Politics Politics Politics

Justin Robert Young
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Politics Politics Politics

Unbiased political analysis the way you wish still existed. Justin Robert Young isn't here to tell you what to think, he's here to tell you who is going to win and why. www.politicspoliticspolitics.com

  1. 3 DAYS AGO

    8 Things I Know For Sure After The Election (with Evan Scrimshaw)

    Much like the Trump Tax Cuts, the $99 Annual Deal for all bonus content is now permanent. Enjoy! As we sift through the multi-billion dollar wreckage of this election I’ve recruited Evan Scrimshaw to figure out what we know about this election. First, if you had a Time Machine and your only goal was to increase the vote share of the Biden or Harris campaign, what time would you go back to and what would you say? Then we carve through the revelations we’ve had since Tuesday including understanding Trump’s popularity and the electoral benefit of putting Jews on the ticket. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

    1h 40m
  2. Donald Trump Wins Presidency Emergency Update

    6 DAYS AGO

    Donald Trump Wins Presidency Emergency Update

    Immediate thoughts on the Trump win. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

    36 min

  3. 5 NOV

    Go Vote! A Non-Political Conversation with Scott Johnson

    ‘nuff said. Find your polling place. Enjoy this entirely non-political conversation with Scott Johnson. Literally, no politics are discussed at all. But there is a lot about religion, fast food, parenthood, weed and more. See you on the other side. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

    1h 20m

  4. 1 NOV

    Who I Believe Will Win - Part II (with Kevin Ryan)

    You asked! We listened! The $99 Annual Deal is extended until Election Day. Make sure you upgrade from your complimentary status if you are coming from Patreon! Here it is… Our conversation with Kevin Ryan on the state of the culture and philosophy that this election takes place in. With that, my final thoughts. Did you ever hear the tragedy of Darth Plagueis The Wise? I thought not. It’s not a story the Jedi would tell you. That’s a quote from a Star Wars prequel and it’s the final decider on who I believe will win the President, the Senate and the House.  We will get back to that.  First, let’s empty the file on my 2024 election thoughts in order.  First, the landscape… Donald Trump is a flawed candidate damaged by January 6th and hard capped at 48% It’s the reason his party tried to overthrow him during the primaries. However, his resilience and ease in overcoming those challenges is telling.  Donald Trump began to gain and beat Joe Biden in head to head polling after he was indicted and his New York trial had a positive effect on his polling This was the first moment I believed Trump could have a redemptive arc. If the public did not understand the charges against him and saw the prosecutions as political, he would be a martyr beyond core MAGA.  The Dobbs decision has been rocket fuel for Democrats In off-year elections and special elections the present threat to reproductive rights have gotten Democratic voters to the polls. My criticism that they might be punished for not taking the threat seriously enough has not panned out as of yet.  Joe Biden’s presidency has been broadly unpopular and specifically unpopular with anyone who makes under $100,000 a year Biden was elected in the panic of COVID to be a steady hand at the wheel. He lost that with Afghanistan and never regained it. The border went from a purely GOP partisan issue to a mainstream winner for Republicans almost entirely because of executive orders Biden made at the beginning of his presidency. Issue after issue, the same playbook unfolded… deny, deny, deny until you blame it on Trump.  But nothing was more personal than inflation. A class warfare issue like no other.  Personal story, my wife and I were driving to dinner with friends. The husband was at the wheel of their new Tesla. The issue of politics comes up. I mentioned Trump was doing well because of the economy. “But the economy is good?” Is the response. And it is a sentiment I’ve heard from many people in my orbit and online. The stock market is booming? We avoided a recession? Inflation is lower here than anywhere else the world? How is this a weakness? And behind the wheel of a new Tesla, I agree. Which is where we get to that $100,000 a year figure. Because anywhere below that, inflation gets infinitely worse. It’s persistent and embarrassing. A ritual humiliation and reminder you are not good enough. That kind of stuff sticks with people.  So that’s the landscape… how about the candidates TRUMP To say that Donald Trump has run his best campaign out of his three tries is an understatement.  I’ll be honest, I stopped trying to fully understand the logic of Trump sometime in 2016. His combativeness, the issues he centered and erratic behavior is impossible to grade. Why did he just send that tweet? Has he discovered a hidden undercurrent in American society? Or did the KFC bucket he had last night make him farty? In his two previous attempts he often didn’t seem to understand which way was up either. He fired two different campaign directors in 2016. He fired one of them in 2020.  Both times, election day came with him trailing mightily in the polls. The refrain for his chances became religious. He will pull through… because… But that’s not the case this cycle. Susie Wiles, a Florida GOP veteran who watched her party take a purple state and drench it blood red and Chris LaCivita a bare-knuckle student of the last era of a Republican dominance

    1h 48m

  5. 1 NOV

    Who I Believe Will Win - Part I (with Michael Cohen, Tom LoBianco)

    You asked! We listened! The $99 Annual Deal is extended until Election Day. Make sure you upgrade from your complimentary status if you are coming from Patreon! We are in the endgame now. I’ve asked experts from across the spectrum who they believe will win the White House, Senate and House. Now it’s my turn. But I have a few last trusted advisors to speak to first. Michael Cohen (Model Political Campaigns) and Tom LoBianco of 24Sight.news help break down the closing polls and model out how the election will finally shake out. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

    1h 24m

  6. 30 OCT

    Democratic Early Voting Firewalls Too Small or Missing? Seven Days To Go! (with Taylor Lorenz, Gabe Fleisher and Mark Sutton)

    If you would like to get 150 episodes of Politics Politics Politics for $99 please take advantage of our annual deal that ends on Halloween! By the time you hear this episode, we will have less than seven days until Election Day. Here are the metrics I am looking at… Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin: Trump 54% to win Jon Ralston’s Nevada Early Voting Blog: GOP has 38,000 ballot advantage VoteHub Early Voting Counter And here is the math comparing the final tallies in Nevada and Arizona… Electoral History of Nevada: Biden +2.5 Clinton +2.5 Obama +6.5 Obama +12.5 Electoral History of Arizona: Biden + Less than .5 Trump + 3.5 Romney +9 McCain +8.5 How much more Democratic is Nevada than Arizona? 2008: 21 2012: 15.5 2016: 6 2020: 2 On this episode of the show we welcome Taylor Lorenz for the first time. We discuss independent media, the blogging revolution of the 2000s and an unfortunate tweet. Also, Wake Up To Politics’ Gabe Fleisher helps us look at the final hours of this contest. And finally, Mark Sutton helps us break down the gender gap. Let’s go! This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

    2h 19m

  7. 25 OCT

    Torturing Ourselves with Early Voting Numbers! Kamala's Best Chance. Political Road Trip. (with Bill Scher and Andrew Heaton)

    Don’t take early numbers too seriously. It’s the first chapter of a book. You might think you know where it goes, but each story is different. Early votes are not linear, they are often jumbled by different start times or counting processes. So don’t take them seriously. Okay? Did you read that? Are you not going to take them seriously? Fine. Let’s torture ourselves with early voting data. * VoteHub * Jon Ralston Early Voting Blog * UMichVoter Also… The great Bill Scher (Washington Monthly) joins to discuss where Kamala Harris is and how she wins the election. Andrew Heaton tells us of all the political signage he’s seen during his road trip from Texas to Washington DC. Chapters 2:56 Early Vote 13:21 Bill Scher 1:00:13 UPDATE (Obama and Kamala, $28 million Polymarket Bet, Trump Legal Strategy) 1:09:50 Andrew Heaton This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

    2 hr

  8. 23 OCT

    Senate Dems Running Behind Trump To Save Seats? Kamala Wants MORE Cheney? (with Kirk Bado and Howard Mortman)

    If you are looking for good President Harris omens, you might want to check back later. * Every betting market has now firmly tilted Trump * Polling averages continue to show Harris wilting in the Blue Wall states * Silver Bulletin, 538 and The Economist prediction models now all point to Trump * The Oracle of Nevada Jon Ralston brings positively bleak news about the early vote in the Silver State for Democrats Take all of those for what you will. But remember this, the only reason why President Biden isn’t on this ticket is because down ballot candidates made noise that he was dragging them down. Well take a look at an ad Bob Casey is running. The Pennsylvania Senator and staunch Biden ally who is in a close race with Republican Dave McCormick is running an ad bragging about bucking the current White House and working with Donald Trump. Crunch all the numbers you want, nerds. I will always pay attention when a politician starts running for their own lives in defiance of the party. On this episode * Kirk Bado (National Journal’s Hotline) discusses the Kamala Harris fixation on Liz Cheney and if they are even looking for Never Trumpers in the right places. * Howard Mortman (C-SPAN) dives deep into late campaign trivia and the traditions of the Al Smith dinner. * Trump will tape Joe Rogan this Friday. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

    1h 46m
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About

Unbiased political analysis the way you wish still existed. Justin Robert Young isn't here to tell you what to think, he's here to tell you who is going to win and why. www.politicspoliticspolitics.com

Information

  • Creator
    Justin Robert Young
  • Years Active
    2015 - 2024
  • Episodes
    341
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © Justin Robert Young
  • Show Website
    Politics Politics Politics

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