The Football Analytics Show uses data and computers to make predictions on games and break down match ups. The show covers both college football and the NFL.
How to evaluate NFL wide receivers and cornerbacks
To gauge NFL off season moves, let's look at the most important metrics for receivers and coverage players. This episode makes the case for yards per route run on offense, and suggests the symmetric quantity for coverage players. The predictability of these metrics and players like Tyreek Hill, Davante Adams and Casey Hayward Jr. are also discussed.
How to get sports betting accounts
Mark Scalley and Mike Craig, two professional sports betting partners, join the show to talk about getting accounts. They compare and contrast getting accounts in 2022 compared to 2009 when they started their partnership. Mike and Mark also identify the one critical factor in their success. Among other topics, they also discuss whether Twitter is good for sports betting, getting limited at sports books and originating bets.
Matt Courchene on the Data Golf predictions
Matt Courchene, the co-creator of Data Golf with his brother Will, joins the show to talk about predictive golf analytics. Matt describes how his tournament predictions work. This includes player ratings based on strokes gained as well as a more granular approach that separates a golfer's skill into off the tee, putting, etc. Matt describes his research into which of these shots are more predictive. Finally, Matt gives his thoughts on the 2022 U.S. Open at the Country Club in Brookline, Massachusetts.
Kostya Medvedovsky on the DARKO NBA player projections
Kostya Medvedovsky joins the show to discuss DARKO, a well respected NBA player projection system. He begins with how a lawyer developed the data and math skills to develop DARKO. Then Kostya describes the two predictive systems that form the basis of DARKO, one of which was initially used in rocket science. Then he talks about how machine learning techniques combine these two factors. He uses Brandon Ingram of the New Orleans Pelicans as an example of how the system works. Finally, Kostya discusses the applications of DARKO to sports betting.
Matt Metcalf on sports betting and bookmaking
Matt Metcalf, the sports book director at Circa sports, describes his journey from sports book to professional bettor to the sports book at Circa. Matt takes us inside his head as he adjusts his college football ratings based on game results. This is the work that allows Circa to open the first college football spreads and totals on Sunday. He contrasts booking college football with the NFL. Matt also describes the role of analytics in his work, why Circa welcomes sharp sports bettor and the one thing he would change in the industry.
Matt Waldman on scouting future NFL players
Matt Waldman, creator of the Rookie Scouting Portfolio (RSP), joins the show to talk about the 2022 NFL draft. He describes his year long process for watching film and evaluating hundreds of college players in creating the RSP. Matt talks about how Dak Prescott and others have helped him improve his process. While others talk about the intangibles for a player, Matt has a very specific definition for the It factor. He relates this It factor to improvisation music. The markets have Malik Willis as the favorite to be the top QB selected in the 2022 NFL draft, but Matt explains why he differs from this consensus.
Always the best guests and information
Great listen form those who want to be a better sports better and person.
Best Analytics Podcast
Ed and his guests discuss the most interesting and contemporary analytics concepts. Perfect for anyone who has a passion for the statistical side of sports.
All talk no substance
Wasted an hour of my time listening to this college basketball betting guru who didn’t say anything that was remotely possible.