S2 Underground S2 Actual

//The Wire//1800Z May 06, 2024//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: ISRAEL/GAZA PEACE TALKS FAIL. FRANCE DEPLOYS FOREIGN LEGION TO UKRAINE. PROTESTS ESCALATE IN IRELAND.//
 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
Europe: France begins deploying French Foreign Legion soldiers to frontline combat service in Ukraine. Approximately 1,500 troops will be sent to Ukraine at first, beginning with a few hundred artillery spotters and intelligence personnel.
Middle East: Following the collapse of the latest peace talks in Cairo, Israeli forces have reportedly begun the final phases of the operation to invade Rafah. Locals report mass evacuations have begun as IDF troops stage to take the city. AC: Israel has been planning this operation for weeks, and likely did not fully commit to peace talks as a method of providing a solution to this conflict.
Ireland: Counter-immigration protests continue to grow in size and number following months of building tensions resulting from governmental policies. Thousands of demonstrators gathered in Dublin this morning to protest against immigration, as well as a variety of other issues. Protesters demonstrating against the escalation of the Ukrainian War (and against providing support for Ukraine) were also observed taking part in the overall demonstrations. AC: So far, these are some of the largest demonstrations seen in Ireland in many years. Consequently, various counter-protests (and counter-counter-protests) have begun as well, encompassing a wide variety of unrelated issues.
-HomeFront-
Washington D.C. – Saturday night a man rammed his vehicle into a security barricade at the White House. The man, who has not yet been identified, was discovered to be deceased inside the vehicle. AC: At this time, it is not clear as to if the man was killed in the crash, or if he died prior to the crash. It is also not clear as to if this was a deliberate attack, or an accident.
Pennsylvania: A gunman attempted to murder a local pastor at the Jesus' Dwelling Place Church in North Braddock during a livestream of services on Sunday. The assailant’s firearm suffered a malfunction during the attack, resulting in it failing to fire. After the weapon failed, the assailant was apprehended by churchgoers. The assailant has been identified as Bernard Junior Polite. AC: This attack appears to possibly be the result of a mental health incident, however the assailant did admit that the church was selected as a target of opportunity. As such, constant and overwhelming vigilance and situational awareness continues to be strongly recommended, particularly at religious institutions.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst Comments: The deployment of the French Foreign Legion, while a serious escalation of the war, is also one which is politically safe for Macron. As Foreign Legion soldiers are not French citizens, there will likely be little backlash against this escalation in France (whereas deploying actual French Army soldiers would cause outrage). Russia’s response to this announcement is not clear, but operationally Russia will almost certainly seek to target the Legion deliberately, simply to make a point.
Analyst: S2A1
//END REPORT//

//The Wire//1400Z May 03, 2024//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: UCLA ENCAMPMENT DISPERSED. RUSSIAN TROOPS ENTER AMERICAN BASE IN NIGER. TAIWAN DETECTS PLAN EXERCISES IN STRAIT.//
 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
Far East: Taiwanese forces noted an increase in Chinese activity in the Taiwan Strait overnight. 26x aircraft of varying types (including medium-bombers and UAVs) were noted conducting exercises in coordination with 5x PLAN surface vessels. AC: This increase in activity above baseline is likely in accordance with China’s observance of traditional Communist holidays, which usually serve as a vector for military drills or exercises. China also launched their latest carrier (the Fujian, CV-18) on the May Day holiday, where she has been conducting sea trials over the past 24 hours.
Niger: The situation regarding American presence in the country continues to deteriorate. Overnight, the Pentagon confirmed that Russian troops (likely PMCs) have entered Base 201 at Agadez. Pentagon officials claim the Russians have occupied a compound within the base separate from American forces that remain on site.
-HomeFront-
California: The main encampment at UCLA has been completely dispersed by police. AC: So far, most of the demonstrators have either been arrested and immediately released, and/or (likely) have dispersed to other occupied zones around the United States. This may be worthy of note considering the recent mice incident. Regardless of the potential nefariousness of recent events, malign actors now know with high confidence that someone can approach a large crowd of people, disperse an unidentified object without any investigation or media coverage, and the crowd will disperse a few days later to locations all around the United States. This incident, if it was indeed a simple prank, at minimum provides valuable operational data for malign actors seeking to cause major incidents around the United States. 
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst Comments: Though the situation in Niger results in very little media coverage, this situation has the potential for extremely serious consequences to develop. So far, diplomats are attempting to mitigate the situation, while defense officials do what they can to ease this transition. Though the strategic value of the Agadez base is quite significant to American military operations throughout the Sahel, from the information that has become public surrounding this scandal, the DoD prerogative of waiting out the storm and somehow cutting a deal with Niger seems to be faltering with each passing day. The arrival of Russia on the stage seals the deal for any American hopes to remain strategically emplaced within Niger. Unfortunately, this creates an exceptionally dangerous situation for the troops on the ground due to the logistics of a departure; everyone knows the U.S. contingent in Niger can’t remain…the question is no longer “if” the U.S. will leave, but “when”. This is especially challenging for both the troops in Agadez, as well as the contingent at the Embassy compound in Niamey. The logistical challenges alone greatly complicate the security situation on the ground, and highlight many of the same military concerns that the United States has faced throughout Africa over the past few decades.
Analyst: S2A1
//END REPORT//

Hey everyone, back again with an ambitious (but helpful) reading this month. Though there are probably a lot of nitpicking issues that kind of make it hard to fully endorse the ideas in this book, I think overall it was a pretty good discussion-instigator. I did want to keep this one under 4 hours long, so I kept it as short as humanly possible lol.
How to have the poll out for May by tomorrow; I'm still working on selections and will be out of the office most of today.
Youtube link: https://youtu.be/goqfpWlYnlM
00:00 - Introduction and Overview 
04:00 - Main Thesis 
05:25 - The Turnings 
09:30 - Predictions for 2005 
16:15 - Preparing for the Fourth Turning 
27:46 - Issues 
42:20 - Closing Thoughts

//The Wire//1800Z May 02, 2024//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: U.S. HOUSE PASSES H.R. 6090. SECOND BOEING WHISTLEBLOWER DIES UNEXPECTEDLY.//
 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
Middle East: Turkey has announced the severing of economic ties with Israel. AC: If this is true, and Turkey really does intend to shut down trade with Israel, this could be a significant development as Turkey is/was a major trade partner for Israel. Additionally, the move appears to include the total restriction of Israel’s use of the port of Cehyan, which Israel depends on for oil shipments from Azerbaijan.
-HomeFront-
Washington D.C. – Last night, H.R. 6090 was overwhelmingly passed by the House of Representatives. The bill now heads to the Senate.
California: LACOFD Station 164 in Huntington Park caught fire last night, resulting in a two alarm fire at the fire station. AC: The fire caused significant damage to the fire station, which will be out-of-action for the foreseeable future.
Kansas: Boeing whistleblower Joshua Dean has died after being hospitalized in Wichita following a sudden series of infections, pneumonia, and MRSA. Dean was airlifted to Oklahoma City Tuesday night, where he died shortly after. He was 45 years old. AC: Dean was taking part in proceedings against Boeing and Spirit Aerosystems, after being fired by Spirit for exposing safety problems within the assembly process for the Boeing 787 Dreamliner.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst Comments: Reading the contents of H.R. 6090 (to include the definitions contained within) is extremely recommended for all Americans. This bill will, without question, have the exact opposite intended effect on the desired audience. In addition to strengthening resolve, this bill now causes questions to be asked that can no longer be avoided by average citizens and pundits alike.
Analyst: S2A1
//END REPORT//

//The Wire//2130Z May 01, 2024//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: STABBING ATTACK STRIKES LONDON SUBURB. AMERICAN UNIVERSITY PROTESTS REMAIN KINETIC.//
 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
United Kingdom: A stabbing attack was carried out in a London suburb by an assailant with a sword. The attack took place in the largely residential district of Hainault, with the assailant stabbing at least 6 people. One victim, a 14 year old, was killed in the attack. The other victims remain hospitalized. The suspect was arrested at the scene.
-HomeFront-
North Carolina: A substantial engagement occurred during the serving of a warrant in east Charlotte Sunday afternoon. The shootout occurred when the sought-after individual met the approaching officers with small arms fire. At least four officers were killed in the encounter and five other casualties were reported, from varying jurisdictions and agencies.
USA: University protests continue as before, with some demonstrations becoming more kinetic. At Columbia University in New York City, NYPD forces were deployed to shut down the expansion of demonstrations into university buildings and structures. Protesters gained entry to several buildings on campus, which resulted in efforts to oust demonstrators from this key terrain. In California, no new details surrounding the UCLA mice incident, almost all of the reporting on social media remains circular, and no press statements from official agencies have provided clarification or indicated that any investigation is underway.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst Comments: As protests continue, care should be taken to observe the vulnerabilities and concerns that will emerge if demonstrations expand. For now, most demonstrations are confined to major universities. However, as almost all of these efforts are directly funded and coordinated from higher command and control nodes within NGO’s all it takes is a series of phone calls for riots to shift into cities, or even suburbs. As already discovered by the arrests made at Columbia, a significant portion of the rioters and protesters aren’t even students at the institutions they are protesting at. As such, the link to universities is circumstantial, and with minimal effort riots can take place off campus as well.
Analyst: S2A1
//END REPORT//

//The Wire//1400Z April 30, 2024//
//SPECIAL REPORT//
//BLUF: SECURITY INCIDENTS INTENSIFY AT AMERICAN UNIVERSITIES.//
 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-HomeFront-
California: As the protests at UCLA continue, an incident occurred last night at the main encampment on campus when an unknown individual approached the site, and placed an open backpack full of mice in the vicinity of the main encampment structures. Many sources on the ground claim that the mice have round unidentified red marks on their backs, possibly indicating the use in some sort of scientific research. In any case, the released mice are the breed commonly used for research purposes. Photos and videos of the incident corroborate these claims, however the quality is not good enough on most of the media to determine any solid details of the markings on the mice. It is not currently known if faculty have reported any mice missing that were part of any research projects. Visual geolocation of the raw video evidence provided on social media indicates that the backpack was placed in the vicinity of grid: 11SLT6697371102.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst Comments: Though details are extremely sketchy and unconfirmed, this incident is worthy of close and immediate attention (even without knowing all of the details) due to the potential for this to be a serious biological incident. This incident also raises many questions and highlights many concerns regarding the potential for very serious incidents to occur elsewhere at this time of heightened risk.
Unfortunately, almost all of the sources for content surrounding this incident are protesters living at the UCLA encampment, and therefore not the most reliable or trustworthy sources for information. Much of the raw data making the rounds on social media is also circular reporting, and therefore not helpful. Nevertheless, the potential impact of this action presents a potentially exceptionally grave risk to national security, and is absolutely worthy of investigation by CBRNE specialists at the first opportunity. Local protesters indicate that authorities are aware of the incident, and at least two security guards witnessed the act in its entirety.
In any case, this act is not something one normally does in the spirit of good fellowship, and tends to raise the pucker-factor considerably, considering all factors. Many people are put-off by the nature of the protests all around, forgetting the national context and high tensions that mandate the more severe possibilities being considered. If mice were indeed injected with a mystery substance, then set loose intentionally into a protest encampment, this incident could rapidly become a very serious problem. Therefore, as terrifying as the prospect seems, assuming the worst-case scenario (while hoping for the most likely scenario) is always operationally prudent, until more information becomes available to put minds at ease. The potential for serious incidents occurring at these encampments is exceptionally high, and compounded by the fact that demonstrators have cornered themselves as unreliable sources, and police are not inclined to help them or break any speed records during an investigation of activities within the encampments. UCLA is not publicly known to conduct infectious disease research using lab mice. However, nothing suggests the mice actually came from a lab at UCLA. This would be the first common-sense assessment at any other time, but considering all facts and currently developing situations, we must remember the recent discovery of illegal CCP-linked biolabs in this exact region of the country. Consequently, this exact nightmare scenario should be taken more seriously even considering the extremely minimal (and often circular) reporting on the incident.
Militarily speaking, the constant movement of people living in close (and unsanitary) quarters, and a population which has raised the