Eurodollar University Jeff Snider

Soft landings and resilient economy supported by strength in labor markets. At least that's the narrative, the truth is completely different. Much of the developed world is being swept up in a wave of rising unemployment. Yes, including the US.;/
Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre
Bank of Canadahttps://www.bankofcanada.ca/2024/06/opening-statement-2024-06-05/
https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Another new low for JPY as the Japanese government is shuffling up its top Finance Ministry people. Everyone continues to blame the Fed for the yen's crash but the evidence conclusively shows that's not it. This only raises the question, what is it? The yen's own track record holds the answer and it is one that applies to you.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Reuters Japan names new FX diplomat as yen hits 38-year lowhttps://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/japan-appoints-atsushi-mimura-top-fx-diplomat-replacing-masato-kanda-2024-06-28/
Reuters Japan warns against rapid FX moves, reiterates readiness for actionhttps://www.reuters.com/markets/currencies/japan-warns-against-rapid-fx-moves-reiterates-readiness-action-2024-06-24/
Bloomberg Yen Falls Through 161 Per Dollar, Putting Intervention in Focushttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-06-28/yen-falls-through-161-per-dollar-as-intervention-wagers-increase
Barrons The Fed’s Higher for Longer Policy Is Breaking the Yenhttps://www.barrons.com/articles/fed-yen-b66308af
https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Retail and Pharmacy giant Walgreens now says there won't be a second half rebound after all, not according to its view of the consumer economy. It was seconded by Levi's and then European behemoth H&M. All of that ties together with a record low in US pending home sales and a summer driving season that's already an enormous bust as recession forces bear down.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
NBCNews Walgreens plans store closures as CEO says consumers 'stunned' by priceshttps://www.nbcnews.com/business/business-news/walgreens-plans-store-closures-ceo-says-consumers-stunned-prices-rcna159208
CNBC Levi’s shares drop 15% as jeans maker’s sales disappoint despite denim crazehttps://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/26/levi-levi-earnings-q2-2024.html
CNBC H&M plunges 13% on doubts over full-year margin target, June sales outlookhttps://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/27/hm-plunges-12point5percent-on-doubts-over-full-year-margin-target-june-sales-outlook.html
Bloomberg US Pending Home Sales Index Slides to Record Low on High Rateshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-06-27/us-pending-home-sales-index-slides-to-record-low-on-high-rates
https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Eurodollar University's Anniversary Webinar: The Fundamentals of Interest Rates over the Next 12 months.Sign up below:https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/rates

China's top central banker confirmed last week the intention to radically change the operations of the Peoples' Bank of China. Some have speculated this equates to an imminent QE, but that has nothing to do with the reform. We've seen this before. The issue is bank, not central bank. 
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
BNP Implications of China's Impaired Transmission Mechanismhttps://docfinder.bnpparibas-am.com/api/files/f3e3ee55-9e19-455f-a1a6-08123581e2e9
SCMP Xi Jinping to China’s central bank: restart treasury-bond trade, after 2-decade hiatushttps://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3256967/xi-jinping-chinas-central-bank-restart-treasury-bond-trade-after-2-decade-hiatus
Pan Gongsheng's speech at Shanghaihttp://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688172/5188125/5379416/index.html
https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Eurodollar University's Anniversary Webinar: The Fundamentals of Interest Rates over the Next 12 months.Sign up below:https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/rates

There have been a whole bunch of ripples through the monetary system coming in from all angles pointing toward a sizable collateral disruption. The primary culprit(s) appears to be from Europe, starting in bond spreads surging off election uncertainty though we can't discount the ECB's rate cut as a factor. The eurodollar aftershocks are pronounced regardless of origin.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
IOSCO Securities Lending Transactions: Market Development and Implicationshttps://www.bis.org/cpmi/publ/d32.pdf
https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Eurodollar University's Anniversary Webinar: The Fundamentals of Interest Rates over the Next 12 months.Sign up below:https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/rates

Japanese banks have been bulking up on US junk corporate credit for the last year, driven entirely by an increasingly difficult reach for yield. That means overlooking dangers and risks which in other less distorted times would have been taken more seriously. The end result is a large and growing distortion in a key part of the credit markets.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Bank of Japan Financial System Report October 2019https://www.boj.or.jp/en/research/brp/fsr/data/fsr191024a.pdf
VanEck Looking Beyond AAA Rated CLOs Pays Offhttps://www.vaneck.com/us/en/blogs/income-investing/looking-beyond-aaa-rated-clos-pays-off/
Deutsche Bank What impact is 'higher for longer' having on the CLO market in 2024https://flow.db.com/trust-and-agency-services/what-impact-is-higher-for-longer-having-on-the-clo-market-in-2024
Bloomberg A $1.3 Trillion Fund Pool for Junk-Rated US Firms Has Unlikely Lifeline: Japan's Bankshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-04-20/the-1-3-trillion-clo-market-grows-more-dependent-on-japan-banks
https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Eurodollar University's Anniversary Webinar: The Fundamentals of Interest Rates over the Next 12 months.Sign up below:https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/rates