primary round

    07:43 | Anduril wins another govt contract (unmanned jets)
    - Anduril to develop and test unmanned fighter jets
    - Potential to win multi-billion-dollar production contract in 2026
    - US military aims to have a fleet of 1000 unmanned fighter jets
    - Anduril has a $13.0b secondary market valuation, +53% vs its Dec 2022 primary round

    08:42 | Pre-IPO +1.31% for week, +24.96% for last 1yr
    - Week winners: Chime +17.2%, Ramp +3.5%, Stripe +1.5%, Chainalysis +1.2%, Bytedance +1.1%
    - Week losers: OpenAI -2.7%, Anthropic -1.9%, Groq -1.5%, Flexport -0.9%, Revolut -0.7%
    - Top valuations: ByteDance $289b, SpaceX $185b, OpenAI $100b, Stripe $74b, Databricks $42b

    09:25 | +1.92% 2024 Pre-IPO Stock Vintage Index
    - www.agdillon.com/index to see all 20 Pre-IPO Stock Vintage Indexes
    - 2024 Vintage Index top contributors since inception: Stripe +56%, Rippling +50%, Klarna +32%, Revolut +28%
    - 2024 Vintage Index top detractors since inception: None. All 10 constituents are in positive territory.
     - Looking at all 20 vintages … here are the winners and losers for the week; 
    …winners = Chime +17.2%, Automation Anywhere +1.8%, Stripe 1.5% and
    …losers = OpenAI -2.7%, Anthropic -1.9%, Revolut -0.7%
    - Chime is in the 2021, 2022, and 2023 Vintage Indexes; 3% to 4% weight in these indexes so not a material impact to overall TVPI for indexes

    • 10 Min.
    E115: Mistral AI up $3b in 4 months, Revolut $25.7b valuation by Schroders, Rippling/Ramp new rounds higher vs secondary valuations

    E115: Mistral AI up $3b in 4 months, Revolut $25.7b valuation by Schroders, Rippling/Ramp new rounds higher vs secondary valuations

    • 24 Min.
    E114: Rippling raises at $13.4b, Ramp raises at $7.6b, Klarna’s new US credit card, AI clones in Hollywood, Mistral raises at $5b, Anduril autonomous submarine for Australia Navy, Revolut changes bank partners in US

    E114: Rippling raises at $13.4b, Ramp raises at $7.6b, Klarna’s new US credit card, AI clones in Hollywood, Mistral raises at $5b, Anduril autonomous submarine for Australia Navy, Revolut changes bank partners in US

    00:09 | Rippling raises at $13.4b
    - HR tech company, constituent in AG Dillon Pre-IPO Stock 2024 Vintage Index
    - $870m raise at $13.4b post-money valuation
    - $200m in capital for company
    - $670m in secondaries for existing shareholder liquidity
    - $13.4b valuation is +25% from current secondary market valuation of $10.7b

    01:31 | Ramp raises at $7.6b
    - Spend management company
    - $150m raises at $7.6b post-money valuation
    - 4x revenue increase vs 2022
    - Surpassed $300m annualized revenue summer 2023
    - 25,000 business customers
    - Capital will be used to integrate AI into product suite
    - $7.65b valuation is +14% from current secondary market valuation of $6.7b

    02:44 | Klarna’s new US credit card
    - Consumer credit tech company, constituent in AG Dillon Pre-IPO Stock 2024 Vintage Index
    - Launching a credit card; pay by (a) buy now pay later installments or (b) revolving credit line
    - Physical card and tap-and-pay with Apple/Google
    - Up to 10% cash back on Klarna shopping marketplace app (like Amazon marketplace)
    - $9.8b secondary market implied valuation, +45.6% vs its last primary round in Jul 2022

    04:16 | AI clones in Hollywood
    - Creative Artists Agency creating AI avatars of Brad Pitt, Reese Witherspoon
    - Clear Angle Studios and Racket Sound scan/capture the actors’ bodily and vocal characteristics
    - Actors have ownership of their digital likenesses
    - Applications; reshooting scenes, dubbing in different languages

    05:42 | Mistral raises at $5b
    - AI large language models for developers to access with APIs
    - Raising at a $5b valuation
    - $2b valuation last round in Dec 2023
    - $3b valuation increase in just 4 months!

    06:54 | Anduril autonomous submarine for Australia Navy
    - Defense technology company, constituent in AG Dillon Pre-IPO Stock 2024 Vintage Index
    - Delivered Ghost Shark autonomous submarine for Australian Navy
    - $90m contract for 3 Ghost Sharks
    - $18.7b secondary market implied valuation, +39% vs its last primary round in Dec 2022

    08:38 | Revolut changes bank partners in US
    - Mobile banking company, constituent in AG Dillon Pre-IPO Stock 2024 Vintage Index
    - Changes partner banks from Metropolitan Commercial Bank to Community Federal Savings Bank
    - Metropolitan Commercial Bank fined $30m by the Fed/NY State banking regulators re: compliance issues for 3rd party program, MovoCash … could have contributed to decision
    - No changes to product features or pricing
    - $19.1b secondary market implied valuation, -42% from its last primary round in Jul 2021

    09:33 | Pre-IPO +0.64% for week, +20.29% for last 1yr
    - Week winners: Chime +17.2%, Ramp +3.5%, Stripe +1.5%, Chainalysis +1.2%, Bytedance +1.1%
    - Week losers: OpenAI -2.7%, Anthropic -1.9%, Groq -1.5%, Flexport -0.9%, Revolut -0.7%
    - Top valuations: ByteDance $289b, SpaceX $185b, OpenAI $100b, Stripe $74b, Databricks $42b

    10:20 | -0.23% 2024 Pre-IPO Stock Vintage Index
    - www.agdillon.com/index to see all 20 Pre-IPO Stock Vintage Indexes
    - 2024 Vintage Index top contributors since inception: Stripe +56%, Rippling +50%, Klarna +32%, Revolut +28%
    - 2024 Vintage Index top detractors since inception: None. All 10 constituents are in positive territory.
     - Looking at all 20 vintages … here are the winners and losers for the week; 
    …winners = Chime +17.2%, Automation Anywhere +1.8%, Stripe 1.5% and
    …losers = OpenAI -2.7%, Anthropic -1.9%, Revolut -0.7%
    - Chime is in the 2021, 2022, and 2023 Vintage Indexes; 3% to 4% weight in these indexes so not a material impact to overall TVPI for indexes

    • 11 Min.
    E113: Stripe $694m tender, Klarna $40m annual expense savings using AI, No diversification without pre-IPO stocks

    E113: Stripe $694m tender, Klarna $40m annual expense savings using AI, No diversification without pre-IPO stocks

    • 42 Min.
    E112: OpenAI extends $86b tender, ByteDance/TikTok stock buyback!, Humane AI Pin officially launches, Revolut’s India regulatory approval

    E112: OpenAI extends $86b tender, ByteDance/TikTok stock buyback!, Humane AI Pin officially launches, Revolut’s India regulatory approval

    00:08 | ByteDance/TikTok stock buyback!
    - Expanding Q4 2023 buyback to non-US employees
    - $171/share for employees, $145/share for former employees
    - $112b in 2023 annualized revenue (run rate as of YTD Q3 2023)
    - $285b current secondary market valuation
    - Meta, about same revenue, at $1.32 trillion market cap

    01:09 | OpenAI extends $86b tender
    - Extending $86b tender to former employees
    - $150/share price
    - Revenue: $2.0b in Dec 2023 annualized, $5.0b in Dec 2024 forecast
    - $103b current secondary market valuation based on $150/share price

    02:14 | Humane AI Pin officially launches
    - Alternative to a smartphone, pin onto your shirt
    - Engage by talking to the AI Pin
    - $699 for AI Pin + $24/month subscription
    - Rabbit R1 is main competitor; “large action model” is very cool
    - Closed in Series C in Jul 2023 raising $100m at a $850m valuation

    03:36 | Revolut’s India regulatory approval 
    - Reserve Bank of India approves for Prepaid Payment Instruments, including prepaid cards and wallets
    - Revolut already has RBI approval for Category-II Authorized Money Exchange Dealer, multi-currency forex cards, and cross-border remittance services
    - Received bank approval from Mexican regulators last week
    - $19.2b secondary market valuation, -42% from its last primary round in Jul 2021

    04:44 | Pre-IPO +0.38% for week, +20.43% for last 1yr
    - Week winners: Groq +10.8%, Klarna +5.1%, Neuralink +3.8%, ConsenSys +2.9%, Hugging Face +2.7%
    - Week losers: Ramp -17.9%, Chime -1.3%, Cohere -1.1%, Chainalysis -0.8%
    - Top valuations: ByteDance $286b, SpaceX $185b, OpenAI $103b, Stripe $94b, Databricks $42b

    05:38 | +0.98% 2024 Pre-IPO Stock Vintage Index
    - www.agdillon.com/index to see all 20 Pre-IPO Stock Vintage Indexes
    - 2024 Vintage Index top contributors since inception: Stripe +54%, Rippling +50%, Revolut +28%
    - 2024 Vintage Index top detractors since inception: None. All 10 constituents are in positive territory.
     - Looking at all 20 vintages … here are the winners and losers for the week; 
    …winners = Automation Anywhere +22.3%, Klarna +5.1%, Databricks +2.3% and
    …losers = Tanium -3.2%, Chime -1.3%
    - Automation Anywhere is only in the 2020 Vintage Index. It has a 2% current weight in the index so not a major impact to TVPI.

    • 6 Min.
    E111: Musk's xAI $18b valuation; $1b raise for AI "phones" from Ive/Altman; Klarna says BNPL better vs credit cards; Rubrik IPO prospects

    E111: Musk's xAI $18b valuation; $1b raise for AI "phones" from Ive/Altman; Klarna says BNPL better vs credit cards; Rubrik IPO prospects

    • 27 Min.

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