1,122 episodes
Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast Mr. Action Junkie
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- Sports
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4.5 • 100 Ratings
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This show delivers daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days.
Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:
2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets
2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals
2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners
2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders
2023 College Football - Kota Capper College Football Central Lock, Underdog, and Unit Champ
2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets
2024 NCAA College Basketball - 54%, up 22.18 units (up 58 units total w/blog plays)
2024 NBA Prop Bets - 57.2%, up 33.93 units
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together.
Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor. I flat bet risking 1 unit vs. winning 1 unit.
Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms.
Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it.
Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams.
Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.
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4-3-1 on Thursday. Prediction: After an upside down 10 days in baseball, things return to normal tonight. 12 MLB Baseball Bets (NRFI x 4, Run Line x 2, F5 RL x 2, ML x 2, F5 ML, F5 Team Total) for Friday
Support the Show/Community Best Bet Newsletter:
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
YTD Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 291-246 (54.2%), up 0.653 units
PGA Golf: 51-45 (53.1%), up 2.008 units
WNBA: 35-33 (51.5%), down 1.1815 units
Euro Soccer: 0-1 (0%) down 1 unit
UFC: 0-1 (0%), down 1 unit
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 30-24, 55.5%, up 4.7195 units
Other: 11-11, 50.0%, down 0.6727 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
2024 NBA Prop Bets: Won 33.92773 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
I need football! Roughriders at Alouettes CFL Bet, 7 MLB Baseball Bets (ML x 2, First 5 ML x 2, First 5 Team Total x 2, NRFI) for Thursday
Support the Show/Community Best Bet Newsletter:
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
YTD Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 287-243 (54.2%), up 0.729 units
PGA Golf: 51-45 (53.1%), up 2.008 units
WNBA: 35-33 (51.5%), down 1.1815 units
Euro Soccer: 0-1 (0%) down 1 unit
UFC: 0-1 (0%), down 1 unit
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 30-24, 55.5%, up 4.7195 units
Other: 11-11, 50.0%, down 0.6727 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
2024 NBA Prop Bets: Won 33.92773 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
New day today. @KotaCapperKyle hosts the show. 5 MLB Bets (ML x 2, Run Line, Total, NRFI) for Wednesday
Support the Show/Community Best Bet Newsletter:
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
YTD Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 287-243 (54.2%), up 0.729 units
PGA Golf: 51-45 (53.1%), up 2.008 units
WNBA: 35-33 (51.5%), down 1.1815 units
Euro Soccer: 0-1 (0%) down 1 unit
UFC: 0-1 (0%), down 1 unit
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 28-21, 57.1%, up 5.7195 units
Other: 11-11, 50.0%, down 0.6727 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
2024 NBA Prop Bets: Won 33.92773 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
Special Edition: 19 picks from our Community Best Bet newsletter including a +200 parlay, +187 parlay, and +165 parlay. 3 Add-On picks from Action for Tuesday.
Support the Show/Community Best Bet Newsletter:
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
NBA Summer League OT - Race to 7 Meltdown. 6 MLB Baseball Bets (ML x 3, NRFI x 2, First 5 Run Line) plus 7 Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Tuesday
Support the Show/Community Best Bet Newsletter:
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Astros -130 at Athletics
Red Sox -TBD at Rockies
Mariners -180 vs. Angels
First 5 RL: Pirates -0.5 vs. Cardinals (-125)
NRFI: Phillies/Twins (-115)
NRFI: White Sox/Rangers (-142)
YTD Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 285-239 (54.4%), up 3.2142 units
PGA Golf: 51-45 (53.1%), up 2.008 units
WNBA: 35-33 (51.5%), down 1.1815 units
Euro Soccer: 0-1 (0%) down 1 unit
UFC: 0-1 (0%), down 1 unit
NBA Summer League: 0-1 (0%), down 1 unit
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 28-21, 57.1%, up 5.7195 units
Other: 11-11, 50.0%, down 0.6727 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
2024 NBA Prop Bets: Won 33.92773 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices -
That's a winner! Positive spike day: 11-2, up 8.3022 units. NBA Summer League Bet, 7 MLB Baseball Bets (First 5 RL x 4, ML x 2, NRFI) plus 5 Bets from @KotaCapperKyle for Monday
Support the Show/Community Best Bet Newsletter:
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership
Today's Card:
Memphis -2 vs. Miami
Mets ML -162 at Marlins
Mariners ML -162 vs. Angels
First 5 RL: Yankees -0.5 vs. Rays (-120)
First 5 RL: Tigers -0.5 at Guardians (+104)
First 5 RL: Royals -0.5 vs. Diamondbacks (-138)
First 5 RL: Red Sox -0.5 at Rockies (-120)
NRFI: Reds/Braves (-135)
YTD Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 281-236 (54.4%), up 2.999 units
PGA Golf: 51-45 (53.1%), up 2.008 units
WNBA: 35-33 (51.5%), down 1.1815 units
Euro Soccer: 0-1 (0%) down 1 unit
UFC: 0-1 (0%), down 1 unit
@KotaCapperKyle Results - Active:
MLB Baseball: 28-21, 57.1%, up 5.7195 units
Other: 11-11, 50.0%, down 0.6727 units
Podcast Accomplishments:
NFL Prop Bets: 57.3% in 2023, up 23.1609 units
2024 CBB: Won 58.0722 units
2024 NBA Prop Bets: Won 33.92773 units
NFL Football: Hit 60.2% in the 2022 NFL Regular Season
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units (all 1-unit bets)
NFL Prop Bets: 62.8% in 2021
NFL Football: 57.7% winning over 100 bets in 2021
MLB Baseball Team Totals: 213-159, 57.2%, won 44.37 units in 2022
Contact Me:
X: @MrActionJunkie1
Email: mractionjunkie@gmail.com
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Customer Reviews
NO MORE YANKEE NRFI!! PLEASE
Please
The goat of podcasts
THIS IS THE GOAT of all podcasts! He is honest, takes risks, teaches, funny, and wins… that’s a five star podcast for me Great listen! Thanks for sharing your knowledge with us …. And that’s a winner!!!!!!!
Great every day pick show
This guy is committed, honest and pretty dang good picks. Great show.
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