The Bayesian Conspiracy The Bayesian Conspiracy

The Collinses are back to address follow-up questions, like why is death good? Does population density reduce fertility? Is demographic collapse still a problem? Are child support laws bad? A great discussion is had by all.

LINKS

Based Camp

Three World’s Collide, novella by Eliezer Yudkowsky

YIMBYism in California is doing very well!

AskWho Casts AI audio of the reddit post re an accidental student protest

Luck Is Other People’s Work by Eneasz

0:00:17 – Malcolm & Simone on Death + More

1:01:03 – Feedback

1:06:20 – Guild of the Rose Update

1:07:44 – Less Wrong Posts

1:42:12 – Thank the Patron



Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.







Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast



LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Is Humanism A Religion-Substitute?

Scarcity

Next Sequence Posts:

To Spread Science, Keep It Secret

Initiation Ceremony

Our species has begun to scrute the inscrutable shoggoth! With Matt Freeman 🙂

LINKS

Anthropic’s latest AI Safety research paper, on interpretability

Anthropic is hiring

Episode 93 of The Mind Killer

Talkin’ Fallout

VibeCamp



0:00:17 – A Layman’s AI Refresher

0:21:06 – Aligned By Default

0:50:56 – Highlights from Anthropic’s Latest Interpretability Paper

1:26:47 – Guild of the Rose Update

1:29:40 – Going to VibeCamp

1:37:05 – Feedback

1:43:58 – Less Wrong Posts

1:57:30 – Thank the Patron



Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.







Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast



LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

If You Demand Magic, Magic Won’t Help

The Beauty of Settled Science

Next Sequence Posts:

Is Humanism A Religion-Substitute?

Scarcity

A bit of a change of pace this episode. Eneasz and Steven catch up on some feedback we’ve had piling up for the last several weeks. Always feel free to call us out on any b******t we say or if you have anything you want to add to our discussions. Chat with us and a ton of awesome people on our Discord server, comment on the episode here, email us at BayesianConspiracyPodcast@gmail.com, or use our now-mostly-inactive subreddit!

LINKS

Claude 3

Tumblr post from one participant of Aella’s birthday party

Twitter thread from the badass virgin attendee we mentioned

0:00:17 – Feedback

0:56:24 – Guild of the Rose Update

0:58:42 – Less Wrong Posts

1:39:29 – Thank the Patron



Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.







Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast



LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Joy in Discovery

Bind Yourself to Reality

Next Sequence Posts:

If You Demand Magic, Magic Won’t Help

The Beauty of Settled Science

Less.Online gathers rationalist writers (and readers) for a major event in Berkeley May 31 – June 2nd. Eneasz will be there! Ben Pace and Raymond Arnold tell us all about it.

Get all the details you could want plus tickets at Less.Online!

“Social justice progressivism (SJP) is the first time most people—including most Christians—have encountered a truly vital religion,” argues Tracing Woodgrains. We dive into this.

LINKS

The Twitter Essay we’re discussing

Tracing Woodgrains on Twitter

Tracing Woodgrains’s SubStack

Trace’s piece on the FAA scandal/conspiracy

Eneasz’s post on repenting for new atheism

Eliezer on Every Cause Wants To Be A Cult

TBC episode 7(!) with a negative utilitarian (Kill All Humans)

Yassine’s thread on religious tolerance of wokism

Robin Williams escaped Lewy Body Dementia

Richard Dawkins’s The Greatest Show On Earth

Scott Alexander’s Fascination Lottery

Worth The Candle by Alexander Wales

Eneasz on The Peace of Westphalia and the War on Christmas

0:00:17 – The New Vital Religion

1:22:31 – Guild of the Rose Update

1:23:42 – Less Wrong Posts

1:43:36 – Thank the Patron



Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.







Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast



LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Savanna Poets

Joy in the Merely Real

Next Sequence Posts:

Joy in Discovery

Bind Yourself to Reality

We speak with Simone and Malcolm from Based Camp and Pronatalist.org. World population is a few decades from collapse if trends continue. Is this bad, and what can be done?

LINKS

Based Camp YouTube  and Podcast

Pronatalist.org

The mentioned where to live document

Project Eureka (the Collins’s town to move to project)

The Pragmatist’s Guide to Crafting Religion

TBC – You Are In Newcomb’s IQ Shredder

TBC – CyberChristianity

Scott Alexander – The Toxoplasma Of Rage

Unweaving The Rainbow

Bonus Chat with Aella at Patreon, and at SubStack

0:00:17 – Simone & Malcolm

1:18:54 – Guild of the Rose Update

1:20:17 – Less Wrong Posts

1:40:10 – Thank the Patron



Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.







Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast



LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Explaining vs. Explaining Away

Fake Reductionism

Next Sequence Posts:

Savanna Poets

Joy in the Merely Real