El Niño and La Niña, the southwestern monsoon, tropical storm activity, increasing temperatures, fire risk and weather, drought and snowpack, and dwindling reservoir storage all pose challenges to the Southwest. In the ‘Southwest Climate Podcast’, we focus on details and nuance, but (generally) avoid excessive technical jargon. Our goal is to synthesize information and data from experts, forecasts, and models to provide listeners with a better understanding of climate and weather in the Southwest, as well as the lessons we can learn from recent events and long term experiences.
Sept 2021 Southwest Climate Podcast - Is the (Generational) Monsoon Over?
In the September Edition of the CLIMAS Southwest Climate Podcast, Mike Crimmins and Zack Guido sit down to revisit last month's discussion of a generational monsoon. They check in around the region to see how various locations are faring and discuss the interesting patterns they've seen in monsoon activity so far. They put the totals to date into climatological context and rankings, to see who is experiencing a generational monsoon, vs. areas that are "just" above average (or who are lagging behind).& They wrap with a discussion of "Is the Monsoon Over" - and talk about the reasons why you may/may not think so, and what the transition season means for the last few weeks of the monsoon (and the final seasonal rankings).
August 2021 Southwest Climate Podcast - 2021 - A Generational Monsoon?
In the August 2021 edition of the CLIMAS Southwest Climate Podcast, Mike Crimmins and Zack Guido sit down to discuss the "monsoon that comes to you" (i.e. it's just about everywhere, and it just keeps coming!).& They discuss the (record) July for some areas, as well as the well above average conditions around much of the region. They also deconstruct the elements that are feeding into this persistent monsoon rainfall and take a deep dive into a few of the events that have contributed to impressive totals.& They wrap up with a discussion of outlooks for the rest of the season, whether any stations might hit record monsoon totals (Tucson is definitely in the running), and what this has meant for the monsoon fantasy game (suffice to say, the guesses for July did not anticipate the record wet conditions).
July 2021 Southwest Climate Podcast - Early Monsoon Stats - All Timer or Too Soon to Tell?
In the (mid/late) July edition of the CLIMAS Southwest Climate Podcast, Mike Crimmins and Zack Guido are back at it, given all that happened with the monsoon since early July.& First, they dive into monsoon conditions around the region, to put them into climatological perspective, while discussing some of the defining characteristics of the monsoon. Next they grapple with the question: Is this shaping up to be an all-timer for July, given all the rain that's already fallen (and what is in the forecast for the rest of July)?& The answer is complicated (tune in to hear where they land on this).& Finally, they look a bit at the forecasts and outlooks for the upcoming weeks and months and remind us about the monsoon fantasy game that we are running this monsoon.
A reminder from the Southwest Monsoon Fantasy Forecasts game:
We pose this question to you: will August be wet,& dry,& or in between at stations around the& Southwest?& So far, the monsoon& has been wet in many places, with& an active monsoon pattern over the next few days likely to add more& to the totals. This is our& final reminder: you will only be able to make your August forecasts up until 11:59 pm tomorrow night, Friday (Jul 23).& We then lock the forecasts so that you can't use the 7-day weather forecast to inform your estimates.&
Submit your August Guesses: https://monsoonfantasy.arizona.edu/home
July 2021 Southwest Climate Podcast - Tracking Heat Waves and the Onset of the Monsoon
In the June/early-July edition of the CLIMAS Southwest Climate Podcast, Mike Crimmins and Zack Guido sit down to discuss weather and climate in the Southwest.& They start with June heatwaves, and where these sit in comparison to climatology/normal for the Southwest, and how they differ from the record heat waves seen in the Pacific Northwest.& They transition to a discussion of the early(ish) onset of the monsoon this year, and whether this bodes well for a better monsoon than last year (frankly, this is a low bar to clear).& Finally, they recap their own (forecast) guesses for July and run through the Southwest Monsoon Fantasy Forecast game we are trying out this year. https://monsoonfantasy.arizona.edu/
We plan to do another podcast in mid/late July to see where things stand with the monsoon, but so far, so good (or at least better than last year).
May 2021 Southwest Climate Podcast - Late May's Most Common Question - What's The Monsoon Forecast?!
In the May 2021 edition of the CLIMAS Southwest Climate Podcast, Mike Crimmins and Zack Guido sit down to discuss a range of issues related to that most pressing question this time of year - "What's the Monsoon Forecast?!".& They run through the last month of weather, what we might expect from June given historical patterns and extremes, and how much faith we can put in forecasts this time of year (hint, it's tough to make a good monsoon forecast). The podcast wraps with a reminder about the Southwest Monsoon Fantasy Forecast game. We piloted the game last year, and this year there's a new and improved interface and some fun prizes.& Stay tuned to the end of the podcast (or watch this space) for details on the game (how to play, prizes, etc.).&
Apr 2021 Southwest Climate Podcast - Winter Weather Scorecard and Diving into Assessments of Seasonal vs. Mega Drought
In the April 2021 episode of the CLIMAS Southwest Climate Podcast, Mike Crimmins and Zack Guido jump into winter weather and assessments of (drought) conditions.& First, they look back at winter so far and see how it stacks up to recent historical totals. Next, they take a closer look at the relationship between summer and winter precipitation, and the various phase combinations (wet/dry, dry/wet, wet/wet, dry/dry). They turn to some paleoclimate expertise to help them think about these patterns, as well as how drought has been defined (seasonal drought, megadrought, etc.), and how these terms get used in science communication and the media.
Great podcast for weather nerds in SW
Thank you for doing this pod..it allows me to nerd out with the weather. As far as wavy jet streams look into grand solar minimums possibly. Low output from sun seems to lead to more wavy jets, active sun more zonal. Just a thought. Thanks to both of you
Most reliable climate/weather reporting in SW AZ
This important (and entertaining) podcast is a mainstay of our family planning for each successive month. The weather is getting squirrelly as climate change sets in and with it, weird weather. The Southwest Climate podcast is helping to make sense of it all. Thanks, guys1
NOY FAMILIAR WITH PODCAST UNTIL TODAY. TRULY EDUCATIONAL AND LEARNED NEW TOOLS TO USE WHILE THE TIME IS RIPE. AWESOME INFORMATION AND REWARDING,