087: The Supply and Demand of Currency: What Affects the Market? with Amy Sylvis Real Estate Runway

Amy Sylvis is the founder and principal of Sylvis Capital, a real estate firm that invests in large commercial real estate properties in emerging markets throughout the United States. Accredited and non-accredited investors appreciate investing alongside her to take advantage of not only her extensive experience but also her detailed research and exclusive relationships. 
 
In this episode, Chad welcomes back Amy to talk about the supply and demand of currency, buyer and seller sentiment in commercial real estate assets, and how businesses are attempting to stay afloat. They also explore inflation, regressive taxes, and how savvy investors can take advantage of devalued money with borrowed funds. Lastly, they discuss the potential risks associated with such a drastic currency devaluation and how it could lead to major economic changes in the future. 



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[00:01 - 06:02] Opening Segment
Welcoming back Amy Listen to episode 19 of the Real Estate Runway if you haven’t yet! The US economy was intentionally shut down in March 2020 to save lives during the pandemic Leading to a 30% increase in the US currency supply This allowed businesses to continue functioning and prevented the economy from collapsing  
[06:03 - 13:02] Consequences of Inflation during the Pandemic
Inflation is an increase in the number of currency units in circulation Rising prices are a symptom of this occurring More dollars chasing the same amount of goods and services leads to higher prices A decrease in supply chain of virtually everything due to shutdowns caused scarcity Increase in currency supply not distributed equally, leading to the rich getting richer and those on fixed income not getting access to those dollars as soon Leverage was used to multiply wealth in real estate, but prices still rose due to a reduction in supply and free money from borrowing at rates below inflation  
[13:03 - 22:49] Inflation Induced Debt Destruction
Going into debt responsibly for productive assets is beneficial due to inflation-induced debt destruction The purchasing power of a dollar has decreased over the past 10 years Borrowers are on the winning side and lenders are on the losing side in this situation Inflation-induced debt destruction is when borrowers pay down their debt with devalued dollars Hyperinflation could lead to borrowers owning their assets outright after paying off their lender Utilizing debt can lead to wealth generation on both sides of the coin The dollar has depreciated by 95% since its inception


[22:50 - 35:29] What does the future look like?
History doesn't repeat itself verbatim, but it often rhymes The Fed's rate hikes may lead to a recession if they hold too long at higher rates On average, within two years of the first rate hike comes the first rate cut Interest rates are likely to level out at sub-6 % It is important to be aware of global economic connections and decisions Class A and B renters are better able to absorb rent increases than Class C renters  
[35:30 - 36:46] Closing Segment
See the links below to connect with Amy Final words  
Quotes:
 
“It's so important to utilize these concrete numbers so people can visualize because gosh knows Wall Street isn't teaching us about this, and neither is the education system.” - Amy Sylvis
 
“Shutting down the economy could have blasted us back to the dark ages in a depression that none of us could ever imagine.” - Amy Sylvis
 
Connect with Amy through LinkedIn, or visit http://www.sylviscapital.com.
 
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