1,043 episodes
Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast Mr. Action Junkie
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- Sports
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4.5 • 95 Ratings
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This show delivers FREE daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days.
Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:
2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets
2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals
2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners
2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders
2023 College Football - Kota Capper College Football Central Lock, Underdog, and Unit Champ
2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets
2024 NCAA College Basketball - 54%, up 22.18 units (up 58 units total w/blog plays)
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together.
Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor. I flat bet risking 1 unit vs. winning 1 unit.
Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms.
Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it.
Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams.
Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.
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2 NBA Playoff Bets, 4 MLB Baseball Bets (Run Line, First 5 Run Line, Moneyline, NRFI) for Monday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Denver -5.5 vs. Minnesota
New York -6 vs. Indiana
Run Line: LA Dodgers -1.5 vs. Miami (-126)
Moneyline: Texas at Oakland (-135)
First 5 Run Line: New York Mets -0.5 at St. Louis (+130)
NRFI: Seattle at Minnesota (-120)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
NBA Playoffs: 26-20 (56.5%), up 3.5457 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 89-92 (49.2%), down 11.6026 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 11-8, 57.9%, up 2.7629 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
NBA Game 7 Bet, 6 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI, Moneyline, First 7 Inning Team Total, First 3 Inning Team Total, First 5 Run Line, Total) for Sunday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Cleveland -3.5 vs. Orlando
NRFI: Tigers/Yankees (-140)
Moneyline: Washington vs. Toronto (+100)
First 7 Inning Team Total: LA Angels Over 2.5 (-145)
First 3 Inning Team Total: Arizona Over 1.5 (+114)
First 5 Run Line: Pittsburgh -0.5 vs. Colorado (-110)
Total: Seattle/Houston Under 8.5 (-102)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
NBA Playoffs: 25-20 (55.5%), up 2.6366 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 87-88 (49.7%), down 9.7426 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 11-8, 57.9%, up 2.7629 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
That's a winner! Happy Derby Day! 1 NBA Playoff Bet, 7 MLB Baseball Bets (Over, Under, Moneyline, Underdog, Run Line, NRFI x 2) for Saturday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Denver -4.5 vs. Minnesota
Run Line: St. Louis -1.5 vs. Chicago White Sox (+120)
ML: Toronto at Washington (-162)
Underdog: LA Angels at Cleveland (+124)
Over: Baltimore/Cincinnati Over 9.5 (+102)
Under: San Francisco/Philadelphia Under 7.5 (-112)
NRFI: Miami/Oakland (-130)
NRFI: Seattle/Houston (-130)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
NBA Playoffs: 25-19 (56.8%), up 3.6366 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 84-84 (50.0%), down 7.8983 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 11-8, 57.9%, up 2.7629 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
2 NBA Playoff Bets, 5 MLB Baseball Bets (Over, Under, Underdog, Moneyline, Run Line) for Friday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Cleveland +4 at Orlando
Dallas -8 vs. LA Clippers
Over: Braves/Dodgers Over 9 (-122)
Under: Tigers/Yankees Under 8 (-115)
Underdog: Brewers at Cubs (+110)
Moneyline: Oakland vs. Miami (-130)
Run Line: St. Louis vs. Chicago White Sox (-118)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
NBA Playoffs: 24-18 (57.1%), up 3.8184 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 80-83 (49.1%), down 10.4846 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 11-8, 57.9%, up 2.7629 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
Special Edition: Amazing Kentucky Derby Preview with Exacta Tom. Winner, Exacta Box, Tri Box for the 150th Run for the Roses
Exacta Tom's Winner: #17 Fierceness
Exacta: 8, 11, 15, 17 over 2, 7, 11, 15, 17
Action's Annual Tri Box: 2, 8, 11, 15, 17
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
That's a winner! @KotaCapperKyle goes 3-1, Newsletter goes 6-1. Great day. 2 NBA Playoff Bets, 5 MLB Baseball Bets (Under, Over, Moneyline, Run Line, Underdog) plus 7 MLB/NBA/NHL picks from @KotaCapperKyle for Thursday
Support the Show Newsletter: (includes Daily NBA & MLB Player Prop Bets)
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Indiana -8 vs. Milwaukee
Philadelphia -3.5 vs. New York
Colorado/Miami Under 8 (-122)
San Francisco/Boston Over 9.5 (+100)
New York Mets ML vs. Chicago Cubs (-115)
Run Line: Texas -1.5 vs. Washington (+105)
Underdog: Cleveland ML at Houston (+110)
Website w/blog: https://www.podpage.com/play-me-or-fade-me-sports-betting-picks-podcast/
YTD Results - Active:
NBA Playoffs: 23-17 (57.5%), up 3.9093 units
College Baseball: 3-0 (100%), up 2.6088 units
PGA Golf: 9-8 (52.9%), up 1.2076 units
NBA Playoff Prop Bets: 0-2 (0%), down 2 units
MLB Baseball: 78-80 (49.4%), down 9.4042 units
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 11-8, 57.9%, up 2.7629 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Podcast Partners: Sponsors | Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast (podpage.com)
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Customer Reviews
Great sport betting podcast
Thank you Mr. Action for sharing his betting experience. Don’t chase money
Soapbox podcast.
Great lesson sir. Appreciate the honesty.
As a former degenerate gambler I can also attest it is not for revenue. YOU WILL LOSE OVER THE LONG RUN. You must consider a hobby. Limit bankroll. I don’t golf I don’t drink much. I do this.
It’s a hobby.
Great info! Must listen daily
Just found this podcast and I have added to one of my must listens!
Keep up the great work.
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