196 episoder

The Cognitive Dissidents podcast is long-form exploration of geopolitics, markets, crypto, agriculture, macro-finance, commodities, ForEx, and much much more! Tune in biweekly for interviews with experts across the globe, and weekly for roundups of global financial and geopolitical events!
Hosted by Jacob Shapiro (and occasionally Rob Larity).

Cognitive Investments LLC (“Cognitive Investments”) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.

The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investor’s particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor.

This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:

Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp

Cognitive Dissidents Cognitive Investments

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The Cognitive Dissidents podcast is long-form exploration of geopolitics, markets, crypto, agriculture, macro-finance, commodities, ForEx, and much much more! Tune in biweekly for interviews with experts across the globe, and weekly for roundups of global financial and geopolitical events!
Hosted by Jacob Shapiro (and occasionally Rob Larity).

Cognitive Investments LLC (“Cognitive Investments”) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.

The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investor’s particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor.

This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:

Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp

    #196 - Sanaa Kamal: A Voice from Gaza

    #196 - Sanaa Kamal: A Voice from Gaza

    If you want to donate to Sanaa’s GoFundMe, here is the link: https://www.gofundme.com/f/help-the-kamal-family-escape-gaza
    Jacob welcomes Sanaa Kamal, a Gaza-based Palestinian journalist who is currently in Egypt, onto the podcast. Jacob asks Sanaa about how her life has changed since Oct 7th and how she managed to reach Cairo. Sanaa bravely shares her story and her perspective on the ongoing war – and considering everything she has been through, her resilience and optimism in the face of such terrible adversity is admirable and worthy of emulation. A link to Sanaa’s GoFundMe, which she is using to get the rest of her family out of Gaza, is above.
    --
    Timestamps:
    (00:00) - Intro
    (04:00) – Hell in Gaza
    (16:03) – Escape to Cairo
    (21:50) - What is the state of Palestinian refugees?
    (27:05) – Can there be peace?
    (29:55) - Hamas
    (32:30) - How do we end the current conflict?
    --
    Referenced in the Show:
    If you want to donate to Sanaa’s GoFundMe, here is the link: https://www.gofundme.com/f/help-the-kamal-family-escape-gaza
    --
    CI Site: cognitive.investments
    Jacob Site: jacobshapiro.com
    Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
    Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
    --
    Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clients’ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
    --
    Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (“Cognitive Investments”) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.

    The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investor’s particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor


    This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:

    Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
    Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp

    • 41 min
    #195 - Weekly Update: “Chaos” at U.S. Universities + Steel

    #195 - Weekly Update: “Chaos” at U.S. Universities + Steel

    Jacob and Rob return for a weekly chat about South Korea’s economy and challenges posed by the Asian economic model. They pivot to a discussion about entrepreneurship and whether it is in decline in the West, discuss steel markets and questionable decision making from large-cap U.S. companies. They close with a discussion of the “chaos” at U.S. universities and draw a different conclusion than you might think.
    --
    Timestamps:
    (00:00) – Intro
    (01:00) - Lessons from ROK
    (17:22) – Entrepreneurship
    (35:18) – Steel
    (49:23) – University upheaval
    --
    Referenced in the Show:
    --
    CI Site: cognitive.investments
    Jacob Site: jacobshapiro.com
    Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
    Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
    --
    Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clients’ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
    --
    Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (“Cognitive Investments”) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
    The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investor’s particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor


    This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:

    Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
    Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp

    • 1 t 6 min
    #194 - Dee Smith: God, Sex, & Death

    #194 - Dee Smith: God, Sex, & Death

    Jacob welcomes Dee Smith on the podcast. Dee and Jacob have had several conversation on Real Vision, but Jacob wanted to host Dee himself so they could talk about whatever they wanted. This podcast sure does deliver that – they talk about whether the world is actually getting worse (Jacob is an optimist and Dee a pessimist on that score), and even dive into an extended discussion on immortality…and why thinking about deep humanistic questions is actually at the core of everything we discuss on this podcast.
    --
    Timestamps:
    (00:00) - Intro
    (02:40) – Dee's 2024 outlook
    (10:45) – Hans Morgenthau, Multipolarity, Understanding complex systems
    (23:23) – Is the world getting more/less stable?
    (29:30) – Immortality (Philosophical)
    (37:15) - Russia & Putin
    (48:46) – Mexico
    --
    Referenced in the Show:
    Politics Among Nations: https://archive.org/details/politicsamongnat0006morg
    --
    CI Site: cognitive.investments
    Jacob Site: jacobshapiro.com
    Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
    Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
    --
    Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clients’ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
    --
    Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (“Cognitive Investments”) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
    The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investor’s particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor


    This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:

    Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
    Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp

    • 59 min
    #193 - Marko’s Back!

    #193 - Marko’s Back!

    It’s been too long since Jacob and Marko, cousins by choice, got together to record a podcast. They dive deep into what Trump winning the presidency again could mean for global geopolitics and trade – while addressing topics like U.S. inflation, Iran’s attacks on Israel, U.S. v global investing opportunities, and…of course…hot basketball takes.
    --
    Timestamps:
    (00:00) - Intro
    (02:07) – U.S. Economy
    (20:17) - Israel/Iran/KSA
    (25:13) - What happens if Trump wins?
    (33:44) – Trump/Biden scenarios
    (38:30) - Biden's track record and trade deals
    (46:36) - Tariffs
    (59:36) - Multipolarity, bipolarity, charts and the future
    (1:05:03) U.S. v. Global (shout out Louis Gave)
    (01:11:50) - Basketball hot takes
    --
    Referenced in the Show:
    Louis Gave’s slides: https://research.gavekal.com/documents/10192/Unfoldinginflboom-apr2024.pdf
    --
    CI Site: cognitive.investments
    Jacob Site: jacobshapiro.com
    Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
    Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
    --
    Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clients’ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
    --
    Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (“Cognitive Investments”) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
    The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investor’s particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor


    This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:

    Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
    Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp

    • 1 t 18 min
    #192 - Yoroslav Trofimov: "Our Enemies Will Vanish"

    #192 - Yoroslav Trofimov: "Our Enemies Will Vanish"

     Yaroslav Trofimov, chief foreign-affairs correspondent at The Wall Street Journal, takes time out of his busy travel schedule to join the podcast to discuss his recent book, Our Enemies Will Vanish – The Russian Invasion and Ukraine's War of Independence. Jacob and Yaroslav talk a little bit about his background before exploring some of the ideas he develops in his book – and looking toward Ukraine’s future, which Yaroslav makes the case is not so uncertain: that Ukraine’s independence has been secured in some form or another.
    --
    Timestamps:
    (00:00) - Intro
    (01:40) – Yuroslav's Background
    (7:20) – How did Russia get here?
    (13:30) - Why did everyone underestimate Ukraine?
    (22:40) – Zelensky v Zaluzhny
    (27:04) - When are Ukraine's next elections?
    (29:49) – Is the Russia/Ukraine war a stalemate? How much does Russia want?
    (36:18) - German and European perspective on the war
    (39:30) - Ukraine's relationship with China
    (41:11) – The future
    --
    Referenced in the Show:
    Our Enemies Will Vanish - Yuroslav Trofimov: https://www.amazon.com/Our-Enemies-Will-Vanish-Independence/dp/0593655184
    --
    CI Site: cognitive.investments
    Jacob Site: jacobshapiro.com
    Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
    Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
    --
    Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clients’ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
    --
    Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (“Cognitive Investments”) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
    The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investor’s particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor


    This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:

    Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
    Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp

    • 44 min
    Emergency Update: Are we heading into World War Three?

    Emergency Update: Are we heading into World War Three?

    Iran launched a bunch of missiles and drones. What next?
    --
    CI Site: cognitive.investments
    Jacob Site: jacobshapiro.com
    Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
    Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
    --
    Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clients’ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
    --
    Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (“Cognitive Investments”) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
    The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investor’s particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor


    This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:

    Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
    Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp

    • 26 min

Kundeomtaler

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Embrasurea ,

Episode 100

That episode may very well be the worst episode of this podcast. There must be a Reddit crowd they're engaging with while displaying a juvenile misunderstanding of the nature of platforms and their purpose, in addition to assuming away the cost of armaments and their production. Worse, you failed to connect the details of your analysis to your conclusion: Ukraine is a sovereign state, and must continue to display that sovereignty.

Let me help you. First, there will not be wave after wave of Sukoi 25s because there are not enough armaments, and not will enough be produced, for “wave after wave.”

Second, the F-16s are a token response to enabling Ukraine to defend its own airspace, and are not intended to support an offensive on Russian territory.

This is the podcast for linking geopolitics with economics, and it failed spectacularly to deliver in episode. Address professionals who need an understanding of how the “Reddit crowd” will influence their money via speculation - don’t engage the Reddit crowd itself.

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