872 episodes
The Dividend Cafe The Bahnsen Group
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- Business
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4.9 • 498 Ratings
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The Dividend Cafe is your portal for market perspective that is virtually conflict-free, rooted in deep philosophical commitments about how capital should be managed, and understandable for all sorts of investors. Host David L. Bahnsen is a frequent guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Fox Business. He is the author of the books, Crisis of Responsibility: Our Cultural Addiction to Blame and How You Can Cure It (Post Hill Press), The Case for Dividend Growth: Investing in a Post-Crisis World (Post Hill Press), and Full-Time: Work and the Meaning of Life (Post Hill Press).
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The Dividend Cafe Monday - June 17, 2024
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/3KSk5VG
Dividend Insights: Market Trends, Fed Influence, and Economic Policies
In this episode of the Dividend Cafe, David provides a comprehensive commentary on the current market dynamics, including summaries on housing markets, federal policies, corporate taxes, and bond yields. Key topics include the performance of the Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq, the impact of public policies on elections, and an insightful analogy comparing market trends to Roger Federer's tennis career. Additional focus is given to European political stability, U.S. corporate tax rates, and commercial real estate metrics. The session concludes with observations on national vacancy rates, Fed rate predictions, and the law of conservation of outrage in human behavior.
00:00 Introduction to Dividend Cafe
00:41 Market Summary and Key Highlights
01:42 Stock and Bond Market Correlation
03:22 Market Breadth and Top Heaviness
08:10 Corporate Tax Rates and Economic Impact
11:02 Housing Market Insights
12:54 Commercial Real Estate and Office Vacancies
14:16 Federal Reserve and Oil Market Update
15:47 Conclusion and Final Thoughts
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com -
A Minsky Moment or a Tech Pop
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/45pEwTs
Exploring Market Volatility and the Concept of a Minsky Moment
In this episode of Dividend Cafe, David discusses the current volatility and directionlessness in the market, delving into the concept of a 'Minsky moment,' where periods of stability can give rise to instability. They differentiate between short-term market concerns rooted in equity valuations and longer-term economic issues tied to government debt. The episode explores the influence of large cap tech stocks within the S&P 500 and the cyclical nature of market dynamics. David also touches on the importance of maintaining a quality, counter-cultural investment portfolio to mitigate risks associated with economic instability and market euphoria.
00:00 Introduction and Market Overview
00:25 Understanding the Minsky Moment
03:10 Historical Context and Personal Insights
07:27 Application to Current Market Conditions
09:20 Government Debt and Long-Term Economic Impact
11:34 Cap-Weighted vs. Equal-Weighted Indexes
15:21 Final Thoughts and Father's Day Wishes
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com -
The Dividend Cafe Thursday - June 13, 2024
Market Update and Economic Indicators: A Snapshot
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com -
The Dividend Cafe Wednesday - June 12, 2024
This episode delves into the significance and influence of the word 'because'. The discussion explores its role in communication, persuasion, and decision-making processes, highlighting how the simple word can have a powerful effect in various contexts.
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com -
The Dividend Cafe Tuesday - June 11, 2024
Dividend Cafe: June 11 Market Commentary and Economic Update
In this episode of Dividend Cafe, we cover the market's performance on June 11th, noting that despite a slight overall decline, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ posted gains, while Treasury yields fell due to a strong auction of two-year notes.
We also discuss the uptick in the Small Business Optimism Index, reflecting ongoing economic concerns such as interest rates and potential policy changes. Key upcoming events include a core CPI number and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
00:00 Introduction to Dividend Cafe
00:16 Market Overview and Performance
00:44 Treasury Auction and Interest Rates
01:09 Small Business Optimism Index
02:04 Upcoming Economic Data
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com -
The Dividend Cafe Monday - June 10, 2024
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4esr4m6
We cover a wide range of market and economic updates. From today's market action, bond market volatility, sector performance, and the top heaviness of the S&P 500, to significant geopolitical events and public policy issues. Also discussed are the implications of the Texas Stock Exchange movement, the recent jobs report, and trends in air travel. The episode concludes with insights into the private versus public company landscape and listener questions.
00:00 Market Overview
01:32 Bond Market Insights
02:26 Sector Performance
03:02 Top Heaviness in the S&P 500
05:35 Geopolitical Events
06:42 Texas Stock Exchange Movement
08:13 Jobs Report
09:14 Air Travel Trends
10:07 Commercial Real Estate Loans
11:21 Federal Reserve's Policies
13:00 Upstream Energy Stock Performance
13:34 Laws of Pessimism
15:04 Decline in Publicly Listed Companies
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com
Customer Reviews
Outstanding
Thank you, David
Good understanding of Markets
Daily listener. Good breakdown of markets and economy.
Excellent source of understanding the markets and reasoning behind it. Also good info on investing and investors.
Thanks for the podcast,
Thumbs up - Christian influenced, guided insights.
👍👍👍👍👍Always MORE than economics!